Winter 2015/16

[iceman1991]

Looks like roger j smith going for very cold and blocked pattern end jan through to feb for snow central and southern england maybe indicating a easterly but mild first half to winter in the seasonal thread if you guys wanna have read very interesting indeed hes been preety spot on for his predictions.

[mountain shadow]

Looks like roger j smith going for very cold and blocked pattern end jan through to feb for snow central and southern england maybe indicating a easterly but mild first half to winter in the seasonal thread if you guys wanna have read very interesting indeed hes been preety spot on for his predictions.

Link?

[Summer Sun]

Link?

 

https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/72635-the-seasonal-forecast-thread/?p=3271268

[beng]

http://www.weatherbell.com/

 

Have a listen to today's video blog on the right hand side of the page - a good explanation of why winter conditions under one el nino may be quite different to conditions under another.  Some major differences in SSTs between 1997/98 and now - which should mean a quite different winter time synoptic pattern across the US and Atlantic.

Edited October 19, 2015 by beng

[johnholmes]

Link?

 

saying please might help you be given that link mate!

[jvenge]

saying please might help you be given that link mate!

Well, he got it without ;-)

 

I'll say please though ;-) A lot gets discussed about the UK and US, but in Eastern Europe not so much. Any thoughts for my little country? :-D

[knocker]

Oh dear

 

Another 4-W Winter expected for Europe: westerly/warm/wet/windy. Learn more: http://ow.ly/TzXU3 

[swfc]

Oh dear

 

Another 4-W Winter expected for Europe: westerly/warm/wet/windy. Learn more: http://ow.ly/TzXU3 

Looks pretty good for the uk!!!!  

[Methuselah]

Oh dear

 

Another 4-W Winter expected for Europe: westerly/warm/wet/windy. Learn more: http://ow.ly/TzXU3 

Good for the daffs?

[simshady]

Oh dear

 

Another 4-W Winter expected for Europe: westerly/warm/wet/windy. Learn more: http://ow.ly/TzXU3 

 

Nice that they've stated the chances to be colder than normal in the UK for December and January

[Hocus Pocus]

Oh dear

Another 4-W Winter expected for Europe: westerly/warm/wet/windy. Learn more: http://ow.ly/TzXU3

Looks good for the UK with a cold NW/N/NE airflow I would say for Dec/Jan, however if my fading memory serves me right is this the same site that chops and changes its LRF like a incontient pensioner changes his pads? Edited October 19, 2015 by Hocus Pocus

[Captain Shortwave]

Looks good for the UK with a cold NW/N/NE airflow I would say for Dec/Jan, however if my fading memory serves me right is this the same site that chops and changes its LRF like a incontient pensioner changes his pads?

Unfortunately given the rest of Europe is near or above normal then I suspect the dominant wind direction will be westerly with cool Atlantic SSTs giving cooler conditions in locations exposed the westerlies, in this case the UK and western France.

Personally at the moment I don't see the pattern being so westerly dominated, but at this time I don't see a coldies winter wonderland either.

[Hocus Pocus]

Unfortunately given the rest of Europe is near or above normal then I suspect the dominant wind direction will be westerly with cool Atlantic SSTs giving cooler conditions in locations exposed the westerlies, in this case the UK and western France.

Personally at the moment I don't see the pattern being so westerly dominated, but at this time I don't see a coldies winter wonderland either.

I think it would suggest an unusual sort of mid Atlantic ridge which at times would migrate Northwards enough to pull in winds from the above direction. Edited October 19, 2015 by Hocus Pocus

[Yarmy]

Couple of months ago, the same chap thought the atmosphere was primed for northern blocking:

 

http://www.wsi.com/blog/traders-things-that-make-you-go-hmmmm-regarding-the-upcoming-winter

 

[MPG]

Couple of months ago, the same chap thought the atmosphere was primed for northern blocking:

 

http://www.wsi.com/blog/traders-things-that-make-you-go-hmmmm-regarding-the-upcoming-winter

 

hahaha brilliant!

[solarcycle]

Couple of months ago, the same chap thought the atmosphere was primed for northern blocking:

 

http://www.wsi.com/blog/traders-things-that-make-you-go-hmmmm-regarding-the-upcoming-winter

 

 

He is almost as bad as the express.

[Hocus Pocus]

He is almost as bad as the express.

Steady on solarcycle.

[Boro Snow]

Just watching BBC weather with Matt Taylor and he has just said into the weekend there are signs of something MUCH COLDER

[solarcycle]

Just watching BBC weather with Matt Taylor and he has just said into the weekend there are signs of something MUCH COLDER

 

[Cloud 10]

Nice end of October beasterly from the GEFS (P).

 

[Dancerwithwings]

Just watching BBC weather with Matt Taylor and he has just said into the weekend there are signs of something MUCH COLDER

For the rest of Autumn and throughout WINTER  ......  

[mountain shadow]

saying please might help you be given that link mate!

Or it might not.

 

I was kindly given the link around one minute after requesting it.

 

Thank you kindly for the good manners reminder.

[knocker]

Couple of months ago, the same chap thought the atmosphere was primed for northern blocking:

 

http://www.wsi.com/blog/traders-things-that-make-you-go-hmmmm-regarding-the-upcoming-winter

 

 

Always good to keep an open mind and update tho'.

Good for the daffs?

 

Indeed ; second crop.

[Yarmy]

 

 

Always good to keep an open mind and update tho'.

 

Absolutely, and in fact his forecast is still colder than my own somewhat pessimistic outlook. Moreover, his prediction is in agreement with the most recent JAMSTEC and GloSea output.

 

Of course, I'm hoping for a daff-destroying blockbuster.

[DAVID SNOW]

THATS COZ ITS NOVEMBER LOL

 

Did you have a nice Halloween?