South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - January 12th 2013>

[essexweather]

18Z NAE is rather depressing, 0-1cm from 0000 till 1200 on Monday. There are a couple of 2/3 cm South of London though.

Looking like the first band of snow dies before it reaches us tbh.

Dew-points are sub-zero north of Wattisham, around zero in and around London then above freezing West of Swindon and Basingstoke.

Edited January 12, 2013 by essexweather

[snowy weather]

om my gosh in west sussex meto are showing rain when london has heavy snow. effing sake

[abruzzi spur]

This thread will go into meltdown when the white stuff starts falling!!!!

Well hopefully people will go out and enjoy it and the thread will go quiet because we are all having (Miranda-style) 'such fun'!

Edited January 12, 2013 by abruzzi spur

[Lampostwatcher]

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&cd=1&ved=0CC0QFjAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.meteox.co.uk%2F&ei=s9HxUMm2PNGR0QWi8oGQBA&usg=AFQjCNHOMyxwbcfXF5-IvNtWwg4gz9W9-w its on its way and looks impressive

[abruzzi spur]

There must be a chance of something coming in off the North Sea, tonight?

Vikings? I flippin' hope not.

[shotski]

18Z NAE is rather depressing, 0-1cm from 0000 till 1200 on Monday. There are a couple of 2/3 cm South of London though.

Looking like the first band of snow dies before it reaches us tbh.

Dew-points are sub-zero north of Wattisham, around zero in and around London then above freezing West of Swindon and Basingstoke.

Hi Essex weather.

Whats it showing for the Home counties if you may.

[angel23]

You'll be bored of it by tuesday

You'll be bored of it by tuesday

I doubt that very much!

[ukpaul]

18Z NAE is rather depressing, 0-1cm from 0000 till 1200 on Monday. There are a couple of 2/3 cm South of London though.

Looking like the first band of snow dies before it reaches us tbh.

Dew-points are sub-zero north of Wattisham, around zero in and around London then above freezing West of Swindon and Basingstoke.

NAE only up to 9 hours at the moment, those with a pink backing (on Weatheronline) are the 12z ones.

[scotteboi]

Well hopefully people will go out and enjoy it and the thread will go quiet becuase we are all having (Miranda-style) 'such fun'!

You would think so..after the barrage of ''its started here" posts.....when the 'what I call' snow starts to fall.

[tight isobar]

Well my area looking v, good for precip, in the form of snow,(12 miles north west of london)...happy days.

[Great Plum]

Well hopefully people will go out and enjoy it and the thread will go quiet becuase we are all having (Miranda-style) 'such fun'!

Unless I'm at work looking out of the window at the snow!

[Marie]

Temp here is staying steady at 3.4 dewpoint 2.6 .Its rained all day here ,it looked slightly sleety earlier ,feels colder than it actually is though.Lets hope all you lovely peeps see lots of snow on Monday .

[Jan_Bromley]

Unless I'm at work looking out of the window at the snow!

Hello GP

I remember Mrs Plum being stranded in the snow when she was pregnant. When was that?

[Whereisthesnow?]

Just seen BBC 24 Weather @21.30 - unfortunately Jay Wynn didn't go as far as Monday, however map did show snow moving SE. Which to be fair we already know.

[Great Plum]

Hello GP

I remember Mrs Plum being stranded in the snow when she was pregnant. When was that?

November 30th 2010 when the big snow fell! It took her 10 hours to get from Epsom to Reigate!

[Jan_Bromley]

November 30th 2010 when the big snow fell! It took her 10 hours to get from Epsom to Reigate!

Yes I remember. That was when my postman broke his leg on my front path......not my fault

[bluearmy]

18z NAE shows a general 5-8mm total precip to 18z monday across the region. the frames arent out yet so impossible to see if that all snowfall. it seems that the eastern extent at that timeframe doesn't get east of london so you'll have to wait till the morning to get a real picture of total nae forecast precip from the second front. the first appears to manage around a cm only.

NAE only up to 9 hours at the moment, those with a pink backing (on Weatheronline) are the 12z ones.

tom is looking at the precip toitals which come up immediately for the whole 48 hours.

[Great Plum]

Yes I remember. That was when my postman broke his leg on my front path......not my fault

He should have been more careful!

Mrs Plum was stuck on top of Reigate hill just past lower kingswood for about 5 hours... I would have gone up there but I had a sleeping toddler. She had nearly ran out of petrol and had no food!

[ukpaul]

18z NAE shows a general 5-8mm total precip to 18z monday across the region. the frames arent out yet so impossible to see if that all snowfall. it seems that the eastern extent at that timeframe doesn't get east of london so you'll have to wait till the morning to get a real picture of total nae forecast precip from the second front. the first appears to manage around a cm only.

tom is looking at the precip toitals which come up immediately for the whole 48 hours.

Got it, it's the total precip. amount that comes up.

EDIT: In that time period from 5mm to 3mm so not exactly going to make a whole load of difference!

Next six hours brings another 5mm of rain (or 5 cm of snow) though, that's before the potential overnight event which we won't see until tomorrow.

Edited January 12, 2013 by ukpaul

[scottishandy]

Hi folks, kilted visitor with a question if I may?

My good lady wife is due to fly to Gatwick then train to Polegate on Tuesday then return on Friday for her Grandad's funeral in Hailsham on Thursday. What are your thoughts on transport disruption for this period?

Flying to/from Edinburgh but can't see any major issues this end.

Cheers,

Andy.

[shotski]

18z NAE shows a general 5-8mm total precip to 18z monday across the region. the frames arent out yet so impossible to see if that all snowfall. it seems that the eastern extent at that timeframe doesn't get east of london so you'll have to wait till the morning to get a real picture of total nae forecast precip from the second front. the first appears to manage around a cm only.

tom is looking at the precip toitals which come up immediately for the whole 48 hours.

Not a big supprise really, going along with what the Beeb/meto have been saying all day.

The second band should hopefully start to kick things off.

Any udates yet from Ian F regarding Mogreps data ?

[80sWeather]

A lot of talk if lamp post watching!,if developing evolution comes to fruition?the lamp post may not be visable ;-)..

Lol may just see the top sticking out of the deep snow cover

[yamkin]

Yamkin,is croydon council still on alert

Croydon Council will send out gritting teams in a few hours time, but it is difficult when raining due to grit being washed away. It's still game on for heavy snow from Monday

[Chris_19]

GFS very disappointing with the latest run. A few days ago, today seemed hopeful for snow. Then it was Monday night, now thats getting away from us again. That is two runs where things have been downgraded. I don't want to sound downbeat, but i'm not particularly hopeful now.

There's still time for things to upgrade again, but this always seems to happen.

[bobbydog]

ok, there are lots of "will it snow here?" or "its showing rain" posts, regarding monday. as it stands now, we are looking at possibly 3 scenarios.

1) from about midnight sunday, it will snow pretty much everywhere in our region.

through the middle part of the day, it turns to rain or sleet as the "warm sector" moves through, then back to snow by late afternoon or evening.

2) as above but with sleet/ wet snow to the south west of the region for a time, the "warm sector" being mixed out and having less effect.

3) the "warm sector" takes a more southerly track as the front occludes more quickly, thereby missing us completely resulting in all snow

in conclusion, it will snow everywhere but how long for and exact amounts are yet to be decided. keep watching the forecasts, the radars and the lamp-posts. everyone will see some snow and with a bit of luck, scenario 3 will be the result.