Scotland - Weather Chat

[Mesosphere]

80mph gusts closes the Forth road bridge completely

 

Yeah, I wouldn't want to be going anywhere near that bridge tonight/early tomorrow!

[Northernlights]

Breezy bright wintry morning here with wintry showers to the west and north. Currently 2.9c after 9c yesterday lunchtime with fresh snow lying down to a 1000 feet on the surrounding hills.

A bit of a bad luck with the cattle. A fully grown heifer broke her back leg in the fold the other day and had to be put to sleep. No insurance for this I am afraid so grumpy old farmer syndrome has returned.

[Benvironment]

Ah. It's snowing!

[Jo Farrow]

Blue skies here this morning at the moment and stayed a few degrees above freezing overnight. Calm before the storm sort of stuff. Glad we're out of the main firing line although it's still going to be pretty windy here from late tonight until Saturday night by the looks of it.

Wonder what impacts there'll be at the airport Friday am, some offshore delays

Yeah, I wouldn't want to be going anywhere near that bridge tonight/early tomorrow!

wonder what the train bridge criteria are?

[Ravelin]

Wonder what impacts there'll be at the airport Friday am, some offshore delays

Yeah, even if they can get on and off the ground here I'm not sure I'd want to in one trying to land on a platform on the next couple of days. I live with the constant background noise of helicopters in my office so it might be a rare quiet day tomorrow (noise of the wind excepted).

[lorenzo]

Met Office warnings issued at 1013 - amber extended 

 

Forth-Clyde Valley looking rough 

 

A vigorous depression is expected to run rapidly east passing northern Scotland on Thursday night and Friday morning. Winds will begin to increase late on Thursday to give a period of very strong westerly winds through the Forth-Clyde valley, with gusts 60-70 mph quite widely, and isolated gusts to 80 mph. Winds should quickly ease from the west during the morning.

The public should be prepared for the potential for disruption to transport, and are advised to check latest forecasts before travelling. Power supplies may also be affected and there is the possibility of structural damage.

 

Bawbag Jr?

 

Central Belt is just like a wind tunnel when these systems fire through, perfectly illustrated on warn map.

 

Edit - Snow and Ice warnings also rolling out just now.

 

 

Edited January 8, 2015 by lorenzo

[lorenzo]

That's a Beastie alright...

 

http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IPPS/html/latestImages/EUMETSAT_MSG_RGB-naturalcolor-westernEurope.jpg

[Kent Blizzard]

Just popping in to wish you all a safe time over the next few days and again next week.

 

stay safe everyone.

[edo]

Very strong hints of Jan 1993 in the charts...

 

'93 first, then ECM +168hrs. Not as bad as '93 but not that far off it. The 1993 chart brought several inches of drifting snow to Glasgow, let alone the rest of the west of the country.

 

Jan 1993.gif8th Jan ECM 00z +168hrs.gif

 

stop it CMD you are getting my hopes up....that was my first year in work and we got the day off..... snow in Dundee was literally above my knees and Dundee was cut off with the motorways closed....i recall there being no newspapers or milk at the local shop as no deliveries could get through..... i also remember walking my girlfriend over to my house early afternoon thinking wow looks a little snowy in that sky and the first flakes started late afternoon and continued for about 24 hours pretty much......that was in the dates before internet or me taking an interest in weather forecasts so was one of those brilliant surprise storms.....on the day off work we actually sledged into town and had lunch in front of a coal fire in Tally Ho's pub and i remember the thaw starting that late afternoon and being depressed at it. The thaw was so rapid i caused the great floods in Perth and indeed my work in Dundee was actually flooded resulting in me having to do a months worth of work again re inputting data as the back up tapes were destroyed and a months worth of work lost......was not quite so happy with the snow at that point

[Ross B]

Central Belt is just like a wind tunnel when these systems fire through, perfectly illustrated on warn map.

Capture.JPG

 

Edit - Snow and Ice warnings also rolling out just now.

Snow Ice warnings.JPG

It always snows when I'm not in the house, 2nd time this winter so I might as well just live at sea level! Haha.

Interesting week coming up anyway with plenty of interesting weather and some snow chances.

I think all trains are cancelled tomorrow. No announcement yet but the automatic timings are saying cancelled for mine.

[snowy owl]

Already feeling very cold with the current windchill! Goodness knows what it'll be like later.

[Northernlights]

Just had a very heavy wet snow shower which ended up settling. Currently 0.5c . Cows raced in from their morning turnip feed in the field back to the warmth and fresh straw bed in the folds.

[mountain shadow]

stop it CMD you are getting my hopes up....that was my first year in work and we got the day off..... snow in Dundee was literally above my knees and Dundee was cut off with the motorways closed....i recall there being no newspapers or milk at the local shop as no deliveries could get through..... i also remember walking my girlfriend over to my house early afternoon thinking wow looks a little snowy in that sky and the first flakes started late afternoon and continued for about 24 hours pretty much......that was in the dates before internet or me taking an interest in weather forecasts so was one of those brilliant surprise storms.....on the day off work we actually sledged into town and had lunch in front of a coal fire in Tally Ho's pub and i remember the thaw starting that late afternoon and being depressed at it. The thaw was so rapid i caused the great floods in Perth and indeed my work in Dundee was actually flooded resulting in me having to do a months worth of work again re inputting data as the back up tapes were destroyed and a months worth of work lost......was not quite so happy with the snow at that point

Yes, I can remember this well. The Tay bridge was closed due to wind and the main road to Perth was shut with snow, similarly the main road to Forfar, the coast road to Arbroath was just about clear.

 

I remember walking from my house to my Nan's, a distance of no more than 1/2 mile, a journey i knew by the back of my hand, and actually getting lost, as I couldn't see my hand in front of my face with the snow.

[NUT]

Another strong shower coming through. The head of the cloud before the shower erupted was a beauty

[Ruzzi]

It's still 6 days away and we have a whole host of weather to get through before we get to next week but some of the charts starting to get churned out are of some real interest.

 

Tonight we have the quick fire wind storm and I actually stay 200M up within the middle of the amber MetO warning for the small portion on the central belt so expecting a real blowy one, with the next system following in behind fairly quickly.

 

We then have saturday's snow potential which after reading the most recent warning's from the MetO, I feel more upbeat about, especially for the period of saturday evening, overnight into sunday morning.

 

 

This is 1500 on saturday with snow showers appearing to be lining up out west

 

 

coupled with strong winds

 

 

It's hard not to see the showers penetrating well inland. The usual caveats apply ofcourse, some will get nothing, some will get a few flakes, but I'd bet that somewhere will get a tanking more so as the sun starts to go down and the temperature wains that little bit more. Dew points also looking fairly healthy through to sunday morning.

 

 

 

Wet Bulb temperatures are maybe slightly touch and go around this time however by 9pm on saturday the majority of inland parts have a WBT of 0C or below through the night and into sunday morning

 

 

We do then appear to have a milder blip on sunday and monday, however monday evening into tuesday the snow chances arise once again as colder air sweeps back in from the west.

 

 

 

The 06Z GFS then shows a system moving in from the Southwest later on wednesday night into thursday, ofcourse its likely to change but it does highlight the volatility of the situation and how surprises can and will spring up at very short notice over the next wee while. It paints a messy picture with cold air embroiled and wrapped around the low leaving us with this scenario:

 

 

 

Obviously at 6 days out it's highly likely to change and won't verify as shown but it does show how things can develop very quickly. I expect to see upgrades and downgrades a plenty over the next week at least with cold air never very far away. The model thread has a dreadful bias and it can be easy after reading through it to miss what is actually happening in the near term with all the doom and gloom down South.There'll be flakes falling for many in Scotland over the next week, a few places will likely get an absolute pasting especially with elevation and abundance of strong gusts about. It's an exciting bout of weather we are about to endure, let's take it a couple of days at a time and enjoy whatever it throws at us. Having said that, stay safe everyone, the winds tonight do look meaty and with strong winds, rain, snow and ice probably all in the offing for some, if not most over the next week, then sensible heads on.  Enjoy the ride folks. Scotland is the place to be!!

[scott_anthony_glasgow]

Interesting weather ahead thats for sure. Nice picture i just took there

[NUT]

Interesting weather ahead thats for sure. Nice picture i just took there

Ah yes that what came through us. Looked a beauty of a cloud

[November13]

The sleet and snow never materialised today! That was disappointing again. Even the Rannoch Moor is clear. So we have at least some interest of a sort with the wind tonight. Then Saturday looks like some snow potential. However given recent marginal failures. I am not expecting anything on Saturday snow wise. If it does snow it's a bonus and I will be delighted.

[101_North]

The sleet and snow never materialised today! That was disappointing again. Even the Rannoch Moor is clear. So we have at least some interest of a sort with the wind tonight. Then Saturday looks like some snow potential. However given recent marginal failures. I am not expecting anything on Saturday snow wise. If it does snow it's a bonus and I will be delighted.

 

Even if Saturday let's us down again I'm working away next week so it's bound to snow heavily at some point :-)

[Polar Gael]

We've had a few beefy sleety showers this morning, interspersed with some good sunny spells. Feeling raw at 3.3C/2C and the hills to the north of the village have a dusting of the white stuff again. Still pretty calm...for now.

[NorthernRab]

Slightly blustery day here and feeling chilly - 2.9'C here with occasional showers of rain / sleet. Looking forward to the storm tonight, save the fact that it will possibly be a dangerous one for some. 

[Poots]

Just had a brief but quite intense shower with some huge flakes. Now the sun is out. It's fairly breezy already and feeling quite bitter in the face of the wind, weather station is reading 4c but feels much colder. Stay safe through this, everyone. 

[November13]

Inbound on satelite!

 

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/satellite/UK/Europe/Infraredcolor/premium.htm

 

 

 

 

[lorenzo]

Latest look from MODIS quick look satellite.

 

 

 

 

 

• The image is credited to us "NERC Satellite Receiving Station, Dundee University, Scotland" with a link to our home page http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/

 

Also this subset may be worth a look later.

 

http://lance-modis.eosdis.nasa.gov/imagery/subsets/?area=eu

[lorenzo]

Ha hahahahaha

 

Just remembered this