Convective Weather Discussion Uk

[NL]

A few showers are now setting off in the Home Counties, I would expect these to develop readily and drift westwards

Developing pretty quickly now, bright echoes now showing on the radar.

[Neilsouth]

The storms over France could perform a kent clipper later, its fairly unusual to get clipped from E-S-E...

Could be interesting!

UKMO Meso has a more organised band of perhaps thundery rain hitting the south coast sometime late tonight!, however south east could still get a clipper Copyright@

Sun breaking through the haze with blue sky here much better than earlier

http://www.sat24.nl/nl

Looks as if IOW could be in the firing line later going by those storms coming through north east france, that's some development across europe though

[SimonP]

Cell headed right for us - can't believe just how quickly this thing has developed. Quite continuous thunder but not yet witnessed any lightning - could be C-C as it's very hazy therefore making it tricky to see.

Good start!

[Sprites]

Could be interesting!

UKMO Meso has a more organised band of perhaps thundery rain hitting the south coast sometime late tonight!, however south east could still get a clipper Copyright@

Sun breaking through the haze with blue sky here much better than earlier

http://www.sat24.nl/nl

Looks as if IOW could be in the firing line later going by those storms coming through north east france, that's some development across europe though

hehe ,lets hope something holds together untill tonight, 5% chance id say...

[A.J]

Developing pretty quickly now, bright echoes now showing on the radar.

They certainly are!.....I was concerned at first when I looked at the wind profiles...They didn't look to be much directional shear, but looking at the actual wind speeds at various height profiles, it shouldn't be too much of a problem, there's enough velocity in the vertical shear for new updraughts for any given thunderstorm to blossom

[Coast]

Not by any means conclusive, but none the less, a useful step in the right direction:

[Neilsouth]

http://www.meteox.nl/gmap.aspx?soort=loop3uur&zoom=6&lat=52.908902047770255&lon=-1.845703125

http://www.sat24.com/en/eu?ir=true

Very nice, come on give us a large mcs

[Coast]

You love to see some of this amazing French activity traverse the Channel now wouldn't you?

It's not that far away, just a great expanse of cool water to cross........

*** NexStorm TRAC Report generated 29/04/2011 15:48:30

Tracking 4 thunderstorms from the Isle of Wight

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID C-5644 detected 14:00

Storm location bearing 132.5 dgr distance 121 mi

Last recorded activity 15:48

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend No change

Current strikerate 1/minute

Peak strikerate 12/minute

Total recorded strikes 218

Cloud-Ground strikes 100 - 45.87%

Intracloud strikes 118 - 54.13%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 30 - 13.76%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 70 - 32.11%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 70 - 32.11%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 48 - 22.02%

-------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID H-4863 detected 13:47

Storm location bearing 103.5 dgr distance 138 mi

Last recorded activity 15:48

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend Intensifying

Current strikerate 1/minute

Peak strikerate 8/minute

Total recorded strikes 208

Cloud-Ground strikes 76 - 36.54%

Intracloud strikes 132 - 63.46%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 54 - 25.96%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 22 - 10.58%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 41 - 19.71%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 91 - 43.75%

-------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID W-2960 detected 15:02

Storm location bearing 117.2 dgr distance 161 mi

Last recorded activity 15:47

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend Intensifying

Current strikerate 5/minute

Peak strikerate 7/minute

Total recorded strikes 86

Cloud-Ground strikes 36 - 41.86%

Intracloud strikes 50 - 58.14%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 20 - 23.26%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 16 - 18.60%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 23 - 26.74%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 27 - 31.40%

-------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID X-5202 detected 15:39

Storm location bearing 19.9 dgr distance 187 mi

Last recorded activity 15:48

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend No change

Current strikerate 2/minute

Peak strikerate 4/minute

Total recorded strikes 18

Cloud-Ground strikes 6 - 33.33%

Intracloud strikes 12 - 66.67%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 2 - 11.11%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 4 - 22.22%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 8 - 44.44%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 4 - 22.22%

-------------------------------------------------------

*** TRAC Report end - NexStorm V1.8.0.7025:PCI

[Snowangel-MK]

Nice rumbles of thunder and some heavy (and much needed) rain just started here

[A.J]

Just to add, along the M5 corridor (Bristol to Birmingham) looks to be a likely area for thunderstorms to drift into during the next 3 or so hours.....Too far south for me, but good for quite a few members on here!

like the member below, for instance!.....

Edited April 29, 2011 by ajpoolshark

[dogs32]

so i take it that lot is moving here

[Jane Louise]

Not much happening here in the caravan. Still grey cloud around.Need the sun to come out more. The cows in the field next to us are whipping their tails which according to old weather lore usually means an indication of a storm Lol.:lol:

[Costa Del Fal]

Just to add, along the M5 corridor (Bristol to Birmingham) looks to be a likely area for thunderstorms to drift into during the next 3 or so hours.....Too far south for me, but good for quite a few members on here!

like the member below, for instance!.....

Very borderline for me. Im thinking a miss for here but a good few hours left mind.

[SteveB]

Had good long periods of sunshine here, temp is rising, currently 15.7c dewpoint 12.7c

[SnowJoke]

Ongoing large storm in MK, formed in minutes. Large convective sporadic rainfall and bright IC and some huge CG's. Im guessing a couple were +CG they shook the building.

[DeepSnow]

It seems to be looking better now, temp 19.4C and through breaks in the clouds I can see the clouds are rising, are the chances of storms likely to decrease once the sun sets?

[Snowangel-MK]

Ongoing large storm in MK, formed in minutes. Large convective sporadic rainfall and bright IC and some huge CG's. Im guessing a couple were +CG they shook the building.

Yay MK is no longer in the 'No Storms Club'

[Lynxus]

Ongoing large storm in MK, formed in minutes. Large convective sporadic rainfall and bright IC and some huge CG's. Im guessing a couple were +CG they shook the building.

That storm appeared in like 30 minutes..

The speed of the convection is quite/very impressive!

[tomp456]

is all the storms gonna be confined to inland or will southern coasts see some stuff later?

[95 Degrees]

is all the storms gonna be confined to inland or will southern coasts see some stuff later?

Keep your eye on the Rain/Thunder band in Saint-Quentin/Amiens area of NE France, that looks like it's heading our way unless it fizzles out or the wind changes direction, so it could be stormy later on!

[The PIT]

Mmm looks like there maybe something of interest today. Need a good storm so I can get my nextstorm calibrated

[dave48]

Storms developing in a half decent CAPE environment, 300-600 by the looks of things with some shear too. Should be good storms for any that catch them, hoping a few more lines will pop up.

[tomp456]

Keep your eye on the Rain/Thunder band in Saint-Quentin/Amiens area of NE France, that looks like it's heading our way unless it fizzles out or the wind changes direction, so it could be stormy later on!

yey, one can only hope that something happens!!

[SnowJoke]

Storms moved off towards Buckingham / Oxford area now, Can still hear the thunder in the distance. Sky to my East & North East is again becoming extremly dark. I think there are more storms forming in the area.

Edited April 29, 2011 by SnowJoke

[NO LONGER POSTING]

nothing me for me again XD