South West & Central Southern England - Weather Chat, 6th December and Onwards...

[Blue max 90]

Clouded over here that patch of ppn very close! 

[lfcdude]

5 minutes ago, Nights King said:

hmm that ppn seems to be tracking more south now as it fizzles a little?

 

Looks good for you... Will miss us in Wiltshire more west then expected?

[karlos1983]

what news @Jayfromcardiff   

[Nights King]

4 minutes ago, Ashme said:

just as mo suggest??

 

To be fair forecast said not to follow graphics.. 

[Nights King]

3 minutes ago, lfcdude said:

Looks good for you... Will miss us in Wiltshire more west then expected?

not convinced.. I fear that we shall both be stuck in the void between the streams.. 

[legritter]

Evening all ,i promised myself i wouldnt look at radar tonight but couldn,t resist it .

showers over wales seem to be breaking up a bit now ,the earlier forecast was for more organised sleet and snow much later in the night so heres hoping ,known snow from these set ups many times over the years but it is frustrating when wales seems to Zap them ,i may have a Half before bed then up early tomorrow for Dentist ,take care all .

[Jayfromcardiff]

7 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

what news @Jayfromcardiff   

Nothing here just cloudy, probably warming up ready for the rain!

[dancing daisy]

Now now people lets have some positivity in here.  We're the SW forum, we don't do down in the snow dumps.

Everyone follow me in a snow dance to the tune of YMCA.

[MidnightSnow]

1 minute ago, dancing daisy said:

Now now people lets have some positivity in here.  We're the SW forum, we don't do down in the snow dumps.

Everyone follow me in a snow dance to the tune of YMCA.

I'll follow that. Here's some virtual snow falling for all us snow deprived south westerners:

 

 

 

 

[Mark Neal.]

How sad has it become, enjoying seeing virtual snow falling. The heady days of 2009-2010 seem lifetime ago lol 

[festivalking]

Devon snow inbound. The line of showers is advancing SE and is red, repeat red ( in areas that were blue earlier). Bread and milk are still available at local shop outlets, save yourselves!......looks like it will be a 45 minute event unless it somehow pivets. Dog's bedtime walk has been put back an hour.

[jethro]

Don't know how accurate the NW radar is but I've just had a quick look and judging by the animation, it needs to pivot a bit as it comes over the severn or it'll head off down over Salisbury. I'm with you NK, reckon there's a strong chance we'll end up in the dry band in the middle.

[Jayfromcardiff]

Bloody frustrating! ppn looks to be heading for here then it fizzles out lol by the looks of it we'll see nothing! hopefully we all see something in the early hours.

[Argyle1980]

A good mix of sleet and hail here in Truro. Most definitely feeling a little coder.

[karlos1983]

Just now, Argyle1980 said:

A good mix of sleet and hail here in Truro. Most definitely feeling a little coder.

is that code for colder 

[karlos1983]

7 minutes ago, jethro said:

Don't know how accurate the NW radar is but I've just had a quick look and judging by the animation, it needs to pivot a bit as it comes over the severn or it'll head off down over Salisbury. I'm with you NK, reckon there's a strong chance we'll end up in the dry band in the middle.

if it keeps that track, then its poole bound 

[jethro]

2 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

if it keeps that track, then its poole bound 

I'll be visiting the in-laws for breakfast then.

[festivalking]

Anybody see our Fergie's latest tweet looks like the colder weather is going to shunt east more quickly early next week. Suspect that mid atlantic hurricane has scuppered our cold block. Hoping tonight is not our only bite on the snow cherry

[dec10snow]

19 minutes ago, festivalking said:

Devon snow inbound. The line of showers is advancing SE and is red, repeat red ( in areas that were blue earlier). Bread and milk are still available at local shop outlets, save yourselves!......looks like it will be a 45 minute event unless it somehow pivets. Dog's bedtime walk has been put back an hour.

 

10 minutes ago, jethro said:

Don't know how accurate the NW radar is but I've just had a quick look and judging by the animation, it needs to pivot a bit as it comes over the severn or it'll head off down over Salisbury. I'm with you NK, reckon there's a strong chance we'll end up in the dry band in the middle.

Wunderground radar appears to disagree, giving the majority rain with a bit of a mix here and there... Which is more accurate? Who knows!!

[kumquat]

Cold rain in Winterbourne. Dew point up to 1C.

Need heavier ppn to get anything out of this.

[festivalking]

Just now, dec10snow said:

 

Wunderground radar appears to disagree, giving the majority rain with a bit of a mix here and there... Which is more accurate? Who knows!!

Hoping netweather otherwise i'll be asking for a refund!!!! 

[Mark Neal.]

0.4c currently, 3rd frost in a row incoming :-) 

[fergieweather]

2 minutes ago, festivalking said:

Anybody see our Fergie's latest tweet looks like the colder weather is going to shunt east more quickly early next week. Suspect that mid atlantic hurricane has scuppered our cold block. Hoping tonight is not our only bite on the snow cherry

looks like.... but still unconvincing. 12z UKMO-GM Parallel Suite very different to UKMO-GM Op.... and joins JMA and GEM in slower return to mobility. Equally, MOGREPS is split 50-50. Folk suggesting 'it's all over' are wayyyy too premature. To cite UKMO briefing from an hour ago: " It is highly likely that further marked, and impactful changes in model output will occur in the lead up to the weekend – this probably magnified by ex-Alex being absorbed into the mid-latitudes..."

[karlos1983]

just been trying to find the Red warning we threw into the Mod thread a couple of years ago, but it's disappeared

That was a funny funny night.

[karlos1983]

1 minute ago, fergieweather said:

looks like.... but still unconvincing. 12z UKMO-GM Parallel Suite very different to UKMO-GM Op.... and joins JMA and GEM in slower return to mobility. Equally, MOGREPS is split 50-50. Folk suggesting 'it's all over' are wayyyy too premature. To cite UKMO briefing from an hour ago: " It is highly likely that further marked, and impactful changes in model output will occur in the lead up to the weekend – this probably magnified by ex-Alex being absorbed into the mid-latitudes..."

Any further thoughts on the Precipitation for tonight Ian? i.e is the radr suprising you at all?

Thanks