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Model Output Discussion - Into the new year


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Message added by Paul,

Please stick to discussing the model output in this thread. For more general chat , please use the winter/cold weather/snow chat, banter, moans and ramps thread

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Posted
  • Location: Rotherham, East Dene
  • Location: Rotherham, East Dene
10 minutes ago, Weathizard said:

The Icelandic high almost always delivers for the U.K., probably safer than a GH or Scandi High, this is only at day 7 now. 

Im remaining cautious though because the GFS has lost the plot at the minute, the last 4 runs since yesterday afternoon have been wildly swinging back and forth

Finally only been looking for that Icelandic beauty all week! 

Things coming together beautifully!

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Posted
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes, Thunderstorms and blizzards please!
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex

Keep a close eye on the north east!

image.thumb.png.38a19856787dd24e148be34ec4725e97.pngimage.thumb.png.d7843a9de55cd8ef433209f064ff88cb.png   

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Posted
  • Location: Neath Valleys, South Wales 109m asl
  • Location: Neath Valleys, South Wales 109m asl
1 minute ago, TSNWK said:

Greens from the south or blues from the east both heading towards us.. who get there 1st

image.thumb.png.8ce69be1e14f93ebefdcd6aebc7be221.png

All academic at this range but watch that low drop down through scandi. 

 

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Posted
  • Location: essex/suffolk/cambs border
  • Location: essex/suffolk/cambs border
15 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

If charts like this fail to get your juices going .. then-give up the game., slack.. uppers ripe.. and positively packed with snowy potential..@gfs getting bk to its guns ..

C9F79A89-5A18-48DF-A6C8-ADA6E64D75CE.png

5E2EB6CA-10CE-431B-A71B-67D36C9D89C6.png

You are right. If these charts don't trigger full Musk then I would be on the Blower to Mr Numan

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Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
2 minutes ago, TSNWK said:

Greens from the south or blues from the east both heading towards us.. who get there 1st

image.thumb.png.8ce69be1e14f93ebefdcd6aebc7be221.png

I am watching that Urals low going around the eastern flank of the high.

gfsnh-0-228.thumb.png.5b66b3da68d74d92413ec343bbe8ef54.png

Edit: @Ice Day just mentioned it.

Edited by Allseasons-si
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Posted
  • Location: Ventnor, Isle of Wight
  • Weather Preferences: Anything other than drizzle
  • Location: Ventnor, Isle of Wight

Very similar set up to 2010....The first image is heading into December 2010 and the second image is 207hrs of 12pm GFS run. Just need some deeper cold to the east.

2nd Dec 10.png

Now.png

Edited by Ventnor Viking
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Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire

The gravy boat overflowing.. the fat bird ain’t singing ... she’s dribbling mate

4367D108-C644-4375-A09E-A912F2BF23C8.png

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Posted
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and heatwave
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft

Was it last year or year before all that cold weather going to Greece ? With 'Glad you got some', through gritted teeth

On 1/1/21 .We can have the GFS 850s blues and Greece can keep the Greens and Yellows and the Acropolis.

 

850s Blues over UK and Green and Yellow over Greece New Years Day.png

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Posted
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex
1 minute ago, tight isobar said:

The gravy boat overflowing.. the fat bird ain’t singing ... she’s dribbling mate

4367D108-C644-4375-A09E-A912F2BF23C8.png

A channel low to top it off? GFS has been on the sauce, from screaming s’westerlies this morning to this  

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Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)

I can't believe what we are witnessing here,stunning output...

gfs day ten,let the battle commence.

gfsnh-0-240.thumb.png.7fef2add6990419bf1088d9cd0c1d115.png

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Posted
  • Location: North London
  • Location: North London
1 minute ago, Allseasons-si said:

I can't believe what we are witnessing here,stunning output...

gfs day ten,let the battle commence.

gfsnh-0-240.thumb.png.7fef2add6990419bf1088d9cd0c1d115.png

And it looks like the pattern is amplifying again up the east coast, probably going go reinforce the high 

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