South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 06/11/13 0000z ------------>

[Beast of Plympton]

The current output suggest it could be a tad chilly, Northerly looking quite possible, the last 3 or 4 runs showing the same thing. Interest is from 6th December, longevity is in question at the moment.

 

 

It could be a 3 day snap, but there is talk that it *could* bring about a North Easterly flow and something a bit more prolonged. but many hurdles to jump before we can start talking about that.

 

Certainly looking like a good start to the winter on current output, at the moment.

 

Thanks for that.... Looks like the emotional turmoil of model watching is to start again!!

[MP-R]

Blimey, 100% chance of snow next Friday in Bristol. Watch that reduce by 10% each day until then lol.

[knocker]

Good ole Roger Brugge, I often print out his summaries for posterity. That looks somewhat chilly by Camborne standards, a nudge here and there the right way and you might well get some wintry bits. I am still confused by how to separate the observed from forecast, i.e. we can't observe something that hasn't happened.

 

A diamond and dotted line. Promise me you will buck up.

[gottolovethisweather]

A diamond and dotted line. Promise me you will buck up.

 

 Nope. Got it. Yes, one is a dunce sometimes.

Edited November 28, 2013 by gottolovethisweather

[knocker]

 Nope. How come the future has already been observed?

 

I could have swore it says forecast..........................................

[gottolovethisweather]

I could have swore it says forecast..........................................

 

Ok, ok. The show's over.

[karlos1983]

Oh just realized my 1000th post was not YAY ITS SNOWMAGEDDON, darn it!

[ARTDEMOLE]

Grey today ...All white Saturday week...

[karlos1983]

Grey today ...All white Saturday week...

 

Current GFS rolling out doesn't agree, hopefully not a trend setter

[Zephyr]

Hi everyone does anyone know the e-mail you send weather pictures to, to get them on points west forecast? 

[jtay]

The website says pointswest@bbc.co.uk.

[Zephyr]

Thanks! ^

[jtay]

Thanks! ^

but post them here too.

[Guest William Grimsley]

It was dry and mild with a light wind yesterday, here. High Rainfall Rate Yesterday: 0.0 mm/hr 00:00 High Hourly Rainfall Yesterday: 0.0 mm 00:00 Rainfall Yesterday: 0.0 mm High Temperature Yesterday: 11.0°C 13:13 High Wind Gust Yesterday: 7 mph 13:55 High Wind Speed Yesterday: 1 mph 03:29 Wind Run Yesterday: 1.0 mi Dominant Direction Yesterday: 357° N.

[knocker]

Usual layer of Sc. Temp 9.3C and wind NE light.

[Mapantz]

10C here again today, but we have

 

 

[Dorsetbred]

 

10C here again today, but we have

 

 

I see your 10C and raise you with 10.3°C

[Andy Bown]

It's the most active weather day since last Thursday with a fresh WNW wind, fast moving clouds and some hazy sunshine, in between times it's been calm for 8 days and either clear/sunny or extensively cloudy.

 

Double figures were reached here too which I wasn't expecting, though back down to 9.8c now.

[Nights King]

Mild and dull today 8c

[Mapantz]

Just purchased a micro USB to female USB cable so i can access my bridge camera's files on my Android tab. I'm uploading a vid to YouTube, of the storm i had here back in October, it's not mega exciting but it has a nice crawler going across the sky, it's also an excuse to use this to upload and experiment with it. :lol: I'll post it in a bit.

Hope it works? Does it offer 1080p?

Edited November 29, 2013 by Mapantz

[ARTDEMOLE]

GOOD FLASH AND ROLL OF THUNDER. which camera did you use.

Gusting 22.0 km/h. Northerly. Cloudy .8.3c. 

[knocker]

Looking at the ECMWF sequence at the moment next weekend looks as if it could be cold and windy although wouldn't have thought much snow around. Certainly not in these parts. Mind that's along way off to be taking it too seriously.

Edited November 29, 2013 by knocker

[Mapantz]

GOOD FLASH AND ROLL OF THUNDER. which camera did you use.Gusting 22.0 km/h. Northerly. Cloudy .8.3c.

That'll be the Olympus SP-720uz.

[gottolovethisweather]

Just popping my latest couple of analyses in here for those not brave enough to enter the "boiling cauldron" of the MAD thread.

 

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/78508-model-output-discussion-18th-nov2013-12z-onwards/?p=2849088

 

and

 

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/78508-model-output-discussion-18th-nov2013-12z-onwards/?p=2849115

 

A fun packed week's weather ahead of us for next week, that's for sure.

 

Best Wishes

 

gottolovethisweather

[gottolovethisweather]

Looking at the ECMWF sequence at the moment next weekend looks as if it could be cold and windy although wouldn't have thought much snow around. Certainly not in these parts. Mind that's along way off to be taking it too seriously.

 

Yep, the period from the 7th to the 10th December looks best for my patch but then again we are talking a t+192 plus timescale unfortunately, as you quite rightly suggest. I do feel this next spell of weather might have some legs yet though, whether its snow legs or just ice cold legs I'm not too sure, nor is anyone I guess.