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karyo

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Everything posted by karyo

  1. karyo
    The Russian high is extending westwards. Cold air re-claims Shetland by 144hours! Karyo
  2. karyo
    Watching that shortwave ruin our chances is painful!
  3. karyo
    The Met Office must think the UKMO and GFS version of events is more likely than the ECM. Karyo
  4. karyo
    Thankfully, the ECM is better than the other 2 models with the angle of Atlantic attack favourable for breakdown snow! http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=96&mode=1&map=0&archive=0 It will still turn mild after that though. Karyo
  5. karyo
    Nick, what do you think about the 12z UKMO 144 hours? It looks rather unappealing to me with the Russian high looking like moving south than west. Karyo
  6. karyo
    I can't see where the slight upgrades are. If we take the 12z output so far (UKMO and GFS) up to 144 hours compared to the 0z, then we have a faster breakdown of the cold spell and less chance of snow. All and all a step in the wrong direction so far. Karyo
  7. karyo
    Yes and unfortunately the UKMO has also taken a turn for the worse in it's 12z output. Breakdown snow is now looking unlikely apart from the north and the Atlantic low has too much energy to be stopped. Karyo
  8. karyo
    Yes, but there is no precipitation. By the time the precipitation arrives the upper air temperatures are above 0c. Agreed!
  9. karyo
    The Atlantic low may have moved further south compared to the 6z but it is deeper and rounder which brings a much milder flow from the south. Karyo
  10. karyo
    Not good for breakdown snow apart from Scotland. Karyo
  11. karyo
    Always a good idea!
  12. karyo
    I just woke up after a night out and what a nice surprise! The cold spell has been extended and we also have a good possibility for breakdown snow. I am happy with that for now. I think the Atlantic will win at least for a time but with the block to the east not moving far, we can hope for further attacks from the east. Karyo
  13. karyo
    I hope this low is overblown by the gfs. By the way, look at the cold uppers moving over Shetland ! Much closer than on the 12z. Karyo
  14. karyo
    Pressure over the Med is lower in this run which is good!
  15. karyo
    At 156 hours, where is that little low to the southwest is heading? Maybe under the block?
  16. karyo
    Come on, send some energy under the block! So frustrating...
  17. karyo
    The problem is that the trough to the north/northeast links with the Atlantic low and brings the southwesterly. If it wasn't for that we'd have a better chance. Karyo
  18. karyo
    The front is coming in such an angle that it brings a southwesterly flow so not much chance for breakdown snow apart from hills.
  19. karyo
    Not much change so far, compared to the 12z gfs. By Wednesday the cold uppers are starting to retreat. Karyo
  20. karyo
    Regardless, what happens, nobody summarises the models as well and with the necessary injection of humour as you do! Karyo
  21. karyo
    A shortwave will probably come into play again to prevent the cold from reaching us!
  22. karyo
    I find it so annoying that it has become difficult to record a spotless day due to the advances in technology.
  23. karyo
    Fuego is currently having its biggest eruption since 1999! http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-19594481 Karyo
  24. karyo
    San Cristobal erupting! http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/sep/09/san-cristobal-volcano-eruption-nicaragua Karyo
  25. karyo
    Well, the article also says that pressure is not the only cause for an eruption. I would guess that a VEI4 is the most that Mount Fuji could give but even a VEI3 eruption would look spectacular thanks to its height! Karyo
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