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South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion ~ November 12th 2012>

Snowangel-MK

By Snowangel-MK
in Regional

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

Just to add further comment to JPs wonderful summary, I just want to link to Robbie Garrett's post from the model output discussion. Yes, as ever, there are conflicting views in there but my view, as to where we stand for the final third of November, hasn't changed over the last few days. Please pay attention to the trend he has picked on, it's this that is noteworthy, not the specifics. Having said that, I do believe he has misjudged the timing of the first cold blast, but as ever time will tell, clearly an unfolding pattern to watch. good.gif

http://forum.netweat...40#entry2404872

Here's a post from myself from the snow and ice thread, hinting at similar prospects longer-term.

http://forum.netweat...00#entry2399845

Let's not forget this was the same day the BBC with MetO guidance, had issued their late November prediction. It must be said that particular situation does look like coming off, in one form or the other.

FI in my opinion is now out to approximately 20th November, judging by the 12z ensembles. It is at precisely this timeframe, that we should see the first signs of the stagnating trough heading into Iberia or a somewhere nearby and consequently a building high slowly migrating northwards over the UK. I say look North or Northeast for the first cold blasts. drinks.gif

MT8_London_ens.png

note the spread around 20th-21st

nothing decided yet as this would be fi

even at this short range

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Mark Neal. Seasoned

Mark Neal.

Posted
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
Posted

I have to agree with what GTLTW has said. Spot on. Look North or North East come end of the month and to begin December!

Fantastic to have a wide range of people who post such great posts and really informative for us all to see, John Pike, Coast, etc... Keep up the good work :)

I will try and post more information and charts but the laptop is currently broken. Should be fixed by tomorrow though.

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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted (edited)

hi got to love this weather

sums up pretty well what i am thinking as well

not sure if you have spotted this but the fax charts

show a possiblilty of some cold zonal weather mid next week

the 528 dam line coming in from the west could wrap up with

one of the lows in the atlantic and sneak up on us (especially if they head south of us)

not calling snow etc but interesting to watch

I need to catch up on some sleep right now and its probably time for somebody else to get a word in but this post form the other day has made me think about your prediction for next week. drinks.gif

http://forum.netweat...60#entry2403958

Edited by gottolovethisweather
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shotski Seasoned

shotski

Posted
  • Location: Linslade, Beds
  • Weather Preferences: Deep cold
  • Location: Linslade, Beds
Posted

Unless this morning ECM comes up with something decent I'm taking a week off looking at the models.

It feels like chasing the gold at the end of the rainbow at the moment. Lets see what today brings cc_confused.gif

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Keraunic Seasoned

Keraunic

Posted
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder Storms. All extreme weather.
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
Posted

Mornin each. Very dull and murky here and cooler than it has been.

Hope you all have a smashing POETS day. :D

MacDonalds fillet of fish.........never again. I was erm..poorly in the night. Erk!!! :o

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted (edited)

Morning peeps,

Grey old day as it becomes light, but no real advance into cold or even back to mild. It's just sort of meh!!!!!

Think positively that's it's Friday and that's good for most folk good.gif

Edited by Coast
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Steve C Accomplished

Steve C

Posted
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: As long as it's not North Sea muck, I'll cope.
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
Posted

I have adobe fireworks and photoshop CS6 and did a 2 year course on it so if you need videos editing send em in tease.gif

I have CS4. Photoshop (full package) is so expensive for a hobbyist though.

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Steve C Accomplished

Steve C

Posted
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: As long as it's not North Sea muck, I'll cope.
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
Posted

I have to agree with what GTLTW has said. Spot on. Look North or North East come end of the month and to begin December!

Fantastic to have a wide range of people who post such great posts and really informative for us all to see, John Pike, Coast, etc... Keep up the good work smile.png

I will try and post more information and charts but the laptop is currently broken. Should be fixed by tomorrow though.

I hope you're right.

However I'm always cautious with a northerly for the SE (excluding north Norfolk / east Suffolk) The number of times it has flattered to deceive here makes me somewhat dismissive. I've looked at weather charts since about 1980 and the best northerly for me (by quite a way) was the one in December 2010 (the month being a mixture of northerly and easterly). So many times it has been a 36 hour windy spell, with nothing more than scattered wintry showers, which has then dissolved into a short track northwesterly, in advance of an approaching ridge.

To me a complete waste of time. If it snows, I like it to last for a few days.

However, if I lived in Scotland, I'd have a very different opinion, as I feel northerlies are the best direction for snow there.smile.png

I hope you're right, like I said, but won't get excited till it happens.smile.png

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

To me a complete waste of time. If it snows, I like it to last for a few days.

I have to say it's a very good chance this Winter we will all see some snow - but that is pretty much the same every year!! :lol: What would be nice is three or four days of it lying and some minor disruption, but still the ability for the vulnerable to be kept safe and warm. I know it's a Utopian dream, but it's my dream!

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Keraunic Seasoned

Keraunic

Posted
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder Storms. All extreme weather.
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
Posted

Mine is Photogene for iPad, iPhone etc. Its a really good app but, when I get a laptop I want Photoshop.

I wanted to take my Fuji camera out yesterday, but.......three batteries are in the camera and one is in the clock at home (Norwich) Doh!!

:(

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Steve C Accomplished

Steve C

Posted
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: As long as it's not North Sea muck, I'll cope.
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
Posted

Mine is Photogene for iPad, iPhone etc. Its a really good app but, when I get a laptop I want Photoshop.

I wanted to take my Fuji camera out yesterday, but.......three batteries are in the camera and one is in the clock at home (Norwich) Doh!!

sad.png

Sunday should be okay for photosgood.gif

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Nick F Maestro

Nick F

Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
Posted

Everything is so grey, brown or dull yellow outside. Feels like colour has drained from the world today!

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Steve C Accomplished

Steve C

Posted
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: As long as it's not North Sea muck, I'll cope.
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
Posted

Everything is so grey, brown or dull yellow outside. Feels like colour has drained from the world today!

Yes, not attractive, but so 'November'sad.png

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Snowangel-MK Accomplished

Snowangel-MK

Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Weather Preferences: anything extreme or intense !
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Author
Posted

Sunday should be okay for photosgood.gif

I hope so.....I'm keeping my fingers crossed anyway angel.gif

Everything is so grey, brown or dull yellow outside. Feels like colour has drained from the world today!

It's very grey here today as well, and not just the weather...let's hope things brighten up soon good.gif

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Steve C Accomplished

Steve C

Posted
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: As long as it's not North Sea muck, I'll cope.
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
Posted

No it's not... tease.gifrofl.gif

ph34r.pngbiggrin.png

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Snowangel-MK Accomplished

Snowangel-MK

Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Weather Preferences: anything extreme or intense !
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Author
Posted

I have CS4. Photoshop (full package) ......

Nice to know you have a 'full package' ...thank's for sharing rolleyes.gif

I hope you're right, like I said, but won't get excited till it happens.smile.png

I'm like that with most things now...it avoids disappointment angel.gif

......three batteries are in the camera and one is in the clock at home (Norwich) Doh!!

Well you can't blame the MacDonalds fillet of fish for that K blum.gif

I hope your feeling better now hun !

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

Everything is so grey, brown or dull yellow outside. Feels like colour has drained from the world today!

Ha, you must have Sepia selected Nick! :)

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Steve C Accomplished

Steve C

Posted
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: As long as it's not North Sea muck, I'll cope.
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
Posted

Ha, you must have Sepia selected Nick! smile.png

Sepia tinted spectacles.

Anyway, the day is dross here again - misty dross.

Tomorrow sounds like it'll be like last Saturday again here - light rain dross.

Sunday sounds fine, without wishing away the weekend!

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Snowangel-MK Accomplished

Snowangel-MK

Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Weather Preferences: anything extreme or intense !
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Author
Posted

Sepia tinted spectacles.

...do they work in the same way as beer goggles then Steve ?

post-10773-0-93990800-1353066138_thumb.j

angel.gif

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Ruthie Contributor

Ruthie

Posted
  • Location: Brentford, West London (from Wales originally)
  • Weather Preferences: Stormy, windy, cold.
  • Location: Brentford, West London (from Wales originally)
Posted

Hi all, in the city today - lots of mist around obscuring the tops of the scrapers. Cant see C wharf tower from here or the Gherkin! Happy Friday all... cheers good.gif

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