Costa Del Fal
-
Posts
9,448 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
1
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by Costa Del Fal
-
Are you both in the countryside? Never known a power cut here in the more urban areas from wind. Did dip briefly from the manic lightning storm on the 3rd July though.
-
Power Cut map for us in the South West portion of the country (West Midlands region, South Wales, Devon, Cornwall, Bristol/Somerset). http://www.westernpower.co.uk/Power-outages/Power-cuts-in-your-area/Power-Cut-Map.aspx Edit: Wind picking up here quite a bit now too.
-
No lightning about currently. Could be objects hitting power lines maybe?
-
Not that windy here actually. No big gusts it seems though we are in a bit of a dip within the local geography. However it is not significant and was expecting slightly stronger than this so far.
-
The storm isn't finished yet. The strong winds are yet to pass through later. The winds form a second 'stage' to this storm, associated with a fairly rapid increase in pressure on its SW edge and dry air infiltrating down to the surface, pulling down stronger winds. The intrusion of drier air is hence why the winds are not really associated with any concurrent rainfall and thus are partly separate features to the overall LP. -
Looks like the W Midlands will be one of the few regions without much of a snow risk this weekend sadly but nothing new there. Looks all coastal generally. Still, we have tonight to focus on. Stay safe all.
-
Still 6 hours to the peak and already quite blowy!
-
Still looks like the central slice of Wales and the Midlands to be hardest hit.
-
I think Woolacombe is a great site. Very exposed to the wind off the Atlantic with some foam whipped up in storms and when filming you can capture the sand dunes swaying. A lot of the trees are quite bent in the area too from the buffeting wind too. Kynance cove in Cornwall on the Lizard is another very rugged spot. A beach at low tide but no doubt the waves come crashing right onto the rocks at high tide. Fascinating change over the tidal cycle.
-
Nothing damaging? I thought that was a good thing!
-
60mph possible but more 50mph for your area I think. Certainly nothing extraordinary. However for us midlanders, 50mph is usually pretty strong by our standards so the prospect of 60-70mph is fairly rare.
-
Yep, models in the last 24 hours have strengthened the wind gusts for us. Met office going for at least 60mph gusts and near 30mph average wind. Cannot remember the last time this happened. Will be fairly brief but could've quite severe for us by our standards and what we are used to.
-
Model output discussion - 16th Nov onwards
Costa Del Fal replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Pretty organised vortex there to be fair too. Would doubt future frames would have much interest around Greenland if there were some. Still, deep into FI I won't be concerned for now. -
I should have said I was going by GFS which idea suggest that. Personally I would be surprised at that but meto still going for 60mph. Not seen often at all albeit it does rarely happen. By the way does that chart cover wind gusts?
-
Would just like to add a fair number of trees still in leaf here too. So with wet ground, 70mph gusts will have a very good go at causing strain on trees etc.
-
GFS going for pretty much 70mph gusts here tomorrow evening. Cannot remember the last time that occurred.
-
Weather alert out for tomorrow now for gales 60-70mph winds. As I expected looking at the charts. Looks fairly brief but certainly strong enough to cause some damage. Not often we get wind speeds over 60mph.
-
Looks like just a cold dry weekend now really. At least it will be sunnier but I really don't like cold with no real reward for it I.e snow. The ukmo always produces more average looking charts but alas, usually the ones closer to reality sadly.
-
Atlantic Storms Autumn 2015
Costa Del Fal replied to Allseasons-Si's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
The midlands could see some unusually strong gusts Tuesday evening. Models going for 60 even upto 70mph gusts. Very strong for this area. Even average wind speeds, the GFS is near 40mph. Looks brief but could be particularly nasty. Another one to watch. Certainly a risk of fallen trees. What is the link to this site please? -
Tuesday evening could be one to watch. Models seem to be going for some pretty high gusts for our region. 60-70mph not out of the question. That's very strong for our region and not seen often at all. Looks fairly brief and should drop quick early into Wednesday morning so expect a squall line too.
-
Model Output Discussion - 18z 31/10/15 onwards
Costa Del Fal replied to Thunderbolt_'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not a proper easterly at all! It doesnt even turn out to be one after. Not that cold with air coming from the Med! -
Model Output Discussion - 18z 31/10/15 onwards
Costa Del Fal replied to Thunderbolt_'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Indeed it does, dumping a few cm for Wales, SW Mdlands into CS England. All rather conjecture at this stage anyway but certainly confidence starting to increase now of something cold enough for snow. Just 5 days really till it begins. With these setups things can change right up to the last minute though. However with low pressure just to our east, the probability of disturbances running around it are good. -
Model Output Discussion - 18z 31/10/15 onwards
Costa Del Fal replied to Thunderbolt_'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Can you offer an explanation as to why this is the case please? Just interested as I thought the runs have the same parameters etc but fed with the newest/latest initial conditions? -
I think he may have been referring to the BBC week ahead forecast which was on after children in need about 2am which did show the jet buckling and mention of the first possible cold spell.
-
ECM has led us up the garden path the last 2 Novembers I believe. I shall wait and hold back thanks. Some getting a bit too ahead of themselves again.
