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Wales Cymru Cold Spell Discussion.

Methuselah

By Methuselah
in Spring Weather Discussion

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DeepSnow Community Regular

DeepSnow

Posted
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy Winters, warm stormy spring & sumemr, cool frosty Autumn!
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
Posted

wow indeed, wish that forecast was for where i live!!

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J10 Veteran

J10

Posted
Posted

For the record, also attached the UKMO 4km high-res modelling of likely snowfall by 21Z tomorrow, again highlighting Cotswolds and upland Glos areas, but with the key focus across into the west, as earlier described. Note we expect this product to be under-estimating totals (refe to earlier post for better idea) but nonetheless offering a reasonable areal spread for snowfall potential.

Bed beckons; as does the 0300 alarm -

Cheers until tomorrow

Ian

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Ukwoody Contributor

Ukwoody

Posted
  • Location: Milford Haven, Pembrokeshire
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes
  • Location: Milford Haven, Pembrokeshire
Posted

well, shows us having to wait until thursday. Mind you, even that would be great

woody

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J10 Veteran

J10

Posted
Posted

Yup that was a great post made by Ian on the SW thread.

Still got the GFS 18Z and the NAE run to go, it would be more promising if that low was shifted southwards again.

Indeed, for here I expect a wintry mix of rain, sleet and snow, that may give temporary coverings, so I would gladly take 5cm, if the front is further south than projected it could really help us out.

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keithlucky Experienced

keithlucky

Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
Posted

Drizzle pushing into SW England

Notice how the warm front is struggling to make progress waiting for the cold front to reach us early hrs.I wonder if this front will get further than mid wales.
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Jamie. Newbie

Jamie.

Posted
  • Location: Chepstow, South Wales - 275ft ASL
  • Location: Chepstow, South Wales - 275ft ASL
Posted

temp up to 1.2C :pardon:.

may be from more cloud cover but I hope the temperature falls away quickly before the front arrives.

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SnowStorm(Jamie) Contributor

SnowStorm(Jamie)

Posted
  • Location: Swansea - 60m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow
  • Location: Swansea - 60m ASL
Posted

The 18z GFS gives another shift southward.

GFS 18Z @ 18h: http://charts.netwea.../h850t850eu.png

and the 12z @ 18h: http://charts.netwea.../h850t850eu.png

Slight improvement i would say from the GFS.

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djwayne Newbie

djwayne

Posted
  • Location: Llantwit Fardre, Pontypridd
  • Location: Llantwit Fardre, Pontypridd
Posted

I can see a few definite things in this cold spell.

1. There is going to be a lot of bleary eyes in the morning.

2. Your neighboutrs are gonna think you have a problem peeking out the window every 5 mins.

3. The forum is gonna be pretty bvusy until silly o'clock with all us snow addicts.

I can't wait and only a few hours until it all kicks off one way or another :drunk:

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SMU Maestro

SMU

Posted
Posted

Hey guys- I Dont come in this thread very often- however looking at the 18z & runs that are available today I wish everyone in wales the best of luck towards deep accumulating snow in the next few days-

Somewhere in the bullseye zone will reach 35/40cm- somewhere close to snowden...

best wishes

Steve

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welshsi Newbie

welshsi

Posted
  • Location: Pontyclun/Llantrisant
  • Location: Pontyclun/Llantrisant
Posted

hi all,,had great fun watching this forum back in feb when we had some snow,,,unfortunatly been to busy this last week or two to look in,with our last sprinkling ! but heard we may be in for a bit more of a covering in the next few days !! : )....... how goods it looking for Llantrisant/Llanharry area folks ? do i need to get up the spar sharpish in the morn for some bread and milk ? because im nearly out !!!! cheers : )

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andymusic Accomplished

andymusic

Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
Posted

hi all,,had great fun watching this forum back in feb when we had some snow,,,unfortunatly been to busy this last week or two to look in,with our last sprinkling ! but heard we may be in for a bit more of a covering in the next few days !! : )....... how goods it looking for Llantrisant/Llanharry area folks ? do i need to get up the spar sharpish in the morn for some bread and milk ? because im nearly out !!!! cheers : )

YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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andymusic Accomplished

andymusic

Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
Posted

Hi mate, reckon we'll get any snow?

18z has moved things south again - meaning colder air will get in and undercut the front sooner - if you don't get it straight away - it won't be long before you do!

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Bafan Explorer

Bafan

Posted
  • Location: Tredegar, SE Wales, 330m asl
  • Location: Tredegar, SE Wales, 330m asl
Posted

Getting conflicting information... some are saying we will get it, others are saying we won't. At 330m asl, I'm keeping my fingers crossed.

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SnowStorm(Jamie) Contributor

SnowStorm(Jamie)

Posted
  • Location: Swansea - 60m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow
  • Location: Swansea - 60m ASL
Posted (edited)

Latest NAE:

18h: http://expert.weathe...122912_2818.gif

24: http://expert.weathe...122918_2818.gif

Snowfall for Mid Wales and Midlands with rain for those areas closer to the coast upper air temps just seem to high:

http://expert.weathe...122912_2818.gif

Edited by SnowStorm(Jamie)
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CardiffStorm Rookie

CardiffStorm

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff
  • Location: Cardiff
Posted

Latest NAE:

18h: http://expert.weathe...122912_2818.gif

24: http://expert.weathe...122918_2818.gif

Snowfall for Mid Wales and Midlands with rain for those areas closer to the coast upper air temps just seem to high:

http://expert.weathe...122912_2818.gif

Definately agree. Mainly rain/sleet for South Wales. However, I think its safe to say that wherever the snow falls it will be deep.

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keithlucky Experienced

keithlucky

Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
Posted

The 18z GFS gives another shift southward.

GFS 18Z @ 18h: http://charts.netwea.../h850t850eu.png

and the 12z @ 18h: http://charts.netwea.../h850t850eu.png

Slight improvement i would say from the GFS.

Looks like any wintry falls tommorow will turn to snow tuesday night cold air digging in earlier.

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CardiffStorm Rookie

CardiffStorm

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff
  • Location: Cardiff
Posted (edited)

Latest NAE:

18h: http://expert.weathe...122912_2818.gif

24: http://expert.weathe...122918_2818.gif

Snowfall for Mid Wales and Midlands with rain for those areas closer to the coast upper air temps just seem to high:

http://expert.weathe...122912_2818.gif

Definately agree. Mainly rain/sleet for South Wales. However, I think its safe to say that wherever the snow falls it will be deep.

Sorry for posting twice.

Edited by jamo_s
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