Model output discussion - 1st December onwards

[Jason M]

Maybe people won't be so quick to ignore the mighty GEM after its upgrade. 

[Eskimo]

[Mucka]

1 minute ago, Jason M said:

Maybe people won't be so quick to ignore the mighty GEM after its upgrade. 

 

I'll be ignoring it this afternoon, 

 

[karlos1983]

1 minute ago, Jason M said:

Maybe people won't be so quick to ignore the mighty GEM after its upgrade. 

You won't get any argument from me  when I first posted that chart it was laughed at lol, still not convinced it will pan out like this..... But

[Ali1977]

if ECM shows this also I may start believing a change is on the cards

[Chris K]

1 minute ago, Jason M said:

Maybe people won't be so quick to ignore the mighty GEM after its upgrade. 

Still several days away...but it's good to see the GFS 12z continue the trend and hopefully it will continue.

A relatively important ECM 12z coming up tonight perhaps? If it doesn't agree we are not much closer to knowing how this may eventually pan out.

[knocker]

Very nearly a record for an Atlantic depression

[Liam J]

GFS and UKMO at day 5, some subtle differences...!! Is the UKMO higher or lower than the GFS for verification, seem to remember somebody saying the UKMO wasn't far behind the ECM lately? For the sake of the flood victims I hope the GFS is onto something! 

[Mucka]

Eye candy, what's it good for?

 

A merry Xmas! 

[Chris K]

1 minute ago, knocker said:

Very nearly a record for an Atlantic depression

Ouch! On this run, Iceland takes a hammering from it!

[Methuselah]

1 minute ago, knocker said:

Very nearly a record for an Atlantic depression

Let's just hope it doesn't beat 1993's (?) 916 mb. That was a monster!

[Summer Sun]

GFS is again delivering a Christmas present to all our coldies

 

[Jason M]

GEFS will be interesting. Let's see if support has increased from the 06z set. GEM opp had dropped it for now but it's ensemble suite this morning was sniffing around the idea.

It's a high risk scenario as always, but if the Atlantic low is being overdone, maybe room for some upgrades.

 

[Nick F]

GFS still on the sherry or sober and on to something? 12z GFS brings the beasterly forward by a few days compared to the 06z, the 06z ensembles did show a few members bringing it forward on that run too.

[Daniel*]

Battleground UK.

Stunning synoptics the good old GEM may have been onto something! This is not far from getting into a reliable timeframe, what exciting stuff. 

Edited December 24, 2015 by Daniel*

[snowrye]

an early christmas present,lets hope they verify

[knocker]

6 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

GFS is again delivering a Christmas present to all our coldies

 

So it is!

 

[Polar Maritime]

A very nice GFS this evening following on from the 6z. Winter certainly looks to be on the way in one form or another.. I expect many changes as the models settle at this time-frame.

Edited December 24, 2015 by Polar Maritime

[Chris K]

Another nasty little feature for next weekend after a brief "battleground"...

 

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

Just now, knocker said:

So it is!

 

One-liner I know, sorry mods, but I just have to laugh!

Merry Christmas!

[booferking]

2 minutes ago, knocker said:

So it is!

 

You won,t be showing anymore charts like that next week hopefully Merry Christmas. 

[Eskimo]

5 minutes ago, knocker said:

So it is!

 

You can't genuinely hate cold weather around Christmas 

[cyclonic happiness]

i know it's gonna happen but.............

'There must be missing data'     

[mpkio2]

Well it seems the GFS 06z and 12z are really getting into the Christmas spirit!

Hope its a trend that continues on in the coming days! What a lovely Christmas present!

Of course, it could be completely wrong, but some nic eye cand, nontheless.

Merry Christmas everyone!

[radiohead]

4 minutes ago, cyclonic happiness said:

i know it's gonna happen but.............

'There must be missing data'     

UKMO T144 appears to be missing anyway!