London & South East Regional Discussion - January 19th 2013>

[Tom Montalbano]

Morning all,

As the morning goes on the flow will become more easterly, perhaps ENE at times.

Dont think we'll see dynamic convection take place in the Thames Estuary, 850s not low enough.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1212.png

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1812.png

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2412.png

Likely to remain very dull, with persistant flurries, light snow developing in the easterly flow and moving westwards.

Further accumulations should be slight, most likely along Thames corridor towards London, perhaps more in the eastern end of the corridor, east of say Dartford/Thurrock.

IF the flow tends towards ENE, then any ppn could be a bit heavier as it drifts towards the higher ground of N.Kent, say S of Gravesend, W of Rochester.

I think that window of oppurtunity could last into the early hours of tomorrow morning but should reiterate only slight accumulations, poss a little more if flow encounters the higher ground of N.Kent mentioned.

Will be interesting to see if it pans out, get the flow turned into the E/ENE and normally the Estuary does the rest.

Good luck today, of course then there's tomorrow.

Will post snow depth challenge match-ups again in a short while.

Regards,

Tom

[stormmanic]

woke up to wow.... 0.5cm snow. Its still snowing here but anything more I get will just be a bonus now...

It seems we've missed out this time in SE Essex, still can't see Sunday being big either more of the same for us I feel.

[therecoil]

Just said on BBC News / Weather " Not a lot of Snow about today but the South east and east areas getting a fresh covering tomorrow"

Edited January 19, 2013 by therecoil

[Great Plum]

I suspect they will update later to show a somewhat wider area but they are probably quite sensibly holding their horses until the detail is firmed up somewhat. Certainly the forecasts on BBC News Channel suggest this is likely to happen, anyway.

AS

Unless something creeps up upon them unawares (the red warning for this area about 11pm when the streamer was in full swing in Feb 09), the warnings tend to get updated around 11.30...

AS, what's your current temps?

-0.4 at Reigate grammar...

[Kentspur]

Very light snizzle started about 5mins ago in Dartford- its a start lol

[abruzzi spur]

Temp: -1.0c

Dewpoint: -3.1c

hPa: 999.5, slowly falling

Dry, cloud cover but doesn't look like it is going to drop anything at the moment. No thaw of lying snow here.

A trip to the Colley Hill 'bombhole' later for sledging, I think. I suppose I should see if the children want come....

Have a good weekend all

AS

Edited January 19, 2013 by abruzzi spur

[Honey]

An epic 0.5 cm in Cliffe north Kent here. •sigh•

I'm not holding out hope for tomorrow.

[ChartViewer]

Temp 1 dew -1 winds changing to a ENE

[atrow]

so hows sunday looking to the people in the now?? will it get to herts

[95 Degrees]

pathetic snow event imo, was forecast to be spectacular with heavy snow and blizzards across a large swathe of the country. we have about a cm or 2 of wet slushy mess. I always knew it was never cold enough to settle. the same thing will happen sunday, there is not enough cold uppers left, i know people say but look at the low dew points, but if your air temp and surface temps are hovering around 0 its always going to be a slushy mess.

You should be fine on Sunday, the front yesterday just ran out of energy once it hit eastern parts of the SE.

[Southender]

NAE hot off the press. Still going for 8mm widely all said and done tomorrow.

[therecoil]

very light sleet here at the moment, so small that it gives you eyes strain to see it

[NO LONGER POSTING]

NAE hot off the press. Still going for 8mm widely all said and done tomorrow.

Wow.. Thats about 8-13CM

[Hotspur62]

Just saw Tomasz on BBC News and there seems to be growing confidence that tomorrows event could happen.He said Westward stretch was as far West as Reading,but the further East you went,the heavier the snow so those in East Kent and Essex could be in real firing line of 5-10cms,less the further West.Looks like iy will start at about10am and finish 12 hrs later.One to watch as not set in stone yet.Monday looks cold with possible light flurries

[Shunter]

Temp 0.3c and a little thaw starting here. The sky is darker than yesterday but nothing falling. Any chance of temps/850pha/dp's lowering today?

[Coast]

OK, looking at tomorrow and I've pinched a few charts from the NW Extra NMM suite and look how it builds in a totally different way from yesterday, Those that missed out in the last days should surely see lots tomorrow?

[therecoil]

You should be fine on Sunday, the front yesterday just ran out of energy once it hit eastern parts of the SE.

that is because you are so close to the Beach in Hove , go up to Devils Dyke which is only five mins away and you will find your snow

Edited January 19, 2013 by therecoil

[Essexgooner]

Morning all, I like the look of that blob coming in from the East

[Southender]

Wow.. Thats about 8-13CM

Yep!

850's of -5/-6c and dew's -1/-2 should just about do it. IF the NAE is on the ball. I do have my doubts to be honest.

Somewhere could get a lot of snow or a lot of slush..

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Sunday looking good... Hopefully the channel will help Pep up the PPN a bit..

[Biggin]

Made me laugh

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Yep!

850's of -5/-6c and dew's -1/-2 should just about do it. IF the NAE is on the ball. I do have my doubts to be honest.

Somewhere could get a lot of snow or a lot of slush..

I think due to the direction of the Low your goona need to be inland a bit BUT! If we can drag those cold temps of France will be fine

[Laurence Hill]

Raynes Park

Temp 0.1 slowly rising

[Roadrunner]

Got to drive to Bexleyheath later today. Anyone know what the roads are like there?

[jayni c]

NAE hot off the press. Still going for 8mm widely all said and done tomorrow.

i especially like the '10' over Southend