London & South East Regional Discussion

[IDO]

The second band (GFS 06z) a wintry mix late Monday (high ground should be more snow). As the low exits the UK snow on its back edge:

[craigore]

http://modeles.meteo.../gfs-2-36.png?6

back in the game

ill bank that chart right now..

[Snowman31]

Do you think lying snow can really tilt this to being more snow then rain?

[snowrye]

Could it be game on,fingers crossed

[Thinon]

Do you think lying snow can really tilt this to being more snow then rain?

I think this could be one of those where snow settles on grass and cars, but not on roads and pavements.

[chelsea01]

why are some ppl getting down. SNOW IS SNOW 1MM TO 10CM AND MORE.

JUST ENJOY AND WAIT AND SEE WHAT HAPPENS

BE HAPPY EVERYONE

[Tom Jarvis]

Looks like I'm back in the game lol hope it corrects further west. What i know from the modelled is that they push thing too Far East

[leemondo]

Headline:

Very cold, but with some sunshine. Snow showers in southeast.

Today:

For most, a dry, bright but cold day, with icy conditions for a time, but some snow showers will continue to affect Kent and east Sussex at times, especially areas exposed to the cold northeasterly winds. Maximum temperature 5 °C.

Tonight:

Very cold, with clear spells at first, and snow showers lingering in the southeast. Clouding over later with snow spreading from the northwest, giving local accumulations. Minimum temperature -3 °C.

Monday:

Cloudy and very cold, the early snow moving away, but with further rain, sleet or snow arriving during the afternoon. Some accumulations in places, mainly the north and east. Maximum temperature 5 °C.

Updated: 0319 on Sun 13 Jan 2013

Tuesday, very cold, bright or sunny intervals and snow showers, some possibly heavy near coasts. Wednesday and Thursday, very cold with a biting northeasterly wind and heavy snow showers.

dont usually ramp, buti feel we need it this morning

[SMU]

If only it was 1mm to 10cm...

its at best for the UK 1mm to 2cm- however in this marginal situation 1mm : 1 cm is the expected ratio-

If we get that beast on weds then 1:1.5 is a better ratio-

S

[SMU]

Last one from me-

first band of snow to arrive 03:00 am to the NW of our region, trickle into london 04:00 am & into the remainder 430-6am-

should be all snow- that is when we need a bit of cover to keep those surface temps down-

S

[West Sussex Kate]

No sleep for us tonight then! :-)

Edited January 13, 2013 by West Sussex Kate

[RJM]

For tomorrow, in these marginal situations, and most frontal snow is pretty marginal for us anyway, you have to make your own luck. If you really want to see some snow and it means t hat much to you, pick a hill as high and as far NE as you can and get up it!

After tomorrow it looks pretty good for convective snow which is much less marginal but more localised, it's then a case if breaking out the radar and putting yourself in the way of those showers.

Well said. Extreme SE residents better off being excited about convective showers off North Sea. Often lands us many inches of snow. Have lived here many years to know that frontal stuff from NW usually a bit marginal. Same for poorly placed Channel Lows. If we get snow Monday then bonus! But if not then raise a glass to more Northerly regions, try not to be disappointed and enjoy Tuesday to Thursday. It's not worth a heart attack guys!

[Snowy Hertfordshire]

Any thoughts for Barnet, north London? I'm expecting light snow early tomorrow, then some sleet in the day but possibly turning back to snow as the system clears. wonder if we manage to keep a covering? Chances of ice could prove to be more of a concern than snow?

[Whereisthesnow?]

So Steve - is it good for our area?

[BLUNT]

A few days ago BBC were putting blue in the graphics saying there could be sleet or rain but everybody jumped on the Snow train and refused this point, hopefully they could be wrong, some sights on Facebook was saying three foot of snow

[Nick F]

First band of ppn arriving in the wee hours should hopefully be snow, though probably light in nature - but enough for a dusting.

Very marginal for the second band of precipitation moving down tomorrow afternoon/evening - GFS suggests DPs wrong side of 0C for much of the SE, as we see the warm sector in close proximity sliding SE mixing in less cold air/higher DPs:

... though 0C line following the ppn, so perhaps some back edge snow.

NAE at Monday 18z:

Would say North Home Counties best chance for snow at lower levels, Chilterns and Downs likely to see snow too.

However, very marginal, so heavy ppn/evaporative cooling could tip the balance in favour of snow to lower levels ... usual case of nowcasting!

Edited January 13, 2013 by Nick F

[lawrenk]

This won't add anything to the "will it/won't" it tomorrow but it's worth thinking back to the Christmas period when things looked pretty bleak for anything remotely wintry throughout January. The fact that there's a real possibility of snow less than 24 hours away for our region shows how much things have improved.

Personally I'm more interested in mid week as there looks a real possibility for convective showers in a north easterly which should be less stressful in terms of getting snow rather than rain.

On a final point if GP's winter forecast is correct, and it's been pretty good up until now, this period could just be the appetizer to a stronger surge of cold coming at the end of Jan and into Feb.

[all weather]

Light snow here in carshalton. Blowing in the wind.

[Coast]

Personally I'm more interested in mid week as there looks a real possibility for convective showers in a north easterly which should be less stressful in terms of getting snow rather than rain.

Yep, I'll take whatever comes in the next 24 hours but like you Lawren, looking forward to the convective chances Tuesday onwards!!

Very interesting times ahead....

Light snow here in carshalton. Blowing in the wind.

Yay!!!!

[manutdmatt1986]

I'm expecting rain tomorrow and then to miss out on the snow showers from Tuesday onwards as they hug the coast. If I see any snow at all it will be a bonus.

[Coast]

No sleep for us tonight then! :-)

What are you suggesting Kate??!!! :lol:

[Jo S]

Had blue skies with light cloud here this am,now all clouded over.lets hope

[Coast]

Had blue skies with light cloud here this am,now all clouded over.lets hope

Good luck Jo!

[Continental Climate]

I'm expecting rain tomorrow and then to miss out on the snow showers from Tuesday onwards as they hug the coast. If I see any snow at all it will be a bonus.

lol you truly are a miserable bugger, but good entertainment none the less

[Shunter]

Anybody know when the SE radar will be fixed? It's showing just occasional updates. Have seen light snow heading into Southend imminent