South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 11/10/13 ------------>

[john pike]

 

ecm at 144

 

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Oh mate! Bright blue flashes of lightning every 20 secs to my south come to daddy!!!

[Jason T]

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?x=322&y=156&run=12&runpara=0&type=1&ext=1

 

 

work that out

 

 

Thats even got a 70% snow risk JP, Right in the off the scale. Got to say if, , This verifies OMG.....

Edited October 22, 2013 by Jason T

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Oh buddy!!

 

Looks tasty on the radar http://www.meteoradar.co.uk/

[Tom Jarvis]

Looks like they are going to miss me

[bobbydog]

Oh mate! Bright blue flashes of lightning every 20 secs to my south come to daddy!!!

 

i can see them between 5 and 10 secs apart in the distance. heading this way but might just miss me

[hernebaylooby]

evening all, looks interesting tonight for some

[VillagePlank]

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?x=322&y=156&run=12&runpara=0&type=1&ext=1

 

 

work that out

 

Yep the uncertainty has widened, with an armageddon looking 948hPa right up to a rather pleasant 1011hPa in the GEFS ensemble set.

 

Meanwhile GFS's ensemble take on it really isn't helpful, either

 

 

Although the dendogram does imply that, now, there is 40% agreement of the following (cluster 4),

 

 

Which, as you can see, puts the low to the west of Norway.

Edited October 22, 2013 by Sparkicle

[Tom Jarvis]

That is one immense squall line on radar wonder what the shelf cloud looks like

[Mark Neal.]

That is one immense squall line on radar wonder what the shelf cloud looks like

 

Yes indeed running through Oxon/into Berks and Hampshire. Somewhere will be pasted!

[stainesbloke]

Wow I can see plenty of lightning on the S-SW horizon but there is no cloud yet!

[tinybill]

that  immense squall line  that  heading  our  way to-night  could bring  a  lot  of rain soon!!

[stainesbloke]

Can see the squall line to my S thru to NW, lots of lightning all along!! Looks like a summer import

[totalhysteria]

Looks like its just going to pass to my west. :-(

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Stainesbloke.. this is epic!!! so much lightning!!! 

[PiggiePalace]

Wow I can see plenty of lightning on the S-SW horizon but there is no cloud yet!

 

Me too...me too.....first real lightning show this year. Clear starry skies but it's like bonfire night on the horizon! Someone  west of me is getting a real treat tonight!

Edited October 22, 2013 by PiggiePalace

[Tom Jarvis]

I cannot see any lightning at all

[Mark Neal.]

Thunder is soo loud here, right overhead. Pretty good light display aswell going on. Torrential rain just East of here now looks like Round two will peak to the East, dark red blobs and even white showing up. 

[Ruthie]

Can't see anything in brentford, bit a bit blowy though!!

Edited October 22, 2013 by Ruthie

[Tom Jarvis]

It doesn't look like it is very active with lightning

[EJA]

Thanks Tom! : )

[hernebaylooby]

ok id be lying if I said I wasn't a tad jealous right now!

[EJA]

Lightning in Brighton

[Frosty1]

Pretty impressive lightning and thunder here in Arborfield near Reading. The rain is intermittent at the moment , has been heavy at times over the last 15 - 20 minutes. Lost our satellite signal briefly.

[john pike]

got distant flashes here

 

trying to watch the football at present