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Storm & Convective Discussion - SPANISH PLUME - 30/06/15 onwards

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Evening thunder Experienced

Evening thunder

Posted
  • Location: East Devon
  • Location: East Devon
Posted

Looking at Sat24 there's definitely an interesting area of instability including an active storm moving towards S/SE England which I didn't expect to see this evening.. Perhaps a trough feature/disturbance that wasn't really picked up by the models?

 

One to keep an eye on and shows unexpected developments can happen, I remember last year much of the SE had a great line of storms one night when it was only really the SW that was forecast to get anything.

 

However the CAPE shown on the GFS is highest over the SW and moving NNW, different to this clump of instability.. not sure how it will fare when/if it reaches the SE?

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Spikecollie Accomplished

Spikecollie

Posted
  • Location: Haute Vienne, Limousin, France (404m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Warm and sunny with night time t-storms
  • Location: Haute Vienne, Limousin, France (404m ASL)
Posted

[

Sorry I didn't post the direction, it's East, so I imagine it's the Pennines

Oh and apologies it's sideways!

I've spent the evening outside watching the Altoculmulus lenticularis come and go over the hills here in the Aire Valley. Stunning!

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stevofunnelcl Aficionado

stevofunnelcl

Posted
  • Location: Torrington, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: storms - of the severe kind
  • Location: Torrington, Devon
Posted

watching storms in channel backbuilding to the south. more breaking out to the east

 

should they continue to move north-east, i'm guessing they make landfall somewhere central-south coast

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Andy Bown Accomplished

Andy Bown

Posted
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire
Posted

Looking at Sat24 there's definitely an interesting area of instability including an active storm moving towards S/SE England which I didn't expect to see this evening.. Perhaps a trough feature/disturbance that wasn't really picked up by the models?

Troughs were picked up by the Met Office on their fax charts I saw yesterday and this morning for midnight tonight, 06.00 tomorrow and midday tomorrow, transferring from the Channel towards the Midlands over that timescale.

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Evening thunder Experienced

Evening thunder

Posted
  • Location: East Devon
  • Location: East Devon
Posted

Troughs were picked up by the Met Office on their fax charts I saw yesterday and this morning for midnight tonight, 06.00 tomorrow and midday tomorrow, transferring from the Channel towards the Midlands over that timescale.

 

Interesting, I was just going off how no forecast or models I have seen showed any activity at this time or put the SE in the firing line tonight (not that it necessarily will be but the cloud on satellite images is shifting that way)

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

Just home after chaos on the trains. As I was approaching home, I could make out what appears to be (though can't be 100% certain) AcCas moving in from the S/SE (still fairly distant). D:Ream's "things can only get better" came on the radio....make of that what you will!

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Convective Community Regular

Convective

Posted
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers, cold winters.. How it should be!
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
Posted

These photos are brilliant. Keep up the good work folks!

  • Like 6
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Panayiotis Seasoned

Panayiotis

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
Posted

Can someone explain why these clouds are moving NE instead of with the flow of air (NW)?

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legritter Accomplished

legritter

Posted
  • Location: winscombe north somerset
  • Weather Preferences: action weather
  • Location: winscombe north somerset
Posted

Evening all ,we have just had a few spots of rain here on west mendip ,looking at the radar and sattelite the dorset coast could very well see some action soon .

certainly the next few days looking good ,dont go too much by forecast ,theres plenty of potential around over the coming days and i,m sure things could be very surprising ,i,v seen forecasts change under these conditions many times ,great reporting on our forum ,keep it coming please ,cheers all .

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Dean E Community Regular

Dean E

Posted
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire
Posted

Can someone explain why these clouds are moving NE instead of with the flow of air (NW)?

 

Winds at 500hpa (at around 18,000 ft ) are NE'ly 

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tomp456 Seasoned

tomp456

Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
Posted

Something's building mid channel South of Brighton  :)

Yep.

 

First pic looking to the south towards channel, second to the west. 

 

Come out of nowhere in the last hour.

 

post-14846-0-32513000-1435690887_thumb.j

 

post-14846-0-09626100-1435690923_thumb.j

 

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Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted

Area of convection appearing to be heading towards London? Hopefully it explodes once it makes landfall.

post-19153-0-81849300-1435690911_thumb.j

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tomp456 Seasoned

tomp456

Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
Posted (edited)

watching storms in channel backbuilding to the south. more breaking out to the east

 

should they continue to move north-east, i'm guessing they make landfall somewhere central-south coast

If this is true then I'm gonna be like a kid on xmas morning. ;)

 

Edit: Actually looking at the radar I might just be out of range but you never know. 

Edited by tomp456
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Panayiotis Seasoned

Panayiotis

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
Posted

Thanks @Snowmania on phone so cant check but do they veer later on?

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Lauren Veteran

Lauren

Posted
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, snowy winters and thunderstorms!
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
Posted

Give it to me baby!

 

Uh-huh, uh-huh. And all the girlies say I'm pretty fly for a white guy!

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