Scotland Regional Discussion 4th January 2013>

[LomondSnowstorm]

Every run is a cobra run tonight

I know I said to put the ramping on hold for a bit, as it isn't set in stone, but the chances now of a severe cold spell do look to have nudged a fair bit above 50% now.

[cscrim]

The one you made into a Hot Dog?

was for the greater good.

[A Winter's Tale]

We've made super progress today regarding the potential for notable winter weather in the second half of January.

ECM 12z 168hrs!

GFS 12z 162hrs

UKMO 12z 144hrs

GEM 12z 144hrs

BOM 12z 162hrs

Game on!!!!

[Allyw12]

Pheewwww!!! If only!

It's so pretty, I think I'll need to add the dog to my sacrifice list now

Edited January 8, 2013 by Allyw12

[Scottish-Irish Skier]

You may now start buffing up your ramps, run pre-rampede checks on them etc. Hopefully will be given the all clear to set them free soon.

[Hawesy]

Yes, interesting model runs tonight. May even see a few flakes here if they turn out to be accurate. Doubt it would lie though ;-)

[LomondSnowstorm]

We've made super progress today regarding the potential for notable winter weather in the second half of January.

ECM 12z 168hrs!

GFS 12z 162hrs

UKMO 12z 144hrs

GEM 12z 144hrs

BOM 12z 162hrs

Game on!!!!

You know it's good when THAT GFS from earlier looks like the least snowy model at +168...

[LomondSnowstorm]

You may now start buffing up your ramps, run pre-rampede checks on them etc. Hopefully will be given the all clear to set them free soon.

We're gonna need a bigger ramp (all the way out to the North Sea no less):

[mistyqueen]

Temp has dropped considerably up here, 12.6 yesterday, now down to 6.4 and clearing skies. YESSSSSSSS!

[Benvironment]

We're gonna need a bigger ramp

Can we just use East Lomond?

Or maybe use East AND West Lomond as a half pipe?

Edited January 8, 2013 by Scotster

[A Winter's Tale]

What an afternoon and evening with the models. Caution must be urged but one can't resist the excitement of the genuine potential that lies ahead of us all. This setting up to be an amazing week for model watching aswell - it will be EPIC, trust me!!! A backtrack and MT capitulation of EPIC proportions with Ian Broon at his sparkling best; Steve Murr says KABOOM with "That ECM, GFS et UKMO", the upgrades just keep going; or we steadily keep on going with further variations but we maintain the trend for truly promising winter prospects. Who'd thought that a post from Mr.I.Broon would have so many likes! http://forum.netweather.tv/best-content/

Edited January 8, 2013 by A Winter's Tale

[dragan]

Im wondering who will be favoured for shnaw, guess the usual suspects....eastern coasts and the south east, and perhaps streamers through to the west...

[LomondSnowstorm]

For those in the north and west worried about snow prospects, my advices would be not to yet - the details are far from decided, and even if Scotland is not the big player in the early stages, with a block like that we'd likely be looking at a reload from the north/northeast in time which would put you in a prime position for snow.

And I'd also add that both the GFS and ECM would give snow to most in the west on Sunday evening into Monday (check the precipitation chart I posted earlier).

[Scottish-Irish Skier]

Im wondering who will be favoured for shnaw, guess the usual suspects....eastern coasts and the south east, and perhaps streamers through to the west...

[tiff]

[Snooz]

Well I ventured into the MT to try to keep up with the "will it, won't it, ECM" euphoria, and even with skimming for posters names and likes, I still couldn't do it!! skipped the last 6 pages.. but at least it's not TOORPing... yet

all smiles and a new signature to boot hehe..

Edited January 8, 2013 by Snooz

[BurntFishTrousers]

[Soaring Hawk]

Oh dear God; 1,702 on N-W. 1,156 of those in the Secure Ward aka the MT and 49 pages since this morning of fevered, incoherant jibberings whilst rocking back and forth on their beds.

So nice to pop in here for an understandable and efficient update, as usual. I'd quite like to sacrifice the spoiled prima donna who is renting our home in Scotland (and complaining about the heating system - nothing wrong with it) while we are stuck in exile down inside the M25. Beam me up Scotty...!! Please!

[lorenzo]

Guilty as charged, Nurse Ratchett has just been round to deliver some more psychotropics prior to the pub run.. addictive viewing just now the stratospheric impacts carving up the Northern Hemisphere with ease and plunging cold everywhere.

Cold uppers prior to a strong cold pool, developing heights blocking off the Atlantic. Split Jet Flow, ECM back tracking on the US phasing of that kicked up low from last night and ignition and some cross model consensus for the first time I think this Winter.

To top it off this weekend sees things looking excellent here, marginal uppers early Friday then good uppers from thereon, on the cusp of a notable spell of cold. Ramps oot !

EDIT - to add charts, realised I had nearly not complied with yesterdays rules.. !

ECM Ensemble at day 10

Cold stuff...

Edited January 8, 2013 by lorenzo

[Scottish-Irish Skier]

Ok, who's going to watch the 18Z?

Edited January 8, 2013 by scottish skier

[Snooz]

So from what I can gather.. this is a very lay person's view/summary of the MT with the snippets I found interesting... in case anyone else hasn't got time to wade through the 30-40 pages that appeared around tea-time

The Models are now in agreement for some cold this weekend, this may not mean snaw for everyone.. but this apparently is just the beginning of what could be a prolonged spell. Chiono.. bless his socks I don't know how he has the patience... has been trying to say that while the effects of the SSW - Satrospheric warming - (that's the really high up bittie) possibly won't show themselves until day 20-30 he believes that a more immediate smaller side effect will show itself first - 5-14 days and that would what the models are now showing for this weekend?

IF, Fergie gave a small update of the METO's immediate thoughts about the early evening runs and in it, or the twitter post that was linked, said the METO would not be immediately updating any forecasts as confidence in the Models was at an all time low.. (don't shoot the messenger OK!)

TEITS, as he said earlier....repeated himself again

Steve Murr gave the ultimate in booms and said "BOOMAGE" in reaction to the ECM

last I looked there were 1 or 2 already starting to come in and say "but there's more to UK than just the SE/west [fill in blank]" as if blaming the, yet to nail, models for not putting the snow clouds/528 Dam/-8 Uppers over them.. so I gracefully exited the madhouse before they came off the happy pills and started "what if"s.."

HTH

& happy model watching

Ian Brown, as you can see from my new signature, when pressed for a response to the ECM backtracking into line with the other models said WTF! and it is now, ALREADY, the highest liked post on NW (linked earlier in this thread too)

[Snowplough33]

Ok, who's going to watch the 18Z?

I'm in the MT already. It will be meltdown if it goes Pete Tong....:-)

[lorenzo]

Am looking out for some new Steve Murr adjectives on this run.

Pete Tong is a legend,many a trusty Friday evening kicking off with some Essential Selection action.

C'mon pub run - how cold can you go...

Keeping an eye on the record for this too...

1840 users are online (in the past 15 minutes)

Edited January 8, 2013 by lorenzo

[Snowplough33]

Am looking out for some new Steve Murr adjectives on this run.

Pete Tong is a legend,many a trusty Friday evening kicking off with some Essential Selection action.

C'mon pub run - how cold can you go...

Keeping an eye on the record for this too...

1840 users are online (in the past 15 minutes)

Where do you see total online viewers? I just see each thread. I assume that is total viewers on all threads ?

[lorenzo]

It is on the front screen of the forum, above the list of users.

Not meaning to make model viewers sound like addicts.

1910 users are online (in the past 15 minutes)

Edited January 8, 2013 by lorenzo