damianslaw

Quite a decent weekend ahead, perhaps a bit showery tomorrow, but plenty of dry bright weather. Make the most of it, we will soon have to become used to such conditions being rather a bit too chilly to linger too long outside not doing much.

A cold snap in late October always pricks my attention and speculation. 2000, 2008, 2010 and 2012 all produced low level snow in parts of the north from northerlies, and the following winters all brought some decent or very cold conditions. Conversely the normal wet mild weather we experience in late October has more often than not been followed by mild wet winters. Probably one or two exceptions to this. More recently we've had a few cold spells in November, apart from 2008, 2010 and to an extent 2017 these haven't been followed by cold winters. Last winters cold end to Nov a case in point, 2016 also.

Bridgefoot wettest place yesterday 35mm NW Cumbria. Suspect the fells saw much more than that.

We've turned the corner, I feel. Yes October can still bring 20+plus days but they feel as warm as equivalent days in late Feb- mid March, and therefore not summery. We are entering the most rapid transitional period of the year, which peaks late October.. rapid light loss, rapid sun strength loss.. the countdown of such change has started.

Freezing levels set to drop below 1000m early new week, snowline could well be as low as 800m by Tuesday on Scottish Highlands.

A finish in the mid to high 14s quite likely.

Agree, it looks more cyclonic than zonal.

An autumnal start. After the heavy rain of yesterday there is much dampness and wet in the atmosphere, clear skies during the night and a polar airstream have combined to provide ideal conditions for mist to form. Chilly clear blue sky start to the day. Can we say Autumn has officially started? Yes we can!

My calandar states its Autumn tomorrow. A cold northerly forecast early in the new year, quite likely to bring snowfall to highest scottish hills. Nothing too unusual about that. The Lakeland fells typically have to wait until late October for their first dusting. Use this thread to post snow level lines, depths on our mountains.

Summer ended firmly 31 August here this year.

Streams are in full flow, long time since seen that, evidence alot of rain fell today.

For snow lovers 3 months too early. These synoptics would by then most likely give a rain to snow event, with plenty of snow showers or bands of snow packing in behind, given it is an unstable set up. Alas at this time of year just cold rain. Still its always interesting to see amplified flows in Autumn, diving low pressure into Europe.

Gave in today and kept electric heater on for lengthy periods of the day, otherwise temp would have stayed around 16 degrees, which is uncomfortable and does not aid concentration and productivity when sat working. Can get away with no heating when not working..

Expect we've had at least an inch today. Feels so far an average month rainfall wise in thr Lake District. We've had a very dry middle third following a wet first third. Last third looking wetter but nothing substantive.

Difference with this September's warmth and that of most September's is it was unusually wet and cloudy with it. Only the far SE experienced sunny drt warmth mid month briefly. Consequently for many especially further north it will be a September with minimal warm dry weather, the dry weather has come with average temps.

Yes think Monday will be that first cold day of the season, Tuesday colder.. expecting warm coats will be removed from the cupboards. I wore my wet winter coat today first time since April.

Yes has an October vibe to it. Won't be long before such synoptics cause the chilly air to expel from the breathe, that's when you know we've firmly entered the colder half of the year.

Turning into a notably wet day here. Easily an inch of rain put down so far I expect.

Should see a continued drop through rest of the month, perhaps more notably so for a time. Good chance could easily knock off 1 degree. September is perhaps the most cooling of months, early Sept often warm, the last few days usually much cooler. October though equally if not more so a cooling month. March and April equal probably the most warming month.

Once the equinox arrives I firmly wave good bye to summer. Those long days of mid May to late July seem long ago now.

Calandar says first day of Autumn tomorrow. Today certainly feels first true Autumnal day. We've had moderate rain all morning, very low cloud down to valley level - always makes for a miserable feel, current temp a chilly 13.8 degrees.

Ideal temp is about 19 degrees. I can cope well with 18 degrees, but below this when working and sitting still it becomes more uncomfortable, but can still live with no heating at 17 degrees, just about 16 degrees, but duvet and extra layers needed 15 degrees or below. People's tolerance levels are very dependent on factors such as age, sex, weight, health conditions, how much mobility they have.

Yes despite me bemoaning the currwnt benign conditions, it is turning into a more varied September than usual. Unusually the warmth has been associated with more cyclonic conditions. A couple of potent northerlies bringing quite cold conditions - the next one looks cold. The CET will disguise the variability.

Another wake me up when September ends type day. Its a non descript cloudy day, all just very average and dull. Tomorrow will bring first meaningful rain for upwards of 10 days.. getting used to 10 day dry spells.

Looking increasingly will end in the 14s and comfortably so.