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Significant Snow/Freezing Rain Risk - 9-10th February

Cheese Rice

By Cheese Rice
in Spring Weather Discussion

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john mac Aficionado

john mac

Posted
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
  • Weather Preferences: snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
Posted

I think events like this one can me more exciting as no one really knows whats going to happen. IMO the snow area is going to be much more vast than forecast so there will many more happy people on here this evening.

Good luck to everyone

A bit of good old fashiomed looking up at the sky needed for this lol

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i luv snow Enthusiast

i luv snow

Posted
  • Location: Sydney, Australia
  • Weather Preferences: Snow!
  • Location: Sydney, Australia
Posted

I still think the NAE hasn't got this PPN in the right position even though it shifted Eastwards on the 12z run. Compare it to the ACTUAL radar at this moment in time..

It really hasn't picked up the PPN over the North sea or what's developing over East Anglia!

12020918_0912.gif

Hi mate

Can assure - despite the radar - no snow is falling in EA either. Its very cold and we still have lots of old snow cover but nothing but a few snow grains.

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A.J Maestro

A.J

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
Posted

The precipitation has now reached a stage predicted by the metoffice to move SSW. And the last two or three radar runs show this happening. plenty of precipitation towards the NE. Radar looking good. And the intensification has begun.

Still light sleet/ice mix in brum at the moment.

Twitchy bum time for us for the next few hours...will it, or won't it? :wacko:

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Timmytour Accomplished

Timmytour

Posted
  • Location: Broxbourne, Herts
  • Weather Preferences: Snow snow and snow
  • Location: Broxbourne, Herts
Posted

Is the stuff on the radar east of Peterborough at present.....which looks at if it would be great for here.....only "faux precipitation"?

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andy_leics22 Rising Star

andy_leics22

Posted
  • Location: Ratby, Leicester.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms
  • Location: Ratby, Leicester.
Posted

I STILL don't understand why we now have moderate precip over us but nothing is falling still. Yet Birmingham has the same level of precip and has rain/ice pellets falling, Peterborough has snow falling, Nottingham does, Northampton did earlier yet nothing is reaching the ground here? I'm at 75m ASL so i'm not on THAT low ground.

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fourseasons Rookie

fourseasons

Posted
  • Location: Coventry
  • Location: Coventry
Posted

I STILL don't understand why we now have moderate precip over us but nothing is falling still. Yet Birmingham has the same level of precip and has rain/ice pellets falling, Peterborough has snow falling, Nottingham does, Northampton did earlier yet nothing is reaching the ground here? I'm at 75m ASL so i'm not on THAT low ground.

We have nothing falling out of the sky either, it's just a case of wait and see really.

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Brum Watcher Newbie

Brum Watcher

Posted
Posted

Twitchy bum time for us for the next few hours...will it, or won't it? :wacko:

Well I am confident with the BBC/METO @ the moment over the NAE. NAE has juggled and been misplaced all over the place today. Had Met man on local radio to confirm BBC/METO Forecast...Obv snow is not easily forecasted esp in a situ like this. If it doesnt, It doesnt. Good Luck to wherever gobbles it all.

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Zakos Community Regular

Zakos

Posted
  • Location: Wellingborough
  • Weather Preferences: snow
  • Location: Wellingborough
Posted

I STILL don't understand why we now have moderate precip over us but nothing is falling still. Yet Birmingham has the same level of precip and has rain/ice pellets falling, Peterborough has snow falling, Nottingham does, Northampton did earlier yet nothing is reaching the ground here? I'm at 75m ASL so i'm not on THAT low ground.

thw PPN hasnt really got here yet. But this is really confusing me. Any experts want to take a punt as to roughly when this evaporation will stop?

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MKN Community Regular

MKN

Posted
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
Posted

The precipitation has now reached a stage predicted by the metoffice to move SSW. And the last two or three radar runs show this happening. plenty of precipitation towards the NE. Radar looking good. And the intensification has begun.

Still light sleet/ice mix in brum at the moment.

Depends which bit your looking at some is still moving sse towards north of birmingham area. looks like centering around nottingham/leics, before sliding south west later

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Bottesford Experienced

Bottesford

Posted
  • Location: Berlin, Germany
  • Weather Preferences: Ample sunshine; Hot weather; Mixed winters with cold and mild spells
  • Location: Berlin, Germany
Posted

Seen a tiny bit of snow falling but nothing compared to what the radar is showing.. But slowly its getting more moist out there at ground level so can't be long before it gets more intense.

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Mammatus Apprentice

Mammatus

Posted
  • Location: Haverhill Suffolk UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Squall Lines, Storm Force Winds & Extreme Weather!
  • Location: Haverhill Suffolk UK
Posted (edited)

The MetO have updated there warnings for East Anglia http://www.metoffice...t_warnings.html

Edited by Mammatus
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andy_leics22 Rising Star

andy_leics22

Posted
  • Location: Ratby, Leicester.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms
  • Location: Ratby, Leicester.
Posted (edited)

The MetO have updated there warnings for East Anglia http://www.metoffice...t_warnings.html

I think this band is now way further East than anyone predicted. That stuff in the North Sea is HUGE, no model predicted there would be that much that far East. This is good news for the East Midlands, East Anglia and South East IMO.

Edited by andy_leics22
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SussexmarkyMark Rookie

SussexmarkyMark

Posted
  • Location: Brighton (About 1 mile from the sea and at 89m above sea level)
  • Location: Brighton (About 1 mile from the sea and at 89m above sea level)
Posted

The MetO have updated there warnings for East Anglia http://www.metoffice...t_warnings.html

It's updated for icy roads, not snow, I think

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted (edited)

Its updated for both.

Nope. It's ice.

It's just where some parts of the South East are just in the snow watch zone and the ice watch zone. But the latest update was just purely for icey conditions.

It's confusing for many though.

Edited by Mapantz
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Zakos Community Regular

Zakos

Posted
  • Location: Wellingborough
  • Weather Preferences: snow
  • Location: Wellingborough
Posted

I think this band is now way further East than anyone predicted. That stuff in the North Sea is HUGE, no model predicted there would be that much that far East. This is good news for the East Midlands, East Anglia and South East IMO.

yes, a shift east if ever there was one! Looks decisively better for me and you now!

My advice for tonight: bin all models

:Hand-throwing-ball-paper-bin.jpg

sit next to the window and gaze at the lampost for falling snow, even the radar now cannot be trusted!

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Floatylight Aficionado

Floatylight

Posted
  • Location: colchester,essex,40m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Very Hot,Very cold.scared of thunder and lightning.
  • Location: colchester,essex,40m asl.
Posted

Its updated for both.

As far as i can see the yellow band warning for snow has not moved,they have however added a band for ice.

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IDO Maestro

IDO

Posted
  • Location: Reigate Hill
  • Weather Preferences: Anything
  • Location: Reigate Hill
Posted

I dont know where some of these forecasts are coming from. According to the BBC there is no chance of snow for the south or SE. Its angle is towards the SW and its current axis is about 100 miles west of London!

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Nick L Maestro

Nick L

Posted
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
Posted (edited)

BBC have just put this about as far west as I've ever seen it!

Looks like a very poor show from the BBC. Sometimes I wonder do they just take the models as gospel and not even bother with the radar?

Edited by Nick L
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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

I'm beginning to wonder if the rain will return to freezing rain. Temps still dropping but light rain continues. Glad the forecast was wrong here for freezing rain so far ... but sad that snow forecast was wrong for us. Can't win every time though can you.

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john mac Aficionado

john mac

Posted
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
  • Weather Preferences: snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
Posted

I dont know where some of these forecasts are coming from. According to the BBC there is no chance of snow for the south or SE. Its angle is towards the SW and its current axis is about 100 miles west of London!

Ah well we're definately going to get some then lol

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