Scotland - Weather Chat

[Hairy Celt]

Much excitement at gfs climb down!!

Could it be??

Off to bed, catch up

In the morning

 

Wtf? Pretty stunning U-turn there.  The late fuhrer wouldn't have been impressed...

[edo]

 

yup models looking good...snow on saturday remains a real prospect and potential following behind....gfs u turn and ecm similar to ukmo....even looking good for SE england so much hapiness in model thread

Edited December 23, 2014 by edodfc

[lorenzo]

Pretty much as exciting as it gets for model watching today ! A good old model mexican stand off. Only a few hours at work tomorrow and time to then relax and watch all the fun unfold.

 

Good on the GFS for getting it's act together, and relenting on delivery of the low to Norway. Instead coming in line with the ECM and UKMO projections.

 

Courtesy of twitter I believe this maybe Euro4 or MOGREPS image from the 12z.

 

After that Azores kicking around it is nice to see the complete opposite - slider lows rolling into the continent, jet chart to illustrate angle.

 

Higher up, things are moving in the stratosphere and modelling is reflective of the vortex finally being split, moments away from technical SSW first week in January, so a great watch ahead.

 

Finally found this on twitter, Scotland at her most beautiful.

 

 

[edo]

LS wants to get his butt back fae Switzerland pronto......or Lorenzo to tear himself away from strat analysis ........ just finished wrapping 4 kids worth of presents.....Mrs Claus has gone bonkers online this year....best present would be snow at the weekend though to play in after a couple of days of festive madness

 

 

edit right on cue Lorenzo........ legend  

Edited December 23, 2014 by edodfc

[edo]

memories of boxing day 2009....I was in peebles and ridiculous amounts from that fall

[lorenzo]

Fun starts very early on Friday 9am band tracking in. From NetWx NMM Mid Range

 

Met Office Fax

 

A real mix in below, depicted by the differences in 850hPa temps, a nowcast if ever there was one !

 

Colder air and lower thickness moving south as weekend moves on.

 

Over to the radar we go. Hopefully LS will pop in to review Euro4 and 950hPa layers ( the ones that usually scupper the white stuff).

 

Thank you Santa for a brilliant week of model watching ahead. Likewise would love to get the wee guy out on a sledge and into the snow !

[edo]

cheers lorenzo....surely not miss out marginally again ...... that would be too cruel

[Bullseye]

Before I head off to sleep, strat seems in favourable position going from latest runs today, always good to see (can be damper when chart for strat in around 360-384h away), lastly runs look good for E/NE winds over next week or so, with regard to this weekend weather is Scotland in good position for snow based on latest runs? Cheers.

[snowy owl]

V interesting chart viewing. Just getting some late night/early morning practice in for chart viewing and has Santa been yet! Much excited about snow prospects. ⛄â„

[cscrim]

Never been so organised for Christmas. My to do list for today is empty so plenty time to keep updated as charts come out.

[Guest]

V interesting chart viewing. Just getting some late night/early morning practice in for chart viewing and has Santa been yet! Much excited about snow prospects. ⛄â„

 

Aye, it's been a good one to watch. I'm now a bit wary that the whole thing will track too far south to affect any of us, it has been revised south a long way in recent runs on all models.

[mistyqueen]

Mornin' folks! A really noisy morning here...crash, bang, wallop, flash! Thunderstorm woke me just before 6am. The OH informed me that the lightning was intense....I saw nothing, too busy sending snores up! It has calmed down now, light breeze and rain, 2.5c. Hope you all have a very happy and snowy Christmas, although it doesn't look much like I'll be seeing any over this way!     :smiliz34:

[Richard Taylor]

Not convinced from the projected track of the incoming low this weekend that the NE will benefit from anything... I think we are too far north, if that's not an irony.

 

But we'll see if the wintry showers being progged for this area Xmas Day bear fruit... or snow!!

[Big Innes Madori]

Heavy blustery Sleet Showers here this morning!

Some Big wet flakes o' snaw

Temp 3.5 Deg C

Big Innes

[Hawesy]

Morning all, dry and sunny in Crail, lovely start to Christmas Eve. Currently 3c (no air frost overnight).

An interesting few days coming up!

[Cheggers]

Heavy showers rattling through all morning so far, not very nice outside.

Edited December 24, 2014 by Cheggers

[edo]

 

850 temp ensembles looking decent for a few days

[edo]

liking the more easterly flow on the GFS for IMBY..... hopefully get some convection and decent uppers

[Cheggers]

For those with Kids today..

http://www.ustream.tv/channel/santaclauslive-outside-cam

http://www.noradsanta.org/

Edited December 24, 2014 by Cheggers

[NUT]

Hm I thought I heard a boom of thunder..............can't tell though

[Cheggers]

Huge thunderstorm passing by.

[edo]

thats one dark looking storm.....squally showers passing through here...bitterly cold wind but temps high at 7.5c.....

[edo]

cheggers thanks for the santa links....the kids will love that tonight but more importantly do you have the radar link for LS's plane back from Switzerland

 

mean while from the met

 

Yellow Alert of Wind and Snow for Central, Tayside & Fife

 

Yellow Alert of Wind and Snow for Central, Tayside & Fife : Angus, Clackmannanshire, Dundee, Falkirk, Fife, Perth and Kinross & Stirling valid from 1500 Fri 26 Dec to 1500 Sat 27 Dec

 

A lot of talk of over 200m though so I fear the old story of the last 2 winters........ although should be snow following the storm if we get any precipitation with a chance that the storm is actually snow

Edited December 24, 2014 by edodfc

[Cheggers]

cheggers thanks for the santa links....the kids will love that tonight but more importantly do you have the radar link for LS's plane back from Switzerland

Flightradar24 

https://santatracker.google.com/#tracker

Edited December 24, 2014 by Cheggers

[edo]

Flightradar24 

https://santatracker.google.com/#tracker

 

lol stalking is not an offence in the pursuit of the chief kilted thread forecaster