Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

[Marcus_surfer]

It's getting worse in the MAD Thread l. Talk of the worst blizzards since 1963 ...get the cold in first then worry about snow at this stage

[snefnug]

1 hour ago, Marcus_surfer said:

It's getting worse in the MAD Thread l. Talk of the worst blizzards since 1963 ...get the cold in first then worry about snow at this stage

Altogether now. It ain’t snowmaggedon til @andymusic says it is!

 

 

Edited November 28, 2022 by snefnug

[Cymro]

I've always been a strong believer in atmospheric balance and am not surprised in one bit to see the potential for large negative temperature anomalies for December after such an unbroken stint of above average months. 

I think the first major snows will reach us in Cymru a week Wednesday

 

Before then let's enjoy a gradual cool down

[snefnug]

Busy in the madmod thread……

 

 

[keithlucky]

On 27/11/2022 at 17:30, keithlucky said:

Does look like Europe is going into the freezer as Scandinavian HP builds 

 

Edited November 29, 2022 by keithlucky
Error

[keithlucky]

Greenland HP building nicely can it hold on

[Wetterfrosch]

11 hours ago, Cymro said:

I've always been a strong believer in atmospheric balance and am not surprised in one bit to see the potential for large negative temperature anomalies for December after such an unbroken stint of above average months. 

 

I fully agree with that sentiment, based on my own observations over the years. Problem is that nature doesn't ask us humans when it might be convenient to swing the other way but makes up it's own 'mind', hence I suppose we have seen rather cold springs in the recent past, notably May 2021 which was the coldest in many years. And wasn't April this year very cold too, with frost registered somewhere in the UK on every single day? Just hope that for once we are lucky enough to see frosty weather materialize in winter and not when you want to grow veggies. Snow would be an added bonus here for us so close to the see, but not impossible. Haven't looked at the MOD thread yet to see if the bet is still on. Have a good day, all!

[DeepSnow]

I do hope we get some good snowfal this winter, for us on the coast too not just higher up.

Chilly day in the fog, only 4c on the car temp!

[keithlucky]

Sorry can't resist first snow maps of the season lol.

 Sunday into Monday Snow High ground Sunday wintry mix Monday on low ground.

Edited November 29, 2022 by keithlucky

[DeepSnow]

10 minutes ago, keithlucky said:

Sorry can't resist first snow maps of the season lol.

 Sunday into Monday Snow High ground Sunday wintry mix Monday on low ground.

Doesn't look cold enough for costal snow yet but going a couple miles inland could make the difference for some snow, fingers crossed! I'll be in work away from the coast Monday so hopefully see some if it continues to show

[keithlucky]

21 hours ago, DeepSnow said:

Doesn't look cold enough for costal snow yet but going a couple miles inland could make the difference for some snow, fingers crossed! I'll be in work away from the coast Monday so hopefully see some if it continues to show

We should see some wintry precipation next week eventually turning to snow in a keen brisk N easterly-easterly wind.

[keithlucky]

On 29/11/2022 at 09:32, keithlucky said:

Greenland HP building nicely can it hold on

Rapid building Greenland block looks like the biggest for 40 yrs.December setting up to be well below average temperature. 

[andymusic]

cold and snow incoming - thought i'd better get back on the forum lol

[Marcus_surfer]

2 minutes ago, andymusic said:

cold and snow incoming - thought i'd better get back on the forum lol

Nice to see you again Andy hope you are well

[snefnug]

30 minutes ago, andymusic said:

cold and snow incoming - thought i'd better get back on the forum lol

Now we KNOW it’s gonna SNOW!    Welcome back  @andymusic

[DeepSnow]

All looking good in the Mod thread, its nice to finally see an increasing possibility of some proper winter weather and hopefully prolonged cold!

Whilst easterlies/North Easterlies are generally not the best for precip/snow for us hopefully some disturbance will crop up to give us some good snow like they have in the past! Exciting times ahead I think

[Cymro]

Mae'r peiriant eira ar fin tanio

The snow machine is about to get started

[snefnug]

28 minutes ago, Cymro said:

Mae'r peiriant eira ar fin tanio

The snow machine is about to get started

Not according to the madmod thread it ain’t.  It’s a bit toys out of pram and indignant spats time. …….

[Cymro]

16 minutes ago, snefnug said:

Not according to the madmod thread it ain’t.  It’s a bit toys out of pram and indignant spats time. …….

Haha what’s new? the bigger picture rather than run to run over analysis is looking fantastic, the best it has in 12 years….

[snefnug]

12 minutes ago, Cymro said:

Haha what’s new? the bigger picture rather than run to run over analysis is looking fantastic, the best it has in 12 years….

Log shed full, oil tank full, larder full, wine rack full, Snow shovel at the ready….

[Cymro]

Looking at some charts for Sunday and Monday a'i wouldn't at all be surprised if the hills if Powys, Eryri and Bannau Brycheiniog Get their first covering widely above about 350m. 

 

Could even see snow down to circa 150m in heavier showers, doubt it will settle much just yet, but a nice appetiser! 

 

 

And then mid week onwards we've got this to look forward to

 

 

Edited December 1, 2022 by Cymro

[Marcus_surfer]

Hate these +300 hour snow charts in the mod thread. It's actually doing my head in this year

Edited December 1, 2022 by Marcus_surfer

[keithlucky]

3 hours ago, Marcus_surfer said:

Hate these +300 hour snow charts in the mod thread. It's actually doing my head in this year

Totally avoid thread cold spell already over 10 days from now!Snow extent has extend southwards not far off  1968 record were records began,Will benefit UK as tempretures fall to cold -very cold by the end of next week as wind direction switches to more of northerly direction. 

[snowy36]

Its nice just to be able to talk about proper winter weather again a few god awful years. Bring on the weather. 

[keithlucky]

1 hour ago, snowy36 said:

Its nice just to be able to talk about proper winter weather again a few god awful years. Bring on the weather. 

Yes over the last 30 not many snowfalls ,we need to enjoy this spell, Very simular spell to 2010 .Come next week hoar frost will become a problem, personally I cannot see this spell breaking up for a least 14 days ,

Edited December 1, 2022 by keithlucky