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Convective/Storm Discussion early to mid June (merged)

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chapmanslade Community Regular

chapmanslade

Posted
  • Location: Chapmanslade, Wiltshire + Charente, France
  • Location: Chapmanslade, Wiltshire + Charente, France
Posted
wind and dew points for tomorrow

nigel

Well the dew points look reasonable, with today producing similar, and a wind convergence zone in a similar place as well. Pretty much a rerun of today.

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MP-R Maestro

MP-R

Posted
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
Posted

Oh goodee! The summer storm forcefield which has been enclosing Bristol may be broken tomorrow!

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mac Newbie

mac

Posted
  • Location: Antrim, N Ireland
  • Location: Antrim, N Ireland
Posted

GFS still going for widespread thundery activity on Tuesday, continuing the pattern of the last few runs.

Zilch in the way of Tstorms here so far this year in N Ireland.... :nonono:

post-1302-1181427954_thumb.jpg

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted
GFS still going for widespread thundery activity on Tuesday, continuing the pattern of the last few runs.

One word unlikely.

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted (edited)

Well well, another hot and sunny day for most.

BBC weather / Metoffice are talking about showers possibly heavy for south / southwest & wales

Estofex looks fun for europe but nothing for the UK :nonono:

post-182-1181460651_thumb.png

Edited by Lynxus
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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted

Yes it looks like any showers will be in the South West or Wales and Some may get into the West Midlands. But otherwise thats it.

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stormchaser1 Explorer

stormchaser1

Posted
  • Location: North Kenton (Tyne-and-Wear)6miles east from newcastle airport
  • Location: North Kenton (Tyne-and-Wear)6miles east from newcastle airport
Posted

weather on line skew charts for this morning still showing highish cape for Bristol and Cardiff

nigel

However saying that , this is netweathers skew charts for cardiff

Notice the big difference in Cape given

nigel

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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted (edited)

Hi there sorry if this is in the Wrong Forum. Please Move if it is.

The main Focus on this Thread is that I or You Tell Everyone of Any Lightning Strikes Happening Across the UK and Northern France.

Just use Lightning Detectors and Perhaps Rain Radars to Help you before Posting.

Warning: Some Lightning Reports may be Anaprop (Not actually Happened)

Enjoy Reading the Thread and i Hope its Useful to you.

P.S If your Posting some Lightning that is Happening Please State What time the Map Showed or What time your posting it so we dont get confused and Also Post the Date!

Thanks.

Sunday 10th June at 09:39

Odd Strike around the South East out to Sea, Few Strikes in the North Sea and some Strikes Coming up in the Sea on the Western Side of France (Thunderstorms moving up from Spain).

Edited by Blizzards
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stormchaser1 Explorer

stormchaser1

Posted
  • Location: North Kenton (Tyne-and-Wear)6miles east from newcastle airport
  • Location: North Kenton (Tyne-and-Wear)6miles east from newcastle airport
Posted

Can anyone explain how this has happened, does weather on line no something we dont know ????

nigel

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Paul Maestro

Paul

Posted
  • Location: Aviemore
  • Location: Aviemore
Posted

Put simply Nigel it looks to me that the weatheronline forecast skew-t's are widely inaccurate with their cape prediction. If they are based on the GFS, which I believe they are then the data just doesn't support the figure on their diagram.

You can even see on the cape maps that the level they are showing is not applicable to anywhere in the UK:

post-2-1181466576_thumb.png

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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted

Interesting Cape Chart their Paul, i have a chance of Thunderstorms today then as my cape is about 200.

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stormchaser1 Explorer

stormchaser1

Posted
  • Location: North Kenton (Tyne-and-Wear)6miles east from newcastle airport
  • Location: North Kenton (Tyne-and-Wear)6miles east from newcastle airport
Posted

Paul

Thanks for the Info!

Thats what i thought , as none of the Models on Nw Xtra was showing that high of Cape for anywhere in the country ,

thanks again

Nigel

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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted

Strikes Continuing in the North Sea and Odd Strike in the Sea in the South West.

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daverave Newbie

daverave

Posted
  • Location: Andover(hampshire)
  • Location: Andover(hampshire)
Posted

i have to be honest this is beginning to be the worst year for storms, it's already june with nowt. i have also been noticing through the years it's becoming less and less why is that? :wallbash: .

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kaz Apprentice

kaz

Posted
  • Location: Barnstaple N Devon
  • Location: Barnstaple N Devon
Posted (edited)
i have to be honest this is beginning to be the worst year for storms, it's already june with nowt. i have also been noticing through the years it's becoming less and less why is that? :wallbash: .

Aww its not just you mate ... We havent had anything yet... Late june and july seem to be better.. ang in there im sure you will be getting something soon.. i know its frustrating....

kaz

I thought we were gunner get something today but that looks like its gone all t...s up now

Edited by kaz
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stormchaser1 Explorer

stormchaser1

Posted
  • Location: North Kenton (Tyne-and-Wear)6miles east from newcastle airport
  • Location: North Kenton (Tyne-and-Wear)6miles east from newcastle airport
Posted

well so far this year i have heard one Rumble of thunder{last week] and thats all we in the North East has had since last year , Last decent storm we had was back in 2005

Nigel

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daverave Newbie

daverave

Posted
  • Location: Andover(hampshire)
  • Location: Andover(hampshire)
Posted

yeah i thought yesterday we were gonna get something. the air was so muggy and close, it came to thundery rain lol. i think a rain dance is in order

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MP-R Maestro

MP-R

Posted
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
Posted

Forecasts say I'm in the best area for storms today...I'll believe it when I see it. But it is very muggy this morning and already 23.5C with full sunshine.

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

Talking about inaccurate!

post-182-1181468975_thumb.jpg

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cyclonic happiness Accomplished

cyclonic happiness

Posted
  • Location: Bedworth, North Warwickshire 404ft above sea level
  • Location: Bedworth, North Warwickshire 404ft above sea level
Posted
Talking about inaccurate!

WOW!!!! I'm off to East Anglia!!!! I'd better wear my concrete wellies though!!!!!! lol!

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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted
Talking about inaccurate!

What should that chart be showing?

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted
What should that chart be showing?

Uk Temp.

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Snowyowl9 Veteran

Snowyowl9

Posted
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.
Posted
Forecasts say I'm in the best area for storms today...I'll believe it when I see it. But it is very muggy this morning and already 23.5C with full sunshine.

Wales/SW does have the best chance of sharp showers/thundery if were`re lucky.

We`ve got all this low cloud to clear yet but it`s warm/humid at 19.1c.

Seen days like this before and the low cloud just doesn`t clear in summer even with no wind in recent years.

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Darren Bown Community Regular

Darren Bown

Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
Posted

After a clear start here, its almost totally clouded up within an hour, hardly any sun and no wind.

Daz

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