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snowspotter

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Everything posted by snowspotter

  1. snowspotter
    Anyone know if there are any big snowdrifts left anywhere that I can get out and drive to? Would be nice to see them before they have melted
  2. snowspotter
    Looks like were in line for some hefty showers in next few hours hopefully
  3. snowspotter
    Here is the BBC image of what the snow would be like from a couple of days back Just about sums up the reliability of forecasting in the UK. That map gives the impression of decent snow over virtually the whole of the Southern half of the UK which to be frank is total rubbish. I am beginning to sound like Victor Meldrew!!!. The ECM and GFS showed snow pretty much in some form i.e showers or longer from Tuesday last week onwards here . In reality nothing hhas materialied (again) seem to be wrong side of margunal all the time. I see the ECM is trying to show an easterlyagain , which has no cold uppers . Probably wont happen , if it does it won't deliver anything . All the long range expertise regarding northern blocking and severe cold spells have failed miserably . The GFS has been nothing short of a disaster in reality . Thank god I am off skiing in a couple of weeks . The UK seems doomed for wet average weather only both summer and winter !! Guess we should be used to it now Anyway rant over .....roll on spring (even if it just means slighly warmer rain ) :-)
  4. snowspotter
    Total rubbish this event as expected , who can actually say they have enjoyed 10mm of cold rain and a few wet snowflakes . I think people need to seriously lower expectations on this thread and I personally can't wait for spring now . The winter overall has been a dead loss.
  5. snowspotter
    I am somewhat bemused as to why people are getting all excited about what basically looks to me like a wet cold and raw few days of weather .Theres basically no cold uppers over us and anywhere south of at least the north midlands is just going to get rain? or am I missing something here?.
  6. snowspotter
    dewpoints trying its best here at 0.5c down from 0.7c earlier
  7. snowspotter
    I can report a 0.1c drop in both dewpoint and temp in last 15 minutes! 2.5c temp and 0.6c dewpoint now
  8. snowspotter
    update temp 2.1c dewpoint +0.3c fat lady singing now
  9. snowspotter
    Seen enough of these situations to know it will just be rain here. Temperature on way up as is dewpoint. Once that gets above zero its rain . Currently -0.5c with a temperature +1.3c. Think the warmer air gets drawn from channel up as the front approaches in these situations and not a cold SE draw from continent. I stand to be corrected on tonight's precipitation Its been good though , roll on next coldspell.
  10. snowspotter
    About 6/7 on the Murr scale here , going out for Walk up Reigate Hill in about an hour, should be good
  11. snowspotter
    I was going to say the zig zag road would be great but guess they might close that
  12. snowspotter
    yep
  13. snowspotter
    It looks to me like the snow on the radar south of me is pepping up alittle again , i.e south of Reigate
  14. snowspotter
    I reckon half hour . I must be mad but heading to redhill for train to London in 40 minutes . I just know chaos will ensue later at London bridge !
  15. snowspotter
    Fliiping eck there are some miserable people around on netweather at the moment . ranging from 'oh no the preciptiation wont come far enough east' to 'oh no its coming through too quickly and its going to rain.' I cant see it suddenly not making it across the UK just because the crap GFS says its slightly further west . sorry don't buy it
  16. snowspotter
    Just a quick question on the NAE ,is it on netweather? found it on weatheronline , is it run at same resolution as the NMM 48hr model ??? guess they are both equal in accuracy?
  17. snowspotter
    For those who have got access on netweather the NMM high resolution model which goes out to 48rs I usually find very good , especially the T850 charts ( which show the warm sector) and the precipitation type charts. Where I am Reigate , currently the latest run shows that annoying warm sector with -3/-4 T850 air crossing our area around lunchtime tomorrow . In summary , from about 11pm tonight light snow coming in , followed by sleet/ rain tomorrow and then clearing with perhaps some back edge snow later, not really expecting g much to be honest but hey ho we have a week at least of very cold air to come
  18. snowspotter
    The system heading down Monday is still going to be adjusted a bit right up to when it arrives . The good sign is that it's moved west a bit with less warm sector now. There's not a lot of point getting too hung up on each run as these situations are never nailed on until the last few hours. I personally think where I am (Reigate ) I will be safe . Perhaps more likely to see sleet/ rain west ie. Hampshire westwards and maybe the south coast of Sussex/Kent . With further good tweaks everyone will be happy
  19. snowspotter
    I think someone on here said wait 3-4 days for the models to start showing something more positive with regards to the stratospheric warming. in the meantime agreed , shocking
  20. snowspotter
    I tend to agree with Ian Brown as I cannot see any change occurring to this pattern now of high pressure to our south , low over Greenland and relentless westerly winter weather. This winter is pretty much mild now until second half of January at least. It's time in my view to just accept its not going to be a cold winter and just enjoy the sunnier milder weather. I'll be shocked if we get a cold second half of January , my prediction is a mild January now , February average , anyway happy new year folks , let's hope we get a decent summer
  21. snowspotter
    I can't quite believe we are seeing out this hopeless weather year with basically a continuation of the weather we had in the summer. If we continue with wet summers and mild wet winters I may seriously have to consider leaving this god forsaken island. Unfortunately the blocking over Greenland seems only to appear in the summer. I was expecting December to be below average this year. A lot of signs were there for cold weather but it's gone badly wrong. The next ten days look hopeless for cold so that will take us into early January with a zonal set up. I am going for a mild January and average February . I just have a gut feeling the weather is setting in for a dreary winter. Very depressing for all the snow lovers out there. The silence of the big hitters on the model thread I think says it all Hey ho , it's only weather at the end of the day . At least I can give the models a miss for a couple of weeks ,then come back and if they then look the same then give up and plan my escape to someone drier Oh merry Xmas by the way :-)
  22. snowspotter
    First post of season . I seriously question some of the moronic posts on the model discussion thread . 'winter over','worst ever charts' etc. Its a pain sifting through the tripe posted by people and to be honest I am going to start blocking all these new bods who seem to know nothing of the models. Just leave the seasoned people to comment. Anyway my steer on this is that we have a major freeze closeby . That siberian high is eventually going to link up with greenland / feed west and the models I believe are starting to hint at it. Highly unusual and dramatic charts in my opinion. Nothing like I've seen in last decade . eastern europe is cold already and its only a matter of time b4 we get the cold.
  23. snowspotter
    -11.8c minimum in Reigate (still -8 now as I type) coldest I have recorded for many years
  24. snowspotter
    Why worry about it? Expect nothing and then anything is a bonus. Personally I am braced for eastward movement and a snow to rain event with not much for me here in Surrey. Been here before and the usual outcome is the cold air to be displaced and sod all materialises. I suspect we will end up with just east anglia getting some snow. That is my negative approach . Hopefully will be a larger swathe of the country but I am not going to sit here all day analysing every single model run to the nth degree. Its futile and doesn't get you anywhere. In the meantime a lovely crisp sunny day outside now
  25. snowspotter
    Sunny and chiily morning here after my first air frost of the season with a minimum of -0.5c
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