Current Cold Spell: snow where, snow when - how much?

[Paul_1978]

7 minutes ago, Turnedoutniceagain said:

As usual the cold 'snap' is slipping back. Last Friday we were expecting the 1st flurries in Mids/SE tomorrow. Now it'll be next Monday if we're lucky

Nope. Snow flurries still expected Thursday. 

[Unused sledge]

Maybe but not soon 

[The PIT]

Sadly looking more like a big zero here.

[Snowyowl9]

Cold is going to last 3/4 days at least from Thursday,cold enough for snow to fall to low ground that is and settle in favoured spots.

Getting colder tonight before then for hills with sleet/snow showers.

Edited January 12, 2016 by Snowyowl9

[ScottSnow]

Interesting UKMO at 144hrs. Await ECMWF with interest. 

Does look like the cold/cool spell will last into next week.

[Daniel*]

Better tilt to the ridge at T+96. 

 

UKMO & ECM are not far off from each over -

Edit: ECM/UKMO T+120

Houston, we have lift off? 

Wrong thread, never mind!

Edited January 12, 2016 by Earnest Easterly*

[Summer Sun]

Here's how the beeb see things by mid next week maybe some snow on the leading edge as it bumps into the colder air?

 

 

[Liam J]

Yellow and amber snow warnings now in force across the north - http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=map&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50

[Bristawl Si]

I'm expecting to see more of the white stuff on my work colleague's jacket than snow on the ground here.

This cool spell is shaping up to be a bit of a limp-wristed affair.

[Carl46Wrexham]

Can only speak for my neck of the woods, but this cool spell (calling it cold is a bit silly and akin to attempting to polish a turd) has delivered more RAIN than the mild weather of December did.

Not impressed at all. Days gone by Cheshire Gap streamers would often leave several inches of snow in their wake. Last night? Hours of flooding rain! 

F for Fail.

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

The models are suggesting ice days (i.e. when daytime maxima do not exceeed 0C) for a substantial part of the country.  That's a cold spell by any sensible definition given that we're not located in the middle of a continental landmass.  I'd aso not be too hasty about dismissing any chance of snow, given that there could be a battleground set-up some time around this time next week.

[Alexis]

7 minutes ago, Carl46Wrexham said:

Can only speak for my neck of the woods, but this cool spell (calling it cold is a bit silly and akin to attempting to polish a turd) has delivered more RAIN than the mild weather of December did.

Not impressed at all. Days gone by Cheshire Gap streamers would often leave several inches of snow in their wake. Last night? Hours of flooding rain! 

F for Fail.

You still might http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege.php

[Geordiesnow]

13 minutes ago, Carl46Wrexham said:

Can only speak for my neck of the woods, but this cool spell (calling it cold is a bit silly and akin to attempting to polish a turd) has delivered more RAIN than the mild weather of December did.

Not impressed at all. Days gone by Cheshire Gap streamers would often leave several inches of snow in their wake. Last night? Hours of flooding rain! 

F for Fail.

Unfortunately the slow moving trough which was over us for the last couple of days has delayed the cold than some models first suggested way back but the cold air is coming in now if albeit there is one more mild sector to go through tonight then after that we will be in the proper cold and this weekend should be quite cold and frosty, especially at night.

What happens next week is still very much uncertain at this stage unfortunately although trends are the continuation of cold does look likely. 

[Methuselah]

20 minutes ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

The models are suggesting ice days (i.e. when daytime maxima do not exceeed 0C) for a substantial part of the country.  That's a cold spell by any sensible definition given that we're not located in the middle of a continental landmass.  I'd aso not be too hasty about dismissing any chance of snow, given that there could be a battleground set-up some time around this time next week.

That's true...But to what degree (pardon the pun) will the ice-day potential be down to anticyclonic temperature inversions? I can recall a day, in 1979, that started-out at -18C; the minute the wind broke the inversion it was warm enough for sleety rain...

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

16 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

That's true...But to what degree (pardon the pun) will the ice-day potential be down to anticyclonic temperature inversions? I can recall a day, in 1979, that started-out at -18C; the minute the wind broke the inversion it was warm enough for sleety rain...

True enough, I suppose - I bow to your superior knowledge.

[The Wolf]

 

I see, for my area, in South Staffs, just outside Wolverhampton, there seems to be no chance of snow tonight. Is there any chance there could be a surprise and I may see snow or is there no chance? I have also heard I could be in a sweet spot for a Cheshire gap streamer on Thursday night and Friday. Is this correct and would this likely be all snow rather than sleet?

[Methuselah]

3 minutes ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

True enough, I suppose - I bow to your superior knowledge.

lol I'm only asking the question; I can be as wrong as anyone, too!

[Gord]

5 minutes ago, The Wolf said:

 

I see, for my area, in South Staffs, just outside Wolverhampton, there seems to be no chance of snow tonight. Is there any chance there could be a surprise and I may see snow or is there no chance? I have also heard I could be in a sweet spot for a Cheshire gap streamer on Thursday night and Friday. Is this correct and would this likely be all snow rather than sleet?

Well it turned to snow at the highest points around here last night..and the coldest air hasn't arrived yet, so who knows?

That Cheshire Gap is always a little unpredictable around here so my advice is to watch the radar and get into the regional thread and see what's happening to our friends northwest of us in Telford and Shrewsbury!

[I remember Atlantic 252]

46 minutes ago, The Wolf said:

 

I see, for my area, in South Staffs, just outside Wolverhampton, there seems to be no chance of snow tonight. Is there any chance there could be a surprise and I may see snow or is there no chance? I have also heard I could be in a sweet spot for a Cheshire gap streamer on Thursday night and Friday. Is this correct and would this likely be all snow rather than sleet?

This flow looks perfect! our locations need dark blue thicknesses off this setup, or it's just rain, wind direction looks decent angle, and 6am, probably snowiest time of day possible, now not expecting a snowfest (low levels) but certainly a smattering

 

now tonight (our locations) absolutely no chance, can see the cold air is just into Scotland, Rain tonight

 

 

 

Edited January 13, 2016 by I remember Atlantic 252

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Thought I would post this here as it's for everyone and busy (mods please move if required)

 

The most helpful tool to date I know when wanting to know conditions for snow

http://uksnowmap.com/

[The Wolf]

Cheers for that guys

 

[Mokidugway]

In saying that impressive DPs for cornwall

???

[Mokidugway]

DPs incornwall look impressive 

[Methuselah]

All that activity in knocker's woodshed?

[That ECM]

Think I might stay up!!!!!