South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 28/10/13

[Tom Jarvis]

hope it doesn't cancel newick bonfire on Saturday night it is a really good fireworks display

[Iceni]

bloody lovely drive home across the fens from Norwich into the sunset..

 

It's lovely, but I find a drive back after a day at the sea, incredibly tiring with the sun in your eyes all the way home. That said, I invested in some RayBans at the Duty Free in Jersey and they really make life easier.

 

This was taken on the way back from Aldeburgh in August... it was so amazing we stopped the car.

 

 

Edited October 30, 2013 by Iceni

[HammerJack]

And I was just getting accustomed to this dry, sunny and cool autumn weather......

Spent most of the day doing indoor activities today. But when I did go outside it was lovely blue skies, but felt nippy.... Currently 12c here.

[Mark Neal.]

Heavy rain falling now. Temp at 12.2c

[john pike]

hi all heres the fax charts for now

 

 

tonight

 

still a tad chilly north of the region

 

a little warmer to the south

 

rainfall

 

rain arriving around midnight for all

 

still here in the morning

 

a weak westerly flow so not windy

 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow

 

no fax showing

 

so ukmo shows this

 

a breezy south west wind

 

temps

 

around 12-14 degrees

 

rain

 

rain until lunchtime

 

clearing all areas except poss the very far south east

 

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow night

 

a breezy south west flow

 

temps

 

not cold around 8-10 degrees

 

rainfall

 

some showers around overnight but at present now it looks very patchy and not too heavy

 

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friday

 

 breezy south to south west flow

 

temps

 

around 12-14 degrees

 

rainfall

 

first signs of the low to our south west effecting the south with rain from lunchtime

 

later

 

effecting all and heavy rain over friday night as well

 

windy overnight but only blustery not gales

certainly not cold

----------------------------------------------------------------------

 

saturday

 

a gusty south west wind

 

temps

 

feeling cold around 10 degrees

 

rainfall

 

main rain clears around lunchtime from 1st low

 

however second low looks to hit late afternoon

 

when the low moves across us thats when we may see some gales

 

see to the south west where the isobars tighten up

 

thats where we will see the wind increase

 

jet

 

although strongish

 

nothing like monday

 

will update this forecast tomorrow as hard to be exact at present

Edited October 30, 2013 by john pike

[HammerJack]

After major pressure from my wife, the heating is now on.... Wasn't happy at first, but at least I can now take my jumper and coat off. Feels really nice now 😄

[tinybill]

So we can expect the press to pick up on this with some killer mega storm part two headlines soon then ... Oh dear !Chilly out tonight ....snug as a bug in a rug here though heating is on and so are the fluffy slippers :-)

explains  why  the  bbc  weather  people  are  not committing themselves to-night . Friday, Sunday  storms

[HammerJack]

explains why the bbc weather people are not committing themselves to-night . Friday, Sunday storms

Its always the sensationalists (I think you know who I'm referring too) make these forecasts so early. I'm just going to stick to here and the MO. Between the two we will get a very good idea what is in store / going to happen.

[john pike]

gfs show this

 

however heres the gfs ensemble pressure graphs

 

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?x=318&y=153&run=12&runpara=0&type=1&ext=1

 

 

i see they have got a handle on this then

[PiggiePalace]

It will last longer though, the worry is not so much this event but exisiting damage from before.

 

Weakened trees, full rivers, sodden ground etc.

 

A solid 6 hours with gusts over 50 could cause some disruption

Sigh....Ashdown Forest now saturated....my stream is well-primed and can now only cope with about a 15mm rainfall dump over an hour or two.

 

 

...........unpacks the wellingtons and guinea pig water wings....puts the flood barriers back up..orders skip for friday to clear the existing and future debris from the stream.

 

 

Thinks about getting tree surgeons in to lop 20ft off the eucalyptus before saturday evening as it was struggling badly on monday and would have ended up directly in my bedroom if it fell

This is not looking like the best of Autumns for me. For the first time ever I'm actually wiling it to start snowing early

xxxx

[tinybill]

Sigh....Ashdown Forest now saturated....my stream is well-primed and can now only cope with about a 15mm rainfall dump over an hour or two.

 

 

...........unpacks the wellingtons and guinea pig water wings....puts the flood barriers back up..orders skip for friday to clear the existing and future debris from the stream.

 

 

Thinks about getting tree surgeons in to lop 20ft off the eucalyptus before saturday evening as it was struggling badly on monday and would have ended up directly in my bedroom if it fell

This is not looking like the best of Autumns for me. For the first time ever I'm actually wiling it to start snowing early

xxxx

hope  things  go well !!

[john pike]

hi piggiepalace

 

sorry to hear that

 

wish there was better news at present but keep your eye on the forecasts as there is a slim chance this may be

 

being overcooked by the charts at present

 

should know by tomorrow but whether that is too late for you i dont know

 

hopefully things will calm down by the next couple of weeks

 

a long time in weather but hopefully the atlantic will calm down

 

and give us a rest from this wind and rain

 

take care

 

john

[80sWeather]

After major pressure from my wife, the heating is now on.... Wasn't happy at first, but at least I can now take my jumper and coat off. Feels really nice now 😄

Ha ha! Have the same standoff here, she's got a cold so insists that the heating dial has to be turned up to 25 degs.When she's not looking I put it back to 18 :-)I tried to explain that turning it up so high wont make it heat up any faster :-)

[HammerJack]

Ha ha! Have the same standoff here, she's got a cold so insists that the heating dial has to be turned up to 25 degs.When she's not looking I put it back to 18 :-)I tried to explain that turning it up so high wont make it heat up any faster :-)

Haha nice one. I wouldn't mind the heating on, on a low heat. But my wife want the heating on full blast with each thermostat at 6.... That's why I try keeping it off as long as possible. BTW I don't really sit indoors wearing a coat and jumper hahaha

[blackprince]

Ha ha! Have the same standoff here, she's got a cold so insists that the heating dial has to be turned up to 25 degs.

When she's not looking I put it back to 18 :-)

I tried to explain that turning it up so high wont make it heat up any faster :-)

Snap!!!!! turn it right up and let the boiler run flat out.Because the room will never get hot enough to turn off the stat...

[Jax]

Evening all

 

been to a birthday party at the pub (mid week I know), now back and showered and just finished watching autumnwatch followed by the red button uncut and then that followed one man and his dog.

Edited October 30, 2013 by Jax

[tadpole]

Reading the  'wives want the heating on' posts did make me chuckle. I used to be like that to, but 21 was the max I liked it.

I've discovered that when one becomes a 'woman of a certain age' you get a built in heating system, and now it's hubby complaining it's cold instead. He just gets told he's inappropriately dressed 

[Team Jo]

Gotten a bit breezy here and def mild again... Oh Atlantic, you jester....

[Steve C]

Pub run has downgraded the wind potential on Saturday evening, to my eyes.

Edited October 30, 2013 by Steve C

[HammerJack]

Gotten a bit breezy here and def mild again... Oh Atlantic, you jester....

Yep fully agree with that.... We have fine rain here now too.I'm off to bed now, back to work tomorrow after two action packed days with the family. The weather can do what it wants now, as long as it's quite, as I need sleep😄Good evening all.

[HammerJack]

Pub run has downgraded the wind potential on Saturday evening, to my eyes.GFS 18z Sat Eve.png

Hopefully, that's what will contiue to happen mate.

[Steve C]

Unfortunately rainfall could become a serious issue. In addition to the rain tonight, the weather warning low on Friday and the low on Saturday, GFS 18z is also giving us this on Sunday evening!

Edited October 30, 2013 by Steve C

[SteveCoops]

Temp here in Rayleigh has been rising the last couple of hours...looks like we have rain on the way.

[Fatboypirate]

^{Its getting a bit gusty here on the coast again, just under 20MPH , temp is holing up at 14 and whilst the pressure has dropped a little its steady now at 1019.}

Edited October 30, 2013 by Fatboypirate

[blackprince]

Reading the  'wives want the heating on' posts did make me chuckle. I used to be like that to, but 21 was the max I liked it.

I've discovered that when one becomes a 'woman of a certain age' you get a built in heating system, and now it's hubby complaining it's cold instead. He just gets told he's inappropriately dressed 

Oh that still happens just means the back door gets opened up to cool her down whilst the boiler tries to warm the house back up.....yo yo heating.....hot  cold hot cold