South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 11/03/13 13z---->

[AWD]

Some Cumulus starting to build now.

[khodds]

The radar is looking interesting for later. The sun is out, can't wait to see what we get!

[Karl83]

Some Cumulus starting to build now.

Should we expect some storms today mate?

EDIT: Just seen estofex. :-)

Edited March 16, 2013 by Karl83

[Beast of Plympton]

Im puzzled, this isnt meant in a moany way but i genuinly dont understand so maybe someone with loads more knowledge than me knows the answer. When snow is forecast it just doesnt happen we dont even get rain so its not like they forecasted snow and it turned to rain, no it goes somewhere else. Now if rain in forecasted it happens almost without exception every time. So how do they forecast acuratly that its going to rain and it does so why is it harder if its snow?

Hi Sherrie

This may help you - http://forum.netweat...-forecast-snow/

Snow is more a a potion that needs to be concocted by mother nature. There are so many variables that if one of those variables change, you can have snow at a moments notice.

Some of the more experienced may be able to give a better description!!

Edited March 16, 2013 by Beast of Dartmoor

[AWD]

Should we expect some storms today mate?

More showers & downpours rather than storms I think.

Should get anything from rain, sleet, snow and hail later this afternoon.

Sferic activity will be very limited however, can't see much in the way of T&L today.

Estofex is more for large hail and low risk of tornadic activity. Still pretty good so early in the season.

Edited March 16, 2013 by AWD

[Karl83]

More showers & downpours rather than storms I think.

Should get anything from rain, sleet, snow and hail later this afternoon.

Sferic activity will be very limited however, can't see much in the way of T&L today.

That'll do me. Should get some interesting cloudscapes then. I'll post some pics later if I can.

[AWD]

Latest NAE continues to show shower activity coming up from the SW this afternoon;

With these falling as pretty much anything and everything;

A good few hundred joules of CAPE evident across the region later this afternoon;

With cloud tops rising and mild moist air aloft overriding the colder, drier air further down;

Should provide some interesting shower activity the afternoon. With low humidity values and moderated upper level lapse rates, as said before, electrical activity is likely to be very limited, if any at all.

[sherrie]

There can be a very long explanation for that but i'm on my phone. Most of the time, the UK's precip actually begins as snow. It usually changes form as it falls through many different temperature layers, if all the temperature layers are within the realm of -4 to -5C then snowflakes will stay as snowflakes until they hit the surface, that becomes a different story. A small difference in elevation or landscape can effect snowfall. That was my simple version of it. lol

thankyou for the explanation

[AWD]

Anyone in Cornwall and Devon getting anything other than rain?

Radar showing some decent returns down there.

[Bumpkin]

Lovely sunny morning but now clouded over and the temp is now dropping

[dec10snow]

Anyone in Cornwall and Devon getting anything other than rain?

Radar showing some decent returns down there.

Just rain here, but I don't seem to be in any of the heavy pulses!

[Erbyskerby]

Very heavy squall here - high winds, heavy rain and flakes of snow as well. Talk about four seasons in one day - was lovely a couple of hours ago.

[Argyle1980]

Anyone in Cornwall and Devon getting anything other than rain?

Radar showing some decent returns down there.

there are some good hail showers but no rumbles yet!

[Mapantz]

Good afternoon folks! Cracking day out there? Depending on where you are of course ..

31mm of rain fell in 24 hours here, 16mm yesterday and 15mm this morning, it topped my pond up nicely.

Currently sunny spells here and a temp of 9.6°C

There's lots of cumulus around at the moment, and the odd cumulus congestus.

The radar is certainly looking good in the south west, the showers are really beefing up in a few places and a few sferics are appearing too.

Edited March 16, 2013 by Mapantz

[cerneman]

heavy shower with hail,that's left garden white,,,Sun popped out from behind clouds now,

[dec10snow]

Any of you Plymouthonians got reports? Some very heavy PPN seemed to have passed over you at about 1!

[AWD]

Starting to kick off over Devon now, all heading NE.

Cloud tops building here inbetween sunny spells, no shower activity yet though.

[Mark Parsons]

there are some good hail showers but no rumbles yet!

Have had 3 rumbles of thunder and a lot of hail in past 30 mins. Can also report some quite large hail now up to 7mm! Edited March 16, 2013 by Mark Parsons

[AWD]

Heavy rain shower just passed over here. Brief, but intense downpour, now sunny again.

[Mapantz]

Nasty cell just north east of Plymouth, possibly heading towards Princetown.

My lightning detector is going off now at a 12 to 24 miles range.

[Ashme]

just poped to Beaminster and have seen it all....... rain,wind,hail,sleet and some awesome lighting strikes. You dont get weather like the UK anywhere else in the world. Love it

[SNOWYLAD]

Thunder with rain and hail here.

[Joe Levy]

It would be nice if we got some thundery downpours here! I hope Dartmoor doesn't kill off or reduce the intensity of those showers too much.

[gottolovethisweather]

Kicking off well in the SW, more than might have been expected perhaps, but we are at peak insolation (?) time right now.

Edited March 16, 2013 by gottolovethisweather

[AWD]

Kicking off well in the SW, more than might have been expected perhaps, but we are at peak insolation (?) time right now.

High Res model guidance has shower activity developing and travelling further NE over much of our region until dusk tonight, so plenty of time for further developments yet.

Sun feels warm now, should add fuel to the fire.