The Midlands Regional Discussion - Part 5

[cyclonic happiness]

A pic I took this morning of Braunstone park near me..

The lake is mostly frozen over and there is still a good 5cm of snow left on the grass, apologies for the poor quality though lol, the camera on my phone is 8MP but I was freezing cold and shaking :lol:

HAHA I just saw what you wrote about your hands were cold and shaking, them I saw the picture underneath which says 'attached thumbnails" and though ....."my god! it must be cold!" Edited February 9, 2012 by cyclonic happiness

[MKN]

I'm starting to think places east of Birmingham won't really see much more than 1-3cms. Gfs shifts things further west again on the 06z.

[kold weather]

Yeah the models are shifting westwards again, this run actually brings the core of the precip into E.Wales!

Still really the models mean nothing now, as its very much a nowcast situation...not sure they really have a good grip of things looking at the current radar!

[cyclonic happiness]

I'm starting to think places east of Birmingham won't really see much more than 1-3cms. Gfs shifts things further west again on the 06z.

just jiggle in your mind the furthest east and the furthest west you seen it and the exact middle bit is probably where it'll be or ...................................HINCKLEY!

[MKN]

Yup gfs has 3/4mm over large parts of the midlands. Nae has about 1mm

[Turnedoutniceagain]

Light flakes in the air now !! Hold onto ya' hats !!

[MKN]

Charts two days ago that had it further east than here and charts from today that its much further west doesn't result in it probably being in the middle. It shows the latest data shows its now further west and has been trending so for some time. If anything I wouldn't surprised if it continued that trend.

[JonMillar]

I thought this too Andy, looking at Raintoday premium they are forecasting it to be reaching Nottingham by 10am like you say!

Not here .... yet!

Although the radar says it should be at this very moment!

Edited February 9, 2012 by JonMillar

[cyclonic happiness]

Charts two days ago that had it further east than here and charts from today that its much further west doesn't result in it probably being in the middle. It shows the latest data shows its now further west and has been trending so for some time. If anything I wouldn't surprised if it continued that trend.

the rainfall radar is showing that it's ALOT further east as we speak though?

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=radar;sess=

[MKN]

Ppl are saying its showing precip over them but nothin' fallin tho??

[Polar Maritime]

Wait untill it hit's Birmingham it's looking like the front will bump into the cold air, stall then pivot S/W

[Derbyshire_snow]

Nothing happening here in Dronfield on the border with Sheffield either.

[snowmadchrisuk]

I think in the Midlands you are more likely to get it earlier than first forecast , for example it is nearly hitting Leicester now , I just hope the air is cold enough for you guys ... I think what will then happen is later on this evening it will squash up together into a big band , as the PPN merges together it will intensify and then be forced SW and end up near Wales somewhere , with some lighter stuff remaining a bit further East .

[snowmadchrisuk]

lol @ Andy_Leic see that big hole in the PPN heading for Leicester

[Ryan05]

Nothing in Nottingham

[snowmadchrisuk]

Arh well most people are saying nothing is falling from where the ppn is showing on the radar ... Must be evaporating before it reaches the ground .

[JonMillar]

I think in the Midlands you are more likely to get it earlier than first forecast , for example it is nearly hitting Leicester now , I just hope the air is cold enough for you guys ... I think what will then happen is later on this evening it will squash up together into a big band , as the PPN merges together it will intensify and then be forced SW and end up near Wales somewhere , with some lighter stuff remaining a bit further East .

Hmm! Not sure. According to the radar we are under ppn right now in north Nottingham, but nothing is dropping. I don't think anything will until the heavier ppn comes down in about 9-12 hrs time. It looks like Nottingham will be right on the edge of it as it tails off to the SW. It could even be 10 miles either way making all the difference.

Edited February 9, 2012 by JonMillar

[snowmadchrisuk]

Hmm! Not sure. According to the radar we are under ppn right now in north Nottingham, but nothing is dropping. I don't think anything will until the heavier ppn comes down in about 9-12 hrs time. It looks like Nottingham will be right on the edge of it as it tails off to the SW. It could even be 10 miles either way making all the difference.

Well good luck , When this front merges together it is going too be a few Miles East or West that can be the difference between 20CM and nothing .

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Ppl are saying its showing precip over them but nothin' fallin tho??

It's evaporating before it hits the ground..

[Turnedoutniceagain]

http://daventryweather.co.uk/

Still -2c around here

[snowmadchrisuk]

http://daventryweather.co.uk/

Still -2c around here

Light Snow showers being reported at Church Lawford near Leicester on XC Weather .

[Ryan05]

Just goes to show what 24 hours can do, yesterday Nottingham was bang in line for another snow event now its looking very marginal. Im going to take any snow today as a bonus but as others state 10 miles either way can change things dramatically for some

[Paceyboy]

I cant believe the radar, what can we believe at this current moment?

Im really fretting because ive got to drive to derby at 1 and come back at 4 and dont want to get stuck in freezing/rain or snow.

Really dont know what to do! Should i risk it?

[Turnedoutniceagain]

I cant believe the radar, what can we believe at this current moment?

Im really fretting because ive got to drive to derby at 1 and come back at 4 and dont want to get stuck in freezing/rain or snow.

Really dont know what to do! Should i risk it?

Go to the Pub

[Paceyboy]

Go to the Pub

Would love to but have to drive late this afternoon aswell only a short distance to the missus but i dont want to get stuck in my car on the A38 miles from home!