South East and East Anglia weather discussion/Chat - 2nd February onwards

[Daniel*]

26 minutes ago, WillinGlossop said:

Not going to snow..... If it cant at 600m or higher up here..... Its not at sea level in se

The yellow snow warning northern Home Counties & much of East Anglia unfortunately for you the cold air undercuts in when there is no precipitation for you - in aspects you're incorrect. 

[snowray]

19 minutes ago, MrNooo said:

Nothing but cold rain here, not a glimmer of sleet or a single flake, back edge is approaching shortly, temp been steady all day at 5-5.8C. Good luck to you guys/gals seems the temp is lower with you so you may be lucky, fingers crossed.

This I find very surprising, no snow reports yet on the western boundary. Can't be good for us further east I would have thought but temps will be falling off over night, surely it won't be ALL just rain.

 

Wind picking up here, feeling colder, odd spot in the wind.

[warrenb]

Light drizzle here

[alexisj9]

I'm not sure it's goner make it over here, seems to have stalled where it is on the last few radar returns. Would make sence why my sats are dropping anyway. dp now -1.5

[snowray]

22 minutes ago, Surrey said:

You can see the cold air under cutting now out West, look at the showers over Ireland they are turning to sleet and snow and back edge of the front is now turning to sleet (at higher elevation) 

Didn't notice that chart, yes thats what we want to see.

[pegg24]

1 minute ago, snowray said:

This I find very surprising, no snow reports yet on the western boundary. Can't be good for us further east I would have thought but temps will be falling off over night, surely it won't be ALL just rain.

 

Wind picking up here, feeling colder, odd spot in the wind.

Nothing in northamptonshire heavy rain since 11am 

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Brutal 

[Southender]

Hmmm, having looked at everything I will be very surprised if many of us have settling snow at any point between now and tomorrow lunch-time. Those further NW in the region and/or up a hill have the best chance I think. I will take some falling flakes at this stage to be honest, but looks like cold rain with a brief spell of wet snow on the back edge to me!...Let's hope not.

Edited February 17, 2016 by Southender

[Emz by the Thames]

Looking at the streetlight...blobs of sleet in the rain now. 

[Lampostwatcher]

Its starting to sleet

[Swave Snow]

5 minutes ago, Lampostwatcher said:

Its starting to sleet

Not yet over here in Hendon 

[A.J]

A whole raft of off topic and childish bickering removed...............play nicely or don't play at all.......simples 

[Kent Blizzard]

4 minutes ago, Lampostwatcher said:

Its starting to sleet

Out of  interest was you forecast sleet for this time?

[North London Hotspur]

Absolutely chucking it down with rain in East Hertfordshire  :-(

[NO LONGER POSTING]

4 minutes ago, Kent Blizzard said:

Out of  interest was you forecast sleet for this time?

Nope, not till after midnight was anything wintry ment to start happening

[snowray]

12z Euro4 still says NO!

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Wonderful (or not so) radar grab,

Look to the north of the rain band it's Turing to sleet

To the south it's bumping into very cold air over France 

Sums my chart up earlier of the sat very nicely and what we want is to mix out the warmer air quick enough before the band moves of or looses all intensity

Your time..starts..now!

[Swave Snow]

Over in the model thread the great Nick Sussex has posted for 10pm from the Arome  

 

 

 

Nick Sussex Wrote 

We have a good test for one of the higher resolution models. The AROME Hi Res now has snow developing ahead of the front over East Anglia. Looking at the dew points the far se and parts of EA currently have negative dew points.

Ive also attached a screen grab from the Netweather in which i have circled in red where it looks like it's starting to happen 

 

 

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Oh man, all these charts anyone else feel a long night ahead? 

[SnowBorder]

Definitely raining here. Actually feels quite mild outside. 

[Mark wheeler]

Defo blobs of wet sleet coming down in the rain in chessington . Raynes park was all rain. It's even that eerie quiet sound like when snow falls

[A.J]

for those to the east of the frontal system, you're still tapping into some embedded cold air from the near continent with dewpoints hovering around 0c, and with the 'oh so slow' eastward progress of the frontal system, it wouldn't surprise me to see some temporary sleet/snow fall as the ppn moves in (especially essex/kent/norfolk.........The issue west of London is that dewpoints are not even marginal currently,  3c+...Colder/drier air is filtering slowly down from the north west, but only over in Ireland are dewpoints favourable......As the attached NMM overlay shows, there is still a considerable area of milder T850's over the majority of England and Wales that still need to be mixed out before that particular parameter is favourable for snowfall, as for dewpoints, the NMM and most other model suites infer that dewpoints only become favourable after the ppn has passed through the region, apart from the extreme south east.....ppn is also slowly starting to wane, and that combined with quite saturated lower air profiles don't really aid evaporative cooling..........Still, it's fascinating to watch this all unfold......even though most of the model suites seem rather unfavourable for the forecast period, it's worth keeping an eye on the sky/lamp-post, especially overnight in the far east of the region, you never know! 

 

 

[Me & angel fiance]

Just driven back to stevenage from Norwich.  Started raining on the way home which stayed with us all the way and it definitely had wintry blobs mixed in here and there.. 

[TheGate]

Looks like rain here, but not that heavy. Temp now is 3.8c with DP at 3.0c. Not sure it's worth staying up for.....

[<<Ryan>>]

Light showers ahead of the main band definitely showed a wintry mix on the windscreen on the drive home just now!