South West/Central Southern England Regional Discussion 16/01/13 06z ----->

[lookup]

Youd best wish this snow away or i wont be able to afford your pressy

[AWD]

Does seem to be shifting west though AWD - another 24hrs worth of models to come yet as well.

Yup, which is what we all asked for a couple of days ago! lol. Still good for much of the W/Country though.

Now we are entering T24, hopefully the shifts will be negligible now. We hope.

Bear in mind, this is up to 18:00 Friday too,ought be another cm of two after that still.

Edited January 16, 2013 by AWD

[Devondelight]

I've just heard it is snowing on Dartmoor. The precipitation is wintry even for the far South West, has to be a good sign.

[liam300]

A lot of discussion about it stalling can anybody shine any light on this?

[noonoo418]

By Friday 18:00hrs;

Using the formula 1mm = 1cm snowfall, I'd say 5cm-10cm widely is about right at this stage, locally more in sweet spots.

Met Office seem to be downgrading ppn in this area by the hour, seems well reflected in this chart

[Sainsbo]

Still looking good! A good 4 inches for NE areas of the SouthWest...I'll take that! Hopefully some areas further west can share this too.

[bradymk]

Cant describe how shocked i am at how west this NAE run is. Comparison between 12z and 18z for tomorrow (not friday) Huge shift west of precip

Edited January 16, 2013 by bradythemole

[DanDorsetUK]

Quite a big difference this run, much slower progression

[kernowman]

thinking my location will just be getting rain gutted ... have fun in the snow

It's very frustrating isn't it caz, so near yet so far. I've got my fingers crossed that there will be more events later on and we get to join in the fun.

[windseeker]

Would appear on the 18z GFS front does not get as far east and far south west stays colder

[DanDorsetUK]

East coast will be gutted with this run!! What a shift west!!

[harta]

What are you basing this statement on?

Reading between the lines of the models and picking bit's out of tonight's post's

[Beasterly]

Front stalls over our region for a long time - 12 hours+ Also Devon has snow here all the time! At this rate, cornwall will join the fun too...

Edited January 16, 2013 by Beasterly

[Bristawl Si]

Yup, which is what we all asked for a couple of days ago! lol. Still good for much of the W/Country though.

Now we are entering T24, hopefully the shifts will be negligible now. We hope.

Bear in mind, this is up to 18:00 Friday too,ought be another cm of two after that still.

Yes i understand, but we have another 24+ hours to go and any further westward movement and we'll lose the snow, bar far south west and wales.

Gavin in Mad disc thread just posted 18z precip charts for Friday, Devon now coming more into play. Eastern edge of snow to about Swindon.

[DanDorsetUK]

Look at the winds sat 06 woah!!

[divadee]

I'm off to the land of nod, need my sleep to get me through the sleepless night tomorrow night!

Night night all. Sweet dreams of snow!

[Jayfromcardiff]

West is best haha, i knew the time would come a huge snowfall for us lot - this will make the snowfall from a few days ago in Eastern areas look like a dusting.

[Bristawl Si]

Front stalls over our region for a long time - 12 hours+ Also Devon has snow here all the time! At this rate, cornwall will join the fun too...

Thats better!

But NAE still a 'concern' in my book.

[PompeyFC]

much better for E Dorset and Hants - with alot more precip from 18:00 hrs onwards and dew points and uppers nowhere near marginal with sse wind direction

[AWD]

Yes i understand, but we have another 24+ hours to go and any further westward movement and we'll lose the snow, bar far south west and wales.

Gavin in Mad disc thread just posted 18z precip charts for Friday, Devon now coming more into play. Eastern edge of snow to about Swindon.

Your going to Dartmouth on Friday so you got the best of both worlds here. Could be interesting down there for you.

Yeah, we don't want any further corrections westwards now. Taking this run at face value, it is fine. Lets hope come tomorrow, there have been no further corrections west.

[chris55]

Better for us lot that we do see a slight westward shift like the 18z!!! Lets just hop it doesn't shift to far west, lol.

[DanDorsetUK]

Huge update for Dorset area this too! My area! Lovely!!

[jessandjon]

Your going to Dartmouth on Friday so you got the best of both worlds here. Could be interesting down there for you.

Yeah, we don't want any further corrections westwards now. Taking this run at face value, it is fine. Lets hope come tomorrow, there have been no further corrections west.

Hey us cornwall lot need some snow :-)

[iowpompeylee]

If that front stalls...lots of prolonged snow for us :-)

Edited January 16, 2013 by iowpompeylee

[DanDorsetUK]

Hey us cornwall lot need some snow :-)

This you might get it yet! Saturday Night!!