Convective Discussion

[dogs32]

Yeah its looking good.

Tbh mate, we may be in line for them , So not much chasing needed.

Looking at the NW extra loop,, the storms moving into wales now are on a course for us!

Should be interesting.

there suppose to intensify as the night goes on...and its a all nighter..

will stay put but head out later when itrs dark...looking forward to capturing Anvil crawlers

and its about Blxxx time!!!!

Edited June 13, 2010 by dogs32

[Geordiesnow]

The rain is intensifying by the look of the Met Office radar so some fun and games is possible, i think it will be more of a talking point than any thunder/lightning itself but wee shall see.

[dogs32]

Was recording for a while but lightning and thunder are very infrequent so I've stopped recording for now. Not sure where that flash of lightning to my SW came from, nothing notable showing up on radar. The rumbles of thunder to my south-east though sounded pretty nasty, so would've thought there had been some nice bolts in that cell (now to the east of Birmingham) for a time.

Conditions for thunderstorms are certainly favourable this evening- warm, moist boundary layer under cold air aloft. Wouldn't be surprised if somewhere within the risk area got a good thunderstorm.

Suppose to get nasty TS later

[Craigers]

Yeah its looking good.

Tbh mate, we may be in line for them , So not much chasing needed.

Looking at the NW extra loop,, the storms moving into wales now are on a course for us!

Should be interesting.

any chances for southyorkshire?

[Gordon]

those showers in the irish sea do look like hitting gloucester later on but after this rain in birmingham I wonder how many more showers we'll see

[BlueHedgehog074]

Quickly looking at the radar, it should be starting to rain Bedworth in about the next 5 - 10 minutes, with a clump of precipitation just to the West.

[r6 steve]

what you recon through gloucester then on throught to the south coast?

[Gordon]

Quickly looking at the radar, it should be starting to rain Bedworth in about the next 5 - 10 minutes, with a clump of precipitation just to the West.

how heavy does it look

[Lynxus]

any chances for southyorkshire?

I hoesntly couldnt comment, i only really pay attention to round here.

I suppose anythings possible later.

[SnowJoke]

Just seen the weather forcast on the BBC, looking very good for us in the home counties tonight. Mention of really strong storms. Not really been paying attention since friday when the risk was negligable. Anyone explain whats changed since then? GFS indication of minimal uplift and MLCAPE after sundown

[dogs32]

my guess for the night for one of the most potent Storms is Oxford area or Tamworth for later in the morning...

[Gordon]

what you recon through gloucester then on throught to the south coast?

I think so yes but I'm no expert

[Costa Del Fal]

Showers firing up in Wales now. Just had some very heavy rain pass through with big thundery drops.

[Craigers]

NMM still going for yorkshire with the most intense rainfall

[matt_in_dudley]

Rain is so heavy here! Can hear it rumbling on the roof! High Street will be flooded soon because the drain can't cope with this much rain!

[dogs32]

I hoesntly couldnt comment, i only really pay attention to round here.

I suppose anythings possible later.

that area over the Irish sea Lynxus for us later...Hopefully by then they will be bad ass storms

[The PIT]

Isle of Wight Radar not showing anything either. More likely you're hearing jet aircraft or distant mobile disco's which do confuse things.

Steady rain here right now.

[Guest]

I hoesntly couldnt comment, i only really pay attention to round here.

I suppose anythings possible later.

I don't think so. Main action is for Midlands southwards with Gloucester eastwards to chilterns the best bet for later. Craigers: our best hope is for this massive area of heavy rain to give us some thunder during the next couple of hours.

Either way it is gonna pour here very soon. Could be flash flooding I think, it is a very large area of very heavy rain, electrified or not it is interesting!

NMM still going for yorkshire with the most intense rainfall

That must be our area of heavy rain. NMM thinks it will keep it's high intensity through this evening which is good. We can only hope to get some thunder out of it!

[BlueHedgehog074]

how heavy does it look

Very heavy according to some of the dark green blobs showing on Netweather's precipitation radar, which is showing to the West of the area.

[dogs32]

I would also put London in the firing line for the later part of dawn...Just my opinon....

as the above poster for some decent TS(Cape Steve)

Edited June 13, 2010 by dogs32

[liambailey09]

Looks like i'm win with a chance of a thunderstorm during the night We'll see though.

Would like to stay up or at least set the alarm to check but i have a geography exam first thing tomorrow so i need sleep

Hopefully if a storm passes by it will wake me up

[andymusic]

Cold front now passed with some rain - some very dark clouds now appearing to the west - here we go!!!!!!!!!

[matt_in_dudley]

Thunder and lightning in Tamworth according to my friend Carole!

[Guest]

Rain is getting pretty heavy now, but we still haven't got the heaviest area over us yet. Should be fun when we do! 

[dogs32]

That heavy band is also spreading up to Yorkshire also...

But Miss Willetts is going for the Midlands and Home counties......Must be the Irish showers which are going to ignite.