Supercell 89

Looking good for some storms on the Saturday and Sunday in Oklahoma and Kansas but there isn't much in the way of upper winds, but that could all change of course

Looking good for Kansas and Oklahoma as well to my untrained eye looking on the GFS http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2012&model_mm=05&model_dd=12&model_init_hh=12&fhour=192&parameter=LFTX&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false

Confirmed tornado from the Corpus Christi cell earlier, looking by the radar its going for another go. Ok maybe not lol

TORNADO WARNING TXC283-101815- /O.NEW.KCRP.TO.W.0016.120510T1735Z-120510T1815Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 1235 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL LA SALLE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 115 PM CDT * AT 1234 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO OVER CENTRAL LA SALLE COUNTY...OR 18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF COTULLA...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS STORM AND HAS THE POSSIBILITY OF A LARGE AND DAMAGING TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... RURAL LA SALLE COUNTY... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTH TEXAS.

Looks like its got another hook echo appearing on it again?

Awesome! How do you its got large hail on it i can only find the basic radar scans. Is it tornado warned? From the NOAA it looks as though it is? http://radar.weather...1101111&loop=no Yep looks it, did have a nice hook echo http://www.srh.noaa....azards/?wfo=crp

Nice cell popped up just south west of Corpus Christi EDIT - Its just east of Riviera

Good luck amigos

The radar returns from just south of Bournemouth look interesting, strange sort of shape

The cells over North west France look as though they are going to drift towards Devon/Cornwall. Could be interesting when that lot hits land.

That sounds encouraging I think the precip over north west France has Devon/Cornwall written on it lol. The cells over Dorset are going nuts looking at the latest radar scans, is it still thundering there?

Looking good in Dorset send some this way lol. Although i dont know what the monthly total for Paignton is, Brixham has recorded just over 200mm of rain this month! Only the second time i've seen a monthly total that high, its the total amount of rainfall we'd expect here for the entire spring.

Hoping for something later on tonight, impressive cells over Dorest which i think are probably going to track north of here but some potent cells exploding over north west France so hopefully they will drift this way and not be killed by the channel. I have a feeling any storms that fire up tonight will only fire up once any precipitation crossing the channel hits land as i think the sea temperatures are abit cool to support many storms for long. Why does this have to happen the night before i have an exam! lol

Many thank again sorry for all the questions

Many thanks for these GP With the MJO how would you know if its active or not? I'm guessing its the quicker it moves through the different phases? Also read into some stuff about the MJO itself but i'm still not enirely clear how it effects our weather patterns, i know it can cause what is known as the "pineapple express" in western america but not sure what implications it has for us. (I'm sorry for all these questions).

Thanks for the informative update GP Do you think the increase in solar activity during March and also April will have a knock on effect on the Angular Momentum allowing it to increase? If this was the case, would we get a possible warm June followed by a half decent summer perhaps? Also one final question (sorry) do you have a link to the composites of the angular momentum? as i tried looking over the t'internet and could not find any

Torrential rain here now still no thunder but its still getting dark

Sky has gone black to my south west! raining heavily come on thor!!

The cell to my south is gaining strength and looks as though its heading my way!

Just seen the severe weather forecast had no idea this was coming today! Looks as though we had another narrow miss earlier this morning, Plymouth got battered, pretty much everywhere around Torbay has had a storm the last two weeks . Something heading northwards from the channel so hopefully we may finally get a storm. Interesting radar returns over The Isle of Wight and Portsmouth area

Think the convection seems to be fizzling out on the moors. Perhaps a lull before another round later in the day?

Lol that is true, its where i've been getting my fix the last two years lol

Nice brief hail shower here, with a a sole rumble of thunder. The cell has moved out to sea and is building nicely, gone black to my south again so Brixham and Dartmouth could be in for round 2.

Another nice black cloud bubbling up behind us but its not heading our way, another one to our south.

Lol story of the last few years here when it comes to storms.