Convective Discussion

[Gordon]

I think while its moving E / NE the area of rain should slowly push South Whilst it still rotates E / N-E

so I could get effectively stuck under this band of rain if it's rotating E/NE

[Lewis]

Dang, sounds good.

Looks like i'll miss out this time, i won't be complaining though as I did very well the other week

best of luck mate, and you guys down south (and of course those in the storm shielded sheffield )

yea thats how I was seeing it.....I was surprised myself to be honest about this forecast.....Saw to updates from Mrs Willets weather girl.

According to her the Thundery rain will turn torrentail in places as the nights goes on..

With Storms in places which some will be nasty TS...

She focused on S/E Midlands and the home counties for the worst of t he storms...

Also stating that these will be ongoing on and off through the night into the early hrs.

Seemed extremely confident on both forecasts.

and yes moving South East EXTREMLY slowly

[Craigers]

so I could get effectively stuck under this band of rain if it's rotating E/NE

NMM model shows it stalling in the middle of yorkshire

[dogs32]

Dang, sounds good.

Looks like i'll miss out this time, i won't be complaining though as I did very well the other week

best of luck mate, and you guys down south (and of course those in the storm shielded sheffield )

I wouldnt myself count your self out...On Sat 24 the explosion up your way looks impressive on infra red...

[Lewis]

NMM model shows it stalling in the middle of yorkshire

NMM model also shows this

check out these projected 24 hour accum precipitation totals, its showing almost 50mm in the S Yorkshire/Sheffield area.

[Gordon]

I thought it was already in yorkshire

Edited June 13, 2010 by Gordon

[Craigers]

I wouldnt myself count your self out...On Sat 24 the explosion up your way looks impressive on infra red...

i noticed that earlier on the satellite!

[andy_leics22]

NMM model shows it stalling in the middle of yorkshire

NMM is wrong

[Craigers]

NMM model also shows this

check out these projected 24 hour accum precipitation totals, its showing almost 50mm in the S Yorkshire/Sheffield area.

yep im slap bang in the middle of that! LOL

[dogs32]

i noticed that earlier on the satellite!

yes with explosion like that, look for the mushroom effect...normally turn into a TS...radar watching tonight....

Edited June 13, 2010 by dogs32

[Guest]

I  wouldnt  myself  count  your  self  out...On  Sat 24  the  explosion  up  your  way  looks  impressive  on  infra  red...

Impressive amounts of rain certainly. It's one of those that could give the odd rumble as it trundles NE-wards, but for the most part it's just prolonged heavy rain.

Perhaps later this evening there could be a couple of potent showers following on behind. Only a thought from a deluded hopeful though! 

[Lynxus]

The showers/storms over south Wales are reall starting to get going, every iteration of the NW radar shows intensity growing.

[dogs32]

Impressive amounts of rain certainly. It's one of those that could give the odd rumble as it trundles NE-wards, but for the most part it's just prolonged heavy rain.

Perhaps later this evening there could be a couple of potent showers following on behind. Only a thought from a deluded hopeful though! 

lol.....the main activity suppose to be later I gather..

Dont want to get anyone s hopes up but thats how Ive read this forecast...this is only the begining...a long night ahead..

WHO NEEDS FOOTBALL...LOL

Edited June 13, 2010 by dogs32

[Marcus_surfer]

The showers/storms over south Wales are reall starting to get going, every iteration of the NW radar shows intensity growing.

Yes...Has been a nice day since the drizzle this morning, but it's turning much more stormy now with gusty winds and angry looking clouds. I'm not expecting thunder here, but some showers to look quite nasty to come.

[Guest]

I'll happily follow those down south who do get some thunder though. It is nice reading excited reports coming through!

[TonyH]

Had a few heavy showers here today, it ruined my BBQ lol.

Had some lovely clouds formations today, towers, cirrus, cumulus, mammatus.

Here is a picture, it was like something out of independance day;

Cool, almost Asperatus that:

My link

[dogs32]

I'll happily follow those down south who do get some thunder though. It is nice reading excited reports coming through!

Im only going to go far as Hereford,Bristol,Brum and Oxford IF i have to..

[Mesoscale]

Some nice (what i think is) altostratus here!

I have no idea of what they are indicative to?

Im only going to go far as Hereford,Bristol,Brum and Oxford IF i have to..

what about southern hertforshire? watford area lol

[r6 steve]

Do these showers/storms intend to push there way south i feel we ought to get something down here with the rotation of the weather system over England

seeming to be pulling the weather in the west south and southeast?

Any thoughts?

[dogs32]

Some nice (what i think is) altostratus here!

I have no idea of what they are indicative to?

what about southern hertforshire? watford area lol

I have to get the car back also...for the other half...

If I dont get nothing in that radius it isnt worth it for the UK :lol:

[A.J]

still piddling down here, sadly no flashes or rumbles...Looking at projections for tonight, I think I'm a little too far north for thunderstorms tonight, the radar movies suggest showers/storms to be brum southwards.....Slightly off topic for this thread, but if you like explosive t-storm development, then check out SAT24 for Italy...There's some bombs going off in Northern Italy!!

[The PIT]

Ah the heavy rains has finally arrived. Taken it's time.

[sunny scunny]

Constant light rain here, but hopefully the heavier stuff will reach my area in a little while.

[Costa Del Fal]

I hope some of you arent getting too excited in case you are disappointed! Im neither optimistic or pessimistic right now but weve been let down all to often before.

Edited June 13, 2010 by Blizzards

[Lewis]

Gotta say,

the netweather radar looks very impressive!!