Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

[keithlucky]

3 minutes ago, andymusic said:

gfs 6z

Pretty consistent over this forecasted blizzard since skyfall put it up a few days ago.

[DeepSnow]

I don't think we will start to get a better idea on the placement of the low until atleast Sunday, mods just playing with to many different possible solutions ATM. I think most would see snow even if transient from the low, should it not go south and miss us completely.

Still even a chance tomorrow I think of a fair few in Wales getting a few flakes, bar maybe us on the South Coast, they still keep changing where that little feature will be and the amount of precip with it.

I think this could be the best winter in terms of snow potential for us since 2018, which is the last time I saw anything more that 1cm

Edited December 7, 2022 by DeepSnow

[Marcus_surfer]

Im curious ... Whats everyones temperatures today? Its 3.2C here and really struggling to get past 4C. Metoffice says it should be 5C here but i dont think we will make that today here.

[DeepSnow]

Its 4.9c here after a hight of 5.4c, which is what was predicted for here. This is my main worry being on the coast is that the daytime temps will be too high for any precip over the next week to fall as snow and would need it to come after dark, if we do get any.

1 hour ago, Marcus_surfer said:

Im curious ... Whats everyones temperatures today? Its 3.2C here and really struggling to get past 4C. Metoffice says it should be 5C here but i dont think we will make that today here.

 

[A Gower Guy]

1 hour ago, Marcus_surfer said:

Im curious ... Whats everyones temperatures today? Its 3.2C here and really struggling to get past 4C. Metoffice says it should be 5C here but i dont think we will make that today here.

Hit 4.7°c in the last half hour, after a low of -2.5°c

[keithlucky]

2 minutes ago, DeepSnow said:

Its 4.9c here after a hight of 5.4c, which is what was predicted for here. This is my main worry being on the coast is that the daytime temps will be too high for any precip over the next week to fall as snow and would need it to come after dark, if we do get any.

 

Behind the cold front tommorow temperature will drop 2c dewpoints will drop aswell sharp frosts will follow.

[Notty]

3c here now after a high of 4c

Low of -2c at 07:30 today

[keithlucky]

,-2c max 4c 

[Loadsa2000]

-2.1 max 7.4c

1.1c now

[Missdolly]

-2 max 3c 

Currently 0c here , going to be cold tonight guys .

[andymusic]

latest ukmo

[Gez79]

1 minute ago, andymusic said:

latest ukmo

Knife edge stuff for me in Pembrokeshire 

[Cymro]

5 hours ago, Marcus_surfer said:

Im curious ... Whats everyones temperatures today? Its 3.2C here and really struggling to get past 4C. Metoffice says it should be 5C here but i dont think we will make that today here.

Low here of -4.1 and a max of 2.4 back down below freezing now brrr

[DeepSnow]

Temp dropped to 0.4c back up to 0.7c. That's a good chart for us as long as it goes no further

[Pembroke Dangler]

I do feel we need a run like the ukmo today to get us a chance at seeing some significant snow, tonight’s ecm keeps us cold but dry mostly. We need some risk reward type Synoptics to get what we all crave in here. 

[keithlucky]

12 minutes ago, Pembroke Dangler said:

I do feel we need a run like the ukmo today to get us a chance at seeing some significant snow, tonight’s ecm keeps us cold but dry mostly. We need some risk reward type Synoptics to get what we all crave in here. 

Agreed the front more adjusted south as normal  models always think they can just walk though cold block we have to move Jersey next week.Still good chance of seeing some snow Friday Saturday.

I'm going South to cold in Wales,Jersey warmer.

Edited December 7, 2022 by keithlucky

[andy989]

Nice seasonal dog walk this evening, puddles in the road are frozen. 

[AlexThe Great]

Precip over snowdonia heading south eastwards !?   

[Cymro]

16 minutes ago, AlexThe Great said:

Precip over snowdonia heading south eastwards !?   

You’ve got the Carneddau, Cambrians and Beacons to munch all that up mind

[keithlucky]

29 minutes ago, AlexThe Great said:

Precip over snowdonia heading south eastwards !?   

528 dam reaches Wales around mid day tommorow should have more showers  turning to snow .With more showers Friday as the wind switches to NNW direction, then radar watching takes over.

[DeepSnow]

Had a low of -0.2c and currently 1.8c so much warmer than the -2c forecast, I think because we had more cloud cover overnight.

[andymusic]

latest ecm - icon also going for snowstorm over Wales

here's icon - couple of days of snow if it were to verify

Edited December 8, 2022 by andymusic

[DeepSnow]

8 minutes ago, andymusic said:

latest ecm - icon also going for snowstorm over Wales

Bank! The purple is so close to me but ill take that!

[Cymro]

Snow flurries here on and off since I got up at 6. More shower activity to the Irish sea and the NW which may bring more continuous snow showers later

[keithlucky]

14 minutes ago, Cymro said:

Snow flurries here on and off since I got up at 6. More shower activity to the Irish sea and the NW which may bring more continuous snow showers later

We had a few graupel showers anywhere could get a dusting, Favored North and West Wales possible couple of cms.