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Uk Convective General Discussion & Forecasts - May 2012 Part 3

Jane Louise
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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

Personally I'm still keeping my fingers crossed for Tuesday:

MU_London_avn.png

gfs_cape_eur66.png

gfs_spout_eur66.png

66_20.gif

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Lauren Veteran

Lauren

Posted
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, snowy winters and thunderstorms!
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
Posted

Forecasts on TV and BBC are suggesting Wednesday for storms.

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NUT Accomplished

NUT

Posted
  • Location: Condorrat, Cumbernauld G67
  • Location: Condorrat, Cumbernauld G67
Posted

Seems to me that we in a similair situation to last week i.e. monday/tuesday isolated if any storms do occur before the main event perhaps wednesday?

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Chris K Rising Star

Chris K

Posted
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather enthusiast
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
Posted (edited)

GFS 06z still adamant on showers breaking out over parts of Wales, Gloucestershire, Bristol parts of Somerset, etc this afternoon with decent levels of CAPE and Li, yet BBC and Met office not going with it. Will be interesting to see if anything happens or not.

Edited by Chris K
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weatherobsuk Veteran

weatherobsuk

Posted
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
Posted

Increased risk of a thundery shower or two breaking out in/around the Bristol area this afternoon. CAPE over 1200kj and a good 60% risk with GFS reflecting this in the form of precip moving northwards into the Brecon Beacons.

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Robbie Garrett Seasoned

Robbie Garrett

Posted
  • Location: London, UK
  • Weather Preferences: MCC/MCS Thunderstorms
  • Location: London, UK
Posted

Excited............................................... I want a mega thunderstorm!! clapping.gifclapping.gifrofl.gifrofl.gif

Severe weather warnings out... http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/?regionName=SE

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted (edited)

Well.

All the signs are there for possible storms this arvo.

The storm risk map ( bottoms ) is pretty much spot on i think.

Lets see what happens smile.png

ukwind.png

ukcapeli.png

ukstormrisk.png

12052715_2706.gif

post-182-0-13022700-1338114793_thumb.png

Edited by Lynxus
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coffee lover Newbie

coffee lover

Posted
  • Location: Isle of Wight
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Isle of Wight
Posted

Excited............................................... I want a mega thunderstorm!! clapping.gifclapping.gifrofl.gifrofl.gif

Severe weather warnings out... http://www.metoffice.../?regionName=SE

I cant see any warnings on there....

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Nick L Maestro

Nick L

Posted
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
Posted

Click monday smile.png

The new Met Office site is dreadful! So user unfriendly. If you hadn't said where to click I would have presumed there were no warnings at all.

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Robbie Garrett Seasoned

Robbie Garrett

Posted
  • Location: London, UK
  • Weather Preferences: MCC/MCS Thunderstorms
  • Location: London, UK
Posted

There's only a big yellow heading at the top of the main page, reading "Yellow Alert of severe weather has been issued", with regions affected underneath.

laugh.png

To be fair wasn't the whole point of the new MetOffice website to be user friendly for your average Joe. If we can't use it with ease that's a big c**k up! Lol

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Nick L Maestro

Nick L

Posted
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
Posted

There's only a big yellow heading at the top of the main page, reading "Yellow Alert of severe weather has been issued", with regions affected underneath.

laugh.png

I must be getting old...

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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted

Still waiting for my first Thunderstorm this year. Monday looks like going to the East. Maybe Wednesday here but I think we must have had at least 15 or so chances this year so far and not a sausage yet!

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fromey Experienced

fromey

Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
Posted

afternoon all.

feeling a little muggy now, a fair bit of cloud bubbling up, hoping for a storm or 2 in the next few days.

fromey

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NUT Accomplished

NUT

Posted
  • Location: Condorrat, Cumbernauld G67
  • Location: Condorrat, Cumbernauld G67
Posted

Looks like we may well be disappointed storm wise up here next few days sadly but miracles can happen (and this is just the beginning of the summer period)

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted (edited)

Heading off to SE Spain tomorrow morning, so gutted to see the (albeit like premature) MetO warning slap bang over my area.....cray.gifcray.gifcray.gif

That's not to say I don't wish you all luck over the next few days

Edited by Harry
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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

I think we have some convection down south now. The next few hours will nail biting to see if anything kicks off ( Ignoring that front )

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Hathers Contributor

Hathers

Posted
  • Location: Telford, Shropshire, Orlando
  • Location: Telford, Shropshire, Orlando
Posted

BBC Weather just said a chance of some pretty strong widespread Thunderstorms developing Wednesday. Great stuff.

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
Posted

I am thinking it may be worth me taking a day of work next week to do some chasing.

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VillagePlank Seasoned

VillagePlank

Posted
  • Location: Rochester, Kent
  • Location: Rochester, Kent
Posted

Heading off to SE Spain tomorrow morning, so gutted to see the (albeit like premature) MetO warning slap bang over my area.....cray.gifcray.gifcray.gif

That's not to say I don't wish you all luck over the next few days

Monday's effort is related to a cold front,

post-5986-0-39547000-1338123274_thumb.pn

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
Posted

BBC graphics now have showers across Wales and parts of the West Country this afternoon. Bigger risk appears to be tomorrow evening in eastern parts - with London to East Midlands the favoured spot.

BBC forecaster just said "most people will see some flashes and bangs this week" - surely that doesn't include Bradford???

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