South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 24th March 2013 22:00hrs>

[john pike]

JP are you still with us

hi mate

just recovered

gotta go out for a little while but be back for ecm

see you soon

[Coast]

Did 1969 stay cold into april?

So, will it be colder this March than in 1969?

Since the media are so sure March 2013 will be the coldest “for 50 years†(meaning 51), let’s have another look. The first point to note is that the average so far this month, up to and including the 21st, is 3.6C. As I mentioned, it was only 3.7C to the 19th and the 20th. In terms of record-breaking, this could be enough to make a difference.

The second point is arithmetical. If one of the remaining 10 days this month (22nd-31st) is 2-3C below the current average (3.6C), the mean for the month will decrease by 0.1C; if a day is 2-3C above the average so far the mean will increase by 0.1C. This is admittedly a crude reckoning system, but simple and effective.

Third, taking the Heathrow temperature as typical of the Central England region as a whole, the medium term forecast has been deteriorating. This was the main theme of my previous post – perhaps I didn’t take enough account of it when discussing the monthly record temperatures.

The balance of probabilities does seem now to suggest that March 2013 will be the coldest in the CET since 1962. Most likely, the Metro, the Mail and John Hammond of the BBC will be proved right.

http://unchartedterritory.wordpress.com/2013/03/22/march-2013-coldest-uk-winter-in-51-44-or-just-43-years/

[Snowangel-MK]

im not sure of a website but someone did post on facebook the other day a screen shot and it showed weather 22nd march 2012 london 21c

Do you mean this.....

[Suburban Streamer]

CET: (Mar 1-24): 3.4°C (-2.9 degC) Average 6.3C

Coldest March at the moment since 1969!

(and yes it was colder on the moon)

yeah and more than likely for heathrow it will end up the coldest march since 1962!

edit: just seen coast's post above

Edited March 25, 2013 by Suburban Streamer

[Snowman.]

Something is trying form on the radar over Belgium?

[Eskimo]

Between January 1st - March 24th...

Provisional CET anomaly (up to 24th March): -0.92

Below average year so far!

[Ben_Cambs]

It felt very bitter outside today, with a fairly strong breeze at times and dry air due to lower humidity than of late. Max of about 2.5C on my weather station, though a lot of snow thawed out today. Cold looks like it will keep on going into April now, the average temperature this month on the Cambridge university weather station is just 2.8C so far!

[Kentspur]

http://unchartedterritory.wordpress.com/2013/03/22/march-2013-coldest-uk-winter-in-51-44-or-just-43-years/

What I find particularly interesting about this is that many of the really cold marches were preceded by mild ones

[alexisj9]

I've never seen a blob of ppn pulse so much, it's more like a heart beat then ppn, and doen't seem to be getting any closer, will still keep an eye on it though.

[Eskimo]

MetCheck guess the final March average to be 2.70C which is -3.76C off the average

Edited March 25, 2013 by PerfectStorm

[Eskimo]

I've never seen a blob of ppn pulse so much, it's more like a heart beat then ppn, and doen't seem to be getting any closer, will still keep an eye on it though.

It happens when the precipitation is so light, the radar struggles to bounce back information.

[JennyJane1]

i've given up with trying to get warm and got into bed

[Gary_R_Walker]

i've given up with trying to get warm and got into bed

I'm going for a steaming hot bath to try and thaw out my old bones. Back later.

[Kent Blizzard]

Thanks all for the information/stats regarding the weekend just gone and last years.....

....looking forward to some warmth and colour in the garden !

[alexisj9]

Here in central croydon temp has been dead on 1 deg all day.

[john mac]

Thicker cloud moving in from the east

[alexisj9]

Thicker cloud moving in from the east

Does there seem to be anything in it?

[john pike]

Does there seem to be anything in it?

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/radar/index.html

i find this fairly accurate

on;y thing its 30 mi update

best thing is check your lamppost

[Eskimo]

If I record in April an ice day or at least a daily maximum between 1-2 degrees, I can officially say we are heading into a mini ice age lol, because that is VERY VERY rare.

[john pike]

a bit cold on thursday

did show purple all over at the time

has now changed

Edited March 25, 2013 by john pike

[john pike]

that looks a bit snowey

[john mac]

Yeah pressure decreasing as the week goes on, definately potential for Thursday

[Lauren]

My feelings about the weather today are summed up perfectly and succinctly by this guy ----------> x1000

[john pike]

144 ecm

different to ukmo

certainly not warm

the low is going to confuse everyone again

fi is 96

[alexisj9]

144 ecm

different to ukmo

certainly not warm

the low is going to confuse everyone again

fi is 96

Looks like GFS 00z from night before last that.