South East and East Anglia weather discussion/Chat - A new year

[ReindeerMarmalade]

Garden's rapidly turning into a swimming pool again. What I'd give for all this to be snow! Seriously...I'd sell a kidney...  

[Daniel*]

16 minutes ago, Surrey said:

hahaha!!! Thunder!!!! Strike about 2 miles away!  Good old surrey!

 

http://www.lightningmaps.org/realtime

Those pinky colours are inbound London, a rumble or two would be nice.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Just got this email 

Location:Chertsey Bourne including Virginia Water, Thorpe Green and Chertsey and the Moat at Thorpe
View map of Flood Alert area
Region:SoutheastLatest Information:
The River and Flooding forecast is as follows: Levels on the Chertsey Bourne are slightly higher than normal for this time of year in the Chertsey area. Flooding of low lying land and roads is possible. Levels are stabilise but with rain showers this evening and overnight, the river levels are forecast to rise again over the next 24 hours. Property flooding is not currently expected. The weather prospects are for showers overnight which may be heavy and merging to give longer periods of rain. The night will become drier after midnight. Sunday will bring the odd shower but will be mainly dry.

17:55 on 09 Jan 2016

 

So many have complained about the handling of this river local to me, there is a guy who has land that runs along side it and it always gets flooded 

[Captain Shortwave]

Just having a heavy downpour here now.

[tinybill]

 the   band  now  coming in  looking  bit intense

Edited January 9, 2016 by tinybill
made a mistake

[Jo S]

Torrential rain here and blowing a gale 

[Mesoscale]

had an intense burst of rain here about an hour ago, with hail. I was looking out for lightning but nothing, not even a distant flicker. 

[Captain Shortwave]

Just for fun. The pub run would produce interest for some

That little feature produces snow to low levels.

A couple of inches over the hills (Chilterns), but produces a  centimetre in the London area.

It will be gone next run though, especially as it is the GFS.

[Karmamel]

Sounds like a storm is brewing outside rain is battering down and strong winds in Whitstable 

[Snow Queen one]

Windy with 45 deg rain here.  Torrential not nice at all

[clark3r]

Just had hail and thunder,hail covered the whole garden! 

[chionomaniac]

Lightning on and off tonight. Latest flash around 1min ago.

[Kent Blizzard]

Some intense heavy downpours through the night, some was hail. It was making a right old noise against the windows.

 

[Jo S]

7 hours ago, Greenland1080 said:

You need snow

i definitely do, have got withdrawal symptoms  

[Captain Shortwave]

A fine start up here, how long will it last is the question.

Edited January 10, 2016 by Captain Shortwave

[tinybill]

morning  all   Thursday Friday,Saturday  looking interesting  for  us   looks  very  cold with possible snow. off to a golf club   shop  later to get 2 those hats they put over their clubs,!!!  to put over the wife's   car wing mirrors to help them them  getting  frozen  in

Edited January 10, 2016 by tinybill

[Callie]

Very brief but rather close storm about 2.30am. Then heavy rain and gusty winds two hours later.

[Kent Blizzard]

Cracking charts this morning, puts us in the game also and we are now entering almost the reliable timeframe.

Interesting week ahead, lots to look at & learn.

Edited January 10, 2016 by Kent Blizzard

[Lampostwatcher]

Models starting to firm up on the cold week starting weds for our neck of the woods till the weekend at least lamppost watching from weds onwards 

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Flip flop from the models again perhaps a brief period of snow for some then a welcome dry out with frost from then on is anyone's guess

Today and showers look to be the talk of today then overnight some more persistent and heavy rain south of London 

Have a good Sunday all!

[Kent Blizzard]

I do not want to sound like I'm ramping but I really do think we could be in the swee spot by the end of the week, I can see accumulations for some in London & South East because these events never go as per charts.

 

 

 

 

 

[tinybill]

all i  say lets  hope  the weather gods  like us!!!

[Froze were the Days]

I wouldn't get too excited about our prospects towards the end of next week regarding snow - marginal conditions at best I would have thought. At least it looks a certainty for some air frosts which we haven't seen at all this winter and a few cold days once we're under the influence of high pressure (for a while).

[chionomaniac]

Nice to get something wintry out of the sky. Even if it is just convective hail. 

[Daniel*]

1 hour ago, Froze were the Days said:

I wouldn't get too excited about our prospects towards the end of next week regarding snow - marginal conditions at best I would have thought. At least it looks a certainty for some air frosts which we haven't seen at all this winter and a few cold days once we're under the influence of high pressure (for a while).

Agreed KB. 

Not as marginal as you think tbh the precipitation coincides luckily for us with lowering dew points and colder upper air temperatures being dragged in, furthermore the timing is also very beneficial when it is colder, based on this most would wake up on Friday morning with a smattering of white stuff. I would have thought the intensity and duration could give a lucky few a few inches most likely north of London. Enough to safisfy us snow starved mortals, 1cm would do me lol!

Precipitation:

850s:

no real concern 

Dew points

may start in the positive territory when precip arrives equating to wet stuff but it will increasingly turn to snow for just about all, as sub zero dew points filter in. 

2m temperature:

Overall it is best chance of some accumulating 'widespread' snow since 2013 says it all. I'm not really expecting much but I'd like to be proven wrong. Fingers, toes, arms, legs crossed.