Scotland Weather Discussion - 20th November 2015 and Onwards...

[peborant]

Painfully slow moving ppn band still hanging on...Will it make it?! 

-1.6 sensor 

0.9 rooftop 

Surprisingly enough skies have cleared despite the fact that it's raining/snowing not far at all from here. Well I guess they will cover up if they have to. 

[NUT]

Started as rain..............Briefly turned to sleet and now back to rain and now trying to turn sleety again

Edited January 8, 2016 by NUT

[snowidea]

On 6/1/2016 at 2:56 PM, Stormeh said:

 

 

 

[Michael Kaii]

i dont know whats happend here.... i though this snow was ment to happen this morning not now?

[snowidea]

Sorry about above post, was replying to something much earlier in thread, decided not to and now can't remove video for some reason.

 

Anyway snowing wetly in falkirk.

[snawbaw]

We're doomed says the MT, I don't believe they do this to themselves every winter. I hope some of them don't miss the chemist tonight for their prescriptions or there won't be enough toys left on the planet to satiate their bottom lip drops.  

[NorthernRab]

^ Seems my Day After Tomorrow forecast for drama and despair today have come to fruition - I accept payments through Paypal. 

I'm keeping an open mind as to our possibilities as we head through January, certainly the reliable time frame up to about Tuesday has us on the cusp of benefiting from some nice cold air from the north which would lead to some decent enough snowfalls.  

After that, who knows? But it's a bit absurd to get upset that we won't necessarily be getting something a computer has said we might be. 

[heccygabber]

Big flakes here in east Kilbride

[Ross B]

About 1.5 to 2 inches of snow here.  Much better than expected!  

Edited January 8, 2016 by Ross B

[Scottish-Irish Skier]

This is the morn's ECM ensembles and 00Z ops for it and the GFS.

Then we have the GFS ensembles with the 06Z op.

I know the ops are higher res, but....

Well away from means with a hell of a lot of scatter in members past 5 days from now.

Outlook seems decent to me for cold in immeadiate term. I don't really want -15 and my screenwash tubes freezing etc. -5's cold enough for me.

Just less rain, frosty, sunny mornings and  some decent falls of snaw like today would be fine.

Jeez, I just got 7-8 cm from what looks like -3 uppers and 1 C air temp. Hanging around too.

All tae play for.

 

Edited January 8, 2016 by scottish skier

[Richard Taylor]

Spare me.... they're talking about a Beasterly appearing in FI on latest ECM run.

Hang onto your hats, here we go again...............  

  

[Scottish-Irish Skier]

5 minutes ago, Richard Taylor said:

Spare me.... they're talking about a Beasterly appearing in FI on latest ECM run.

Hang onto your hats, here we go again...............  

The problem is that up here well beyond the 'far, far north of the UK', we can get snow in many places from all sorts of set-ups. Hardly baltic the day with uppers marginal at best and the borders got a decent dump. Hundreds of miles south you do need a special set-up to give even half of what I got this afteroon. A beasterly is about the only sure thing.

Edited January 8, 2016 by scottish skier

[Methuselah]

The Beast From the East is coming; it might be the last week of Jan/first week of Feb, but it's coming. Ah tell ye - it's coming!

[moffatross]

Forgetting the fantasy island easterly, the ECM looks pretty good for us the next 9 days. The best way of interpreting it (without access to the paid suite) is to look at the yr.no output which kindly models the ECM for any location in much the same way as xcweather.co.uk does for the GFS. The ECM updates on yr.no around 7.45 pm and I'm quite looking forward to what it models for Moffat this evening :-)

E.g. for Moffat

GFS = http://www.xcweather.co.uk/forecast/moffat (currently GFS 12Z)

ECM = http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/Scotland/Moffat/long.html (currently ECM 0Z)

Edited January 8, 2016 by moffatross

[Richard Taylor]

Absolutely... I oft wonder whether their posts about Beasterlys, failed cold spells etc etc are based on their analysis of the whole of the UK, or just their particular part of our sceptred isle!      

Naive of me I know!!!

 

[Methuselah]

I was in Inverness when the mother-of-all-Beasterlies occurred, in 1991...A half-dozen snowflakes blowing in the wind. Bob Dylan couldn't have done it better!

[NorthernRab]

^ Scotland seems to have become independent as an entity in weather discussion on here some time around 2008...and there wasn't even a referendum!

edit: oh and it's -5'C here.

Edited January 8, 2016 by NorthernRab

[GoldenJackel]

Well the snow managed to hang on pretty well today and now it's frozen solid. The roads have all frozen over as there hasn't been any gritting done so it was a pretty hairy drive home from work. The freezing fog has descended now but managed to get some good photos before it got dark. 

[moffatross]

Experimenting with the flash on the camera just as the snow started falling in Moffat today. Lens stopped down so that everything near and far was in focus, blowing my breath into the scene to get a cloud, the 50 pence sized snowflakes that SW referred to down in Dumfries, frozen in time, and my wee 60+ mpg diesel Fiesta, just beginning to get a winter coat again :-)

[booferking]

Well done to all who got snow and some nice pics to.

[Stormeh]

Just had my 21 month old daughter out sledging for the first time, it was really great to see her wee face full of smiles as we went down the hill.

This was totally unexpected here, I thought it would rain. I wonder what next week has in store? 

[Sunshineandshowers84]

Been snowing again for last 40 minutes also below freezing now.. Should be a nice picture in the morning with a frost forecast that and snow on trees will be a nice change..

[Hairy Celt]

10 minutes ago, moffatross said:

Experimenting with the flash on the camera just as the snow started falling in Moffat today. Lens stopped down so that everything near and far was in focus, blowing my breath into the scene to get a cloud, the 50 pence sized snowflakes that SW referred to down in Dumfries, frozen in time, and my wee 60+ mpg diesel Fiesta, just beginning to get a winter coat again :-)

That's one mad picture, love it!

Not quite an ice day on the beach here but only just missed it.  Sounds like everywhere else within 50 miles has been <0 all day.  Down to -3.5C now.  A clear blue sky and some iciness this morning, the first time this winter I've had the pleasure of driving on ice and then walking through the hoar frost on vegetation that goes sort of ksshhh ksshhh as you go.

I spotted my winter tyres are down to about 4mm left - the Q is, whether to go with manufacturer's recommended change at 4mm or leave them a bit longer.... Can't say I've noticed any deterioration yet - and yes, I have provoked them! That's the answer I guess - keep prodding till they start to give? However, I wouldn't fancy my chances on thick snow with these... So it comes down to, will it, won't it?

This was a misty Glenmoriston this morning with west Affric hills behind.  Snow line about 650m at a guess.

Edited January 8, 2016 by Hairy Celt

[Stormeh]

Took this just before the snow stopped

[peborant]

49 minutes ago, NorthernRab said:

^ Scotland seems to have become independent as an entity in weather discussion on here some time around 2008...and there wasn't even a referendum!

edit: oh and it's -5'C here.

To be fair, who could care about their rants? There is a clear reason why the Romans built that wall and that is essentially the inhospitable land and weather which make this country so utterly beautiful and striking and clean and heart-awing. I am just sorry I have spent three out of five years in the UK living south of the Borders pretty much Liverpool-Manchester-Leeds-Newcastle is an endless overpopulated strip of Industrial Europe and I suppose their more benign climes and plains allowed for more "improvement and development"! Long may live the bare hills o'Scotland though.

On a more political note, they blank us as well and from atop too. When the weather presenter is going through a UK-wide map, they -almost- always talk about England and Wales first, at best mentioning Scotland every other time. While 'poor' Londoners were enjoying their balmy 16º last month, I have serious doubt that the general populace was aware that we under cold rain, wind and the occasional snowfall especially on the hills at the back of the village. So it goes both ways, as it tends to do on these cases, me being a Catalan I feel strongly for Scotland as I myself have seen the myriad of things that difference these two countries, which at least you are 'permitted' to call them. In Spain calling Catalonia a country is a -bad- separatist wording of affairs. They only allow us to call it a 'historic nationality' (not 'nation'. There was great upset about that one, too.) The Union is, at the end of the day, a Union and that has always been acknowledged, England and Scotland being two separate entities. Castilians, however, lost their national identity in favour of a more powerful Spain, formed and shaped through centuries of conquests and oppression of other nations, be it in Iberia or overseas. 

Sorry about massive off-topic, weather-wise happy for all of you and as much as I am jealous for some of the pics, I congratulate you and relish in the start of a colder period for this part of the world over the next few days, let's enjoy the ride! 

Top'o the school reading 0.5C so I assume it's around -2C in sensor, I will give update when back from the gym. Nae snow, it's all fizzled out N of the Forth butcertainly they never predicted all the snaw for the central belt so late into the day; some things cannot be predicted by the models, today has effectively been a last-minute upgrade and that's always good. Now let's look forward to some clear skies and nice minima temps for everyone