Convective Discussion

[r6 steve]

well the rain band has been and gone now waiting for the big stuff to come!

[twister2005]

if only the storms would go that little bit further north, think i might have to holiday in france next time

[Coast]

OK, if we want to see what may be on its way, here's the Paris webcam which (looking at the sferics out there) should be next in line for some action!

www.paris-live.com/paris_webcam

Atfter this next one near Calais, there's only one thing in the way - The English Channel....

www.wimereux.biz/bigwebcam

[ZONE 51]

but??? or the chances are forming

[r6 steve]

i think actually i hope that the storms will spread slightly more to the west as previously thought but who knows??

[ZONE 51]

last one as got to go

be reading posts on mobile hope we do get some storms...

[loopydreamer]

Wait til you got get a proper plume spell of storms (last weekend was about a 3/10) - you'll love it!

cant wait

[Coast]

*** NexStorm TRAC Report from IOW generated 10/06/2010 16:45:04

Tracking 2 thunderstorms

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID G-3719 detected 15:15

Storm location bearing 160.2 dgr distance 203 mi

Last recorded activity 16:38

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend No change

Current strikerate 2/minute

Peak strikerate 13/minute

Total recorded strikes 129

Cloud-Ground strikes 59 - 45.74%

Intracloud strikes 70 - 54.26%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 21 - 16.28%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 38 - 29.46%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 36 - 27.91%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 34 - 26.36%

-------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID T-489 detected 16:08

Storm location bearing 145.2 dgr distance 183 mi

Last recorded activity 16:44

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend Undetermined

Current strikerate 6/minute

Peak strikerate 6/minute

Total recorded strikes 52

Cloud-Ground strikes 17 - 32.69%

Intracloud strikes 35 - 67.31%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 10 - 19.23%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 7 - 13.46%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 25 - 48.08%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 10 - 19.23%

-------------------------------------------------------

*** TRAC Report end - NexStorm V1.7.0.2612:PCI

[r6 steve]

I have still noticed no early warnings from the met office maybe they will wait to issue flash warnings?

[Neilsouth]

http://www.meteox.com/gmapstatic.aspx?zoom=6&type=zoom&x=195&y=314

[Nick F]

Netweather have an alert out. Notice the word 'thundery' has crept into the MetO forecasts for SE for tonight/morning

[r6 steve]

The meto must of been watching us all and took note lol

[Neilsouth]

The meto must of been watching us all and took note lol

lol true!

Even the latest sky news weather is behind the times

[Harry]

Do be aware that the LP system in the BoB is likely to give those storms advancing North a fairly decent swing towards the West (I suspect anyway)

Nevertheless encouraging to see the word thundery creeping in to the forecast!

[Stormyking]

Why do I get the feeling its goign to miss me by a few miles again , this keeps happening now grr.

Ah well I can only hope.

[r6 steve]

what direction do you think its gonna miss us? to the east?

[Dorsetbred]

Currently looking like the good stuff is going to go east of Southampton (as is often the case). Hoping to see some activity down here in Poole, but it does look more like a rain maker down here, than a storm generator.

[r6 steve]

im east of ahem southampton any way so heres hoping!!!

[r6 steve]

The thundery weather has just made the channel!

[dogs32]

last one as got to go

be reading posts on mobile hope we do get some storms...

wowo thats a huge top..Surely that is the shadow you can see there also.

good pic

but

outdated now

Edited June 10, 2010 by dogs32

[Flash Elvis]

Looking at latest Meteox radar, somebody has built a wall over the channel and they seem to be stalling or even breaking up in the channel

Is anybody in Southampton or on South Coast, as they should see something by now?

[CaptainHappy]

cant see aything as yet. too much cloud cluttering the sky at present. however fairly muggy here and 16 c

[Neilsouth]

SOUTH EAST - KADDY

Thunder and lightning a HUGE posibility!

[CaptainHappy]

to be honest we wont be seeing anything yet anyway. its still a good 100 miles to the south, so we will have to wait a little longer

Edited June 10, 2010 by Southernskies

[r6 steve]

i agree with you the wind at lower height is coming from the north east but upper weather going north westwards quite wierd seeing it!