South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 11/10/13 ------------>

[Sussex Jules]

After living through the 'Great Storm'of 87 I am wary of what the models are showing at the moment. Thing is no amount of worrying/ignoring will make the slightest bit of difference to what will happen. Interesting times coming up and JP I will be watching out even more for your nightly updates.

[Snowangel-MK]

Not sure what we missed while in Cineworld but it was much wetter when we came out than it was when we went in - hopefully it was just heavy rain and not a storm or tornado ......the captain Phillips film was very good though !

[stainesbloke]

After living through the 'Great Storm'of 87 I am wary of what the models are showing at the moment. Thing is no amount of worrying/ignoring will make the slightest bit of difference to what will happen. Interesting times coming up and JP I will be watching out even more for your nightly updates.

Quite. I think some people on here are too young to remember 1987 and even 1990 but I witnessed both and although I usually love extreme weather, those storms scared me. Seeing the destruction (and I don't use that word lightly) was pretty horrific! Anyway, definitely keeping a close eye on the charts, best to be prepared even though nothing may come of it

[john pike]

gfs 132

 

 

138

 

 

shows a very quick moving system

 

however no huge windstorm as before

 

still need to keep out eye on as at this far out i think changes will be certain

 

late fax tonight hopefully will see what the met office make of it

[Captain Shortwave]

No point worrying about it, these things usually pop up about 48 hours before the event happens, even at shorter notice sometimes. I'm sure the storm will disappear, reappear and the disappear again. If it does verify I expect it to either slam into France leaving us a bit wet or it will curve north eastwards and hit the usual Northern England/Scotland area.

GFS then dumps the deep low and also has heights building in a weeks time.

Swings and roundabouts this model watching malarkey

[Iceni]

Quite. I think some people on here are too young to remember 1987 and even 1990 but I witnessed both and although I usually love extreme weather, those storms scared me. Seeing the destruction (and I don't use that word lightly) was pretty horrific! Anyway, definitely keeping a close eye on the charts, best to be prepared even though nothing may come of it

 

 

 

Living without power for 6 weeks wasn't funny either. We had to cut our way out of our drive to the lane with chainsaws (petrol only). Everyone mucked in and it was a gloriously sunny autumn day. But it was a shocking sight to see a whole plantation of pine tree trunks snapped off like matchsticks - the same whirl wind lifted a neighbour's brick chimney breast right off its roof and dumped it more or less intact in their front lawn.

 

I did the stupidest thing. I was knackered and ran a great big hot bath afterwards. But I'd forgotten that our water had to be pumped up the hill by an electric pump, I'd used the last in the water tank and the electric pump had been knocked out. We didn't have any tap water for 2 weeks. So every time there's a storm or power cut threatened I fill up the bath with tap water, for drinking, not washing.

Edited October 22, 2013 by Iceni

[stainesbloke]

Quite. I think some people on here are too young to remember 1987 and even 1990 but I witnessed both and although I usually love extreme weather, those storms scared me. Seeing the destruction (and I don't use that word lightly) was pretty horrific! Anyway, definitely keeping a close eye on the charts, best to be prepared even though nothing may come of it

Wow, 6 weeks without power is pretty serious! The filling the bath tip is a great one. I have big bottles of water in store in case of any emergencies but am no prepper lol. I suppose if loads of trees were uprooted at least there'd be a lot of firewood! Sad though

Living without power for 6 weeks wasn't funny either. We had to cut our way out of our drive to the lane with chainsaws (petrol only). Everyone mucked in. But it was a shocking sight to see a whole plantation of pine trees snapped off like matchsticks - the same whirl wind lifted a neighbour's chimney right off its roof and dumped it more or less intact in their front lawn.

I did the stupidest thing. I was knackered and ran a great big hot bath afterwards. But I'd forgotten that our water had to be pumped up the hill by an electric pump, I'd used the last in the water tank and the electric pump had been knocked out. We didn't have any tap water for 2 weeks. So every time there's a storm or power cut threatened I fill up the bath with tap water, for drinking, not washing.

[john pike]

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

 

lively below us at present

 

typical

 

the charts i want to see are the ukmo at 120-144

 

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ukmo2.php?nh=0&carte=1021&ech=6&archive=0

 

cue the night they do not update them

[Tom Jarvis]

Will them storms in the channel hit here or go north of us like it did at the weekend

[john pike]

ukmo at 144

 

ouch

 

tom its a watch the radar night mate im afraid

[Jax]

Evening all

 

After a wet day it has turned into a calmer and drier evening, handy as I had to wander the streets to various points to pay some bills and do some shopping, now it is time to settle in for the evening.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Storms kicking off proper fingers crossed

[EJA]

Hey Surrey what radar do you use? Thanks : )

[Tom Jarvis]

Just looking at the cell over France just south of jersey may have our names on it

[EJA]

Hey Tom what do you use to view this? Thanks : )

[john pike]

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?x=322&y=156&run=12&runpara=0&type=1&ext=1

 

 

work that out

[Neilsouth]

Windy yet pleasantly mild tonight

 

NICE

[Sussex Jules]

Coast has been playing with his crayons again I reckon JP

[Tom Jarvis]

Just the netweather radar

[Jax]

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?x=322&y=156&run=12&runpara=0&type=1&ext=1

 

 

work that out

Where did it go?

 

could be interesting around the 27/28th

[Ruthie]

Just been outside to tighten the bolts on our cheap gazebo!! Like that will make a jot of difference if a squall goes thru here. But it is good to do SOMETHING to batten down. Even if futile! The fox won't even come near to the gazebo tonight, as it keeps shimmying about.

[john pike]

hi jules

 

its a bit of a mess to say the least

 

this might even be a t24 prediction going by the usual model confusion with these lows

 

not worried at present

 

i will be if still there by saturday

[Mark Neal.]

Thunder and Lightning in Oxford. Heavens have opened a warm 15.8c aswell

[Summer of 76]

Thunder and Lightning in Oxford. Heavens have opened a warm 15.8c aswell

Yes looks a bit wet on here.

 

http://webcam.oii.ox.ac.uk/camera1.cfm

[Mark Neal.]

Torrential Rain!