South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - July 30th 2012>

[john pike]

fax charts for tonight

i see some dry weather early on

then luchtime on showers will build

later on a low pressure sits over the south east

i see storms building during the afternoon and may see some just after dark as well

estofex take on this

... UK and N France...

Diurnal heating will create some hundred J/kg of CAPE in a weakly sheared environment. Most of the convection will develop during the afternoon and some storms might produce an isolated large hail event or a weak tornado but overall risk is too low for a LVL1.

http://www.estofex.org/

again similar to sunday but not as potent

storms poss later in afternoon

tuesday looks drier but still some showers around

feeling warmer

wednesday

looks mainly dry but a very slim chance of a shower

looks warm too

thursday looks warm and sunny

[john pike]

will we finally see a dry weekend

long way out

but you never know

[john pike]

the best area for storms tomorrow is milton keynes

[Methuselah]

the best area for storms tomorrow is milton keynes

I'll believe that when I see it!

[Keraunic]

Mornin each. Blue sky and some alto cumulus? about. Very calm. Hope there's a better show for Norwich today. Good luck everyone.

[Methuselah]

'Morning, K...I'll be hoping for anything...

[chilly milly]

Morning everyone. I'm venturing up to Littleport this morning to see a dog show and then hoping to find a nice little pub somewhere for lunch.

[Snowangel-MK]

Typical I knew if the MK storm shield broke it would be while I'm away, but I still wouldn't swap this not even for two foot of snow ! It's got hotter each day so far and already it's a scorcher just had a walk along the beach to burn off the pancake and bucks fizz breakfast, going back to laze by the pool now until lunchtime. I've seen the Met O warnings ....wish you were here ? Lol

[bennewsman]

Storm approaching Reigate from the South. Looks quite potent. Whole sky is going Black.

[Bluebreezer54]

Good morning all SE & EA posters, its a mixed bag weather wise here in NW London. When I left work from Heathrow at 6am the sun was shining, 15 miles and 30 minutes later as I reached the 'foothills' of Northwood mist and low cloud was shrouding the area. Patches of light drizzle have added to the general gloom since then so Im calling it a day, and taking some well earned sleep.

Enjoy the rest of your weekend, and fingers crossed for something thundery during the day.

[Steve C]

Looking lively north and south of London currently.

[Guest archiesmummy]

Heavy rain starting here now, sure have heard some rumbles of thunder! Reports from woodford of thunder which is only about a mile away.

[Biggin]

Big Rumbles of thunder here now

[scrat]

Good morning Well after a glorious start to the day here in Biggin Hill, there are now huge black clouds. Heard one roll of thunder. Would love a really good storm though. Have a good day all!

[Biggin]

Monsoon like rain here. Chucking it down.

[Methuselah]

Absolutely sod- all here. Not too surprised...

[Keraunic]

Morning everyone. I'm venturing up to Littleport this morning to see a dog show and then hoping to find a nice little pub somewhere for lunch.

Ah it's a very nice place is Littleport. All my ancestors are from that area. Hope you get a storm while you're there. In my limited experience the flatter the ground the better the storm. And all that water. Hope you have fun at the dog show.

[Steve C]

I'm hoping for rain here soon. Need an excuse not to cut my grass!

[snow raven]

Rumble of thunder here in Bexleyheath - started to rain heavy too. So much for our BBQ this afternoon!

[Guest archiesmummy]

Massive cracks of proper crackly thunder here now, sky satellite is off too! Honking down with rain...

[snow raven]

we've just lost our sky signal too! Bring back the days of 4 channel TV!

[Paul Sherman]

Not a drop here in SE Essex today, seem to be in the clear slot between the 2 active areas, did not see a drop of rain yesterday as well and had a great bbq, I usually rate a summer on the number of BBQ's we have or go to and so far we are at 7 which is 3 more than the whole of 2011 so this summer is pretty damn good for the first week of August!

Good luck all with your Storms today.

[Guest archiesmummy]

we've just lost our sky signal too! Bring back the days of 4 channel TV!

I remember 3 channels....god I suddenly feel old! Kids today huh?!

[Methuselah]

There does seem to be a big cell forming away to the WSW of here, and sliding slowly n'ward. I might even have heard a rumble?

[claret047]

Absolutely tipping it down here in Chelmsford. One large crack of thunder so far. I got soaking wet putting garden equipment away in a very short space of time.