South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 4th March 2013

[alexisj9]

He won't be on Ustream tab, keep it on the imap page he will be on that.

[HammerJack]

if you want to watch the comet PANSTARS there will be a live stream from america on stormscape live tonigh

cheers mate. No chance of seeing it here tonight..flaming mist.

[lottiekent]

Very misty here too, feels chillier than the 9c on the thermometer.

Edited March 7, 2013 by lottiekent

[john pike]

lets just say very cold

i am going to do my rough forecast tomorrow night

Edited March 7, 2013 by john pike

[snowrye]

Well the will it won't it saga is in effect again for our region,after a few warm days are we gonna be slammed with the white stuff or is Mr marginal making an appearance with south of the m4 corridor having rain,its going to exciting regardless

[john pike]

Well the will it won't it saga is in effect again for our region,after a few warm days are we gonna be slammed with the white stuff or is Mr marginal making an appearance with south of the m4 corridor having rain,its going to exciting regardless

if we get a trough added to this

there will be no marginal situation

the fax for tuesday is interesting what will fall?

as you say all interesting and very hard to call

the wind chill on monday alone will in technical terms

shiver your cods off

Edited March 7, 2013 by john pike

[john pike]

heres our nasa model

then 96

then 99

certainly picking up something

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/geose_cartes.php?ech=3&code=0&mode=0&carte=0&archive=0

[Met4Cast]

heres our nasa model

then 96

then 99

certainly picking up something

http://www.meteociel...rte=0&archive=0

Do we know the verification on this model yet?

[alexisj9]

heres our nasa model

then 96

then 99

certainly picking up something

http://www.meteociel...rte=0&archive=0

Well I have my fingers crossed that something white will fall, and land nicely this time.

[john pike]

Do we know the verification on this model yet?

no

but i have ran this a few times and is about as close to the fax chart

as i can find

bet its more accurate than certain models i can think of

[Eskimo]

Tomorrow is going to be very wet. A typical South to North rain band bringing high rainfall rates and localised flooding.

South coast could be looking at upwards of 40mm where the greatest intensity will be, as well the North of the region where the rain band slows down against another air mass pushing southwards.

[john pike]

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?x=318&y=150&run=18&runpara=0&type=0&ext=1

gfs is the warmest run from the 10th to the 12th baring a couple of members

yet puts out the highest snowfall

big spike 11th to 12th

these are cold

watch out for flooding potential between now and sunday

[john pike]

heres a ramp chart

and again there are plenty of cold options

looking for a warm one now

[john pike]

warm one

[john pike]

after the 14th

have a guess

[Kentspur]

Any ideas what the March temperature records are here? On the met site its says the lowest maximum temp for England in March was minus 3 yet were only forecast to be 3-4c warmer than this on Monday? Would you expect somewhere up north in the sticks to break the record?

[alexisj9]

after the 14th

have a guess

My guess it will stay cold but not as cold as monday tuesday will be. Maybe between 5-8 degrees. Most of the members stay below zero. I just wonder weather the cold will reload or we get some warmth Later on.

[john pike]

My guess it will stay cold but not as cold as monday tuesday will be. Maybe between 5-8 degrees. Most of the members stay below zero. I just wonder weather the cold will reload or we get some warmth Later on.

as i said take a guess

if i run the mean from the 14th to the 17th

i would say 2-4 degrees but so much scatter its hard to call

just for fun at present

would certainly cause some travel problems if this happened

[john pike]

Any ideas what the March temperature records are here? On the met site its says the lowest maximum temp for England in March was minus 3 yet were only forecast to be 3-4c warmer than this on Monday? Would you expect somewhere up north in the sticks to break the record?

http://www.dandantheweatherman.com/Bereklauw/Weather1947.htm

i would assume this would be very cold in march

not sure of temps though

[alexisj9]

as i said take a guess

if i run the mean from the 14th to the 17th

i would say 2-4 degrees but so much scatter its hard to call

just for fun at present

would certainly cause some travel problems if this happened

I would love this snow fall to verify lol.

[john pike]

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

Interesting ensembles. ;-)

[Summer of 76]

Seems that the cold arrives earlier than Sunday according to the Met O site for EA this morning

Saturday:

Cloudy and dull again, with rain at times, with the rain turning to sleet or snow in many places during the afternoon and evening. Maximum Temperature 8 °C.

[bobbydog]

http://www.dandanthe...Weather1947.htm

i would assume this would be very cold in march

not sure of temps though

morning john, thats a good read for anyone who thinks we cant get decent snow in march!-

"

Spring

March was even worse than February. The first half of the month remained wintry. Blizzards and heavy snow affected the country from time to time. For example, on the 4-6th a snowstorm affecting most of England and Wales deposited 40cm snow in Birmingham and caused drifts close to 5m high in parts of southern Wales. Southern England, meanwhile, was affected by an ice storm. Temperatures dropped sharply during this period and one of the coldest March nights on record followed when lows dipped to -21.1C in Braemar, Peebles and Houghall (all in the northern half of Britain) on the 4th. Later in the month, on the 16th, gales affected the UK and in some parts of southern England gusts were close to 100 mph. "

heres another site you might like- http://booty.org.uk/booty.weather/climate/1900_1949.htm

[bobbydog]

latest ECM looks interesting for tuesday-

-12 uppers over us, its gonna be nippy!

[Coast]

Morning neighbours!

Well GFS overnight has gone loopy and given us a snowfest if it comes to fruition:

Monday was previously quiet, now its hors d'oeuvres the main event on the 00z:

I wouldn't be going far with this lot falling:

I'd love these to become the actual weather we are going to get, just got to wait and see what other data comes out during the next days.....