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Scotland Regional Discussion 05/02/13 08 -------->

A.J

By A.J
in Regional

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Buriedundersnow Experienced

Buriedundersnow

Posted
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: dry sunny average summers and really cold snowy winters
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
Posted

looks like the pub run could be interesting veiwing again tonight

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Norrance Maestro

Norrance

Posted
  • Location: Dundee
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunderstorms, gales. All extremes except humidity.
  • Location: Dundee
Posted

some false echoes on radar again....there is nowt about despite what its been saying.....temp looks like could be snow but every chance sleet if we do get anything

all eyes on the supercomputers or oot the windae for Sunday

Radar say yes. Eyes and lampost say no!(snow that is).

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November13 Community Regular

November13

Posted
  • Location: Maddiston , Falkirk, Scotland 390ft above sea level
  • Location: Maddiston , Falkirk, Scotland 390ft above sea level
Posted

yep light rain here boo hoo

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Buriedundersnow Experienced

Buriedundersnow

Posted
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: dry sunny average summers and really cold snowy winters
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
Posted

PV still showing signs of moving from canada on the pub run and really good hieghts to our north/northeast giving us a straight easterly and maybe a second undercut on the way

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edo Accomplished

edo

Posted
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summers Snowy Winters Stormy Autumns
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
Posted

Radar say yes. Eyes and lampost say no!(snow that is).

eyes and lampie now say yes...................to rain that is :(

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Norrance Maestro

Norrance

Posted
  • Location: Dundee
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunderstorms, gales. All extremes except humidity.
  • Location: Dundee
Posted

eyes and lampie now say yes...................to rain that is :(

What is your temp? 1c here but still dry.

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LomondSnowstorm Accomplished

LomondSnowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: cold and snowy in winter, a good mix of weather the rest of the time
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
Posted

What is your temp? 1c here but still dry.

You might be ok for a bit, seems that the milder sector aloft has caught up with the precipitation so turning to rain from the west. I'll update on mesoscales, 950s, etc when I'm back in embra.

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Buriedundersnow Experienced

Buriedundersnow

Posted
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: dry sunny average summers and really cold snowy winters
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
Posted (edited)

well the pub run is showing us what we have been waiting to see all winter retrogression of hieghts from scandi to greenland

edit: make that retrogresion from scandi to the usa

Edited by Buriedundersnow
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Allyw12 Contributor

Allyw12

Posted
  • Location: Perth, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW :-D
  • Location: Perth, Scotland
Posted

well the pub run is showing us what we have been waiting to see all winter retrogression of hieghts from scandi to greenland

edit: make that retrogresion from scandi to the usa

I take it this is not good?

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Norrance Maestro

Norrance

Posted
  • Location: Dundee
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunderstorms, gales. All extremes except humidity.
  • Location: Dundee
Posted (edited)

1.5c now and raining, albeit with a touch of sleet I think looking at the lamppost.

Ally. Retrogression is good.

Edited by Norrance
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GrangemouthBairn Apprentice

GrangemouthBairn

Posted
  • Location: Grangemouth, Central Scotland 5m ASL Weekday mornings and afternoons: Edinburgh
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: cold, snow, fog Summer: warm, sunny
  • Location: Grangemouth, Central Scotland 5m ASL Weekday mornings and afternoons: Edinburgh
Posted

Light rain for the last hour here.

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Hairy Celt Maestro

Hairy Celt

Posted
  • Location: NH7256
  • Weather Preferences: where's my vote?
  • Location: NH7256
Posted

Snow at Forsinard earlier this evening; the rest of low level Caithness & Easter Ross got light to moderate patchy rain.

Cold out today, little more than 2C all day, but didn't feel cold due to cloud cover and relatively little wind.

Where's my best shout for a cloud-free mountain on Saturday? Cairngorms or north-west Highlands?

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Buriedundersnow Experienced

Buriedundersnow

Posted
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: dry sunny average summers and really cold snowy winters
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
Posted

I take it this is not good?

it would be good if it stayed in greenland but when it goes to the usa it isnt so good but it was the GFS and in FI so not a likely outcome

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edo Accomplished

edo

Posted
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summers Snowy Winters Stormy Autumns
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
Posted

What is your temp? 1c here but still dry.

1.4c/0.0c

sorry for delay......baby issues there..... teething :(

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Buriedundersnow Experienced

Buriedundersnow

Posted
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: dry sunny average summers and really cold snowy winters
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
Posted

when looking at all the main models GFS, ECM and UKMO only taking to 144hr wouldnt go any further than that just now and all models show the PV segment over canada pulling away to the pole and all three show strong hieghts to our northeast and with how the upper air patterns are being forecast surely the only way ahead is for retrogresion from scandi to greenland and looks like our best shot all winter at setting up an OMEGA BLOCK and will hopefully show in the shorter term in the models very soon but knowing our luck and the way it has been that pesky PV wont pull out enough or work its way back into canada so its all to play for over the next few days to see where things will go.

was going to post pics aswell to show but for some reason i cant get any of they things to work on here just now.

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Cheggers Accomplished

Cheggers

Posted
  • Location: Denny. (75m ASL)
  • Location: Denny. (75m ASL)
Posted

1.4c/0.0c

sorry for delay......baby issues there..... teething sad.png

Amber necklace, not sure why but 3 of our 4 wore one, and never had a bad time with teething.

Oh yes..... still pishy drizzle.nea.gif

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LomondSnowstorm Accomplished

LomondSnowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: cold and snowy in winter, a good mix of weather the rest of the time
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
Posted

Here's the issue:

13020721_0718.gif

After tonight we're looking at a period of 48 or so hours where conditions will not be conduicive to low ground or even much in the way of high ground snow:

13020918_0718.gif

Hard to say exactly how things will play out regarding the front, with potential for it to move further east and affect us (I personally would be against that as it looks initially to be something of a poison chalice until the colder air digs in from the east) but it is an option. Up to then, not too bad for the south and the east tomorrow as far as cloud cover is concerned:

13020815_0718.gif

However Saturday looks pretty rank, with full cloud cover and on and off drizzle:

13020918_0718.gif

13020912_0718.gif

My one main issue with Sunday into Monday is the cloud cover preceeding it as we're going to have to rely on either a rain to snow event or a 'snow with temperatures initially quite a bit above 0C to start with' southeasterly turning easterly. However, if it plays out as currently progged I don't see too many issues with snowfall once the -8C line crosses. The cold pool looks like the real deal this time:

gfs-3-78.png?18

gfs-13-84.png?18

So all in all, if we can weather the rough start, a 24-36 hour (with potential for extensions for good behaviour) easterly with a strongish flow and sub -8C uppers.

Something to note too - if the BBC forecast talks about it being mostly dry, take that with a bit of salt and the knowledge of other forecast dry easterlies:

archives-2009-2-2-12-0.png

archives-2009-12-17-12-0.png

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edo Accomplished

edo

Posted
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summers Snowy Winters Stormy Autumns
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
Posted

Amber necklace, not sure why but 3 of our 4 wore one, and never had a bad time with teething.

Oh yes..... still pishy drizzle.nea.gif

whit is an amber necklace????...... i am intrigued and will try anything :)

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LomondSnowstorm Accomplished

LomondSnowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: cold and snowy in winter, a good mix of weather the rest of the time
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
Posted (edited)

1.5c now and raining, albeit with a touch of sleet I think looking at the lamppost.

Ally. Retrogression is good.

Retrogression is good, regression is bad, recession is the permanent state of the UK economy under a tory government. Simples!laugh.png

Edited by LomondSnowstorm
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Buriedundersnow Experienced

Buriedundersnow

Posted
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: dry sunny average summers and really cold snowy winters
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
Posted

Retrogression is good, regression is bad, recession is the permanent state of the UK economy under a tory government. Simples!laugh.png

thats a bit unfair on the tories it was labour that put us in this situation

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Harve Community Regular

Harve

Posted
  • Location: Paris suburbs
  • Location: Paris suburbs
Posted

thats a bit unfair on the tories it was labour that put us in this situation

Because the economy wasn't on the road to recovery at all in the run-up to the 2010 election...

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LomondSnowstorm Accomplished

LomondSnowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: cold and snowy in winter, a good mix of weather the rest of the time
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
Posted

thats a bit unfair on the tories it was labour that put us in this situation

In a sense yes, although this is getting a bit off topic now so here's a chart:

fax96s.gif?30-12

SNAW!

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