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Winter Cold Seasoned

Winter Cold

Posted
  • Location: Maltby, Rotherham - 150m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Cold! Winter :)
  • Location: Maltby, Rotherham - 150m ASL
Posted

Yeah it was much colder than forecast last night, here anyway.

TV forecast I saw said 4c and meto website said 5c min. We must have had a clearer spell because I've got a min of -0.2 last night so we went sub zero

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted
10 minutes ago, LeeSnowFan said:

so can someone sum up where yorkshire stands at the moment?

If the GFS is right wet normal temps by day mild by night. If the UKMO is right cold.  Deciding vote ECM by the looks of it.

I wouldn't go down to the bookies right now and wouldn't be too concerned about your snow shovel.

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

ECM falls in line with the GFS so a wet xmas it is then so even though still in lala land chances are of a white xmas are virtually nil now.  The only possible saving grace is that it's still lala land bit it does look like the models have finally made their mind up.

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Winter Cold Seasoned

Winter Cold

Posted
  • Location: Maltby, Rotherham - 150m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Cold! Winter :)
  • Location: Maltby, Rotherham - 150m ASL
Posted

Still a bit too far out yet to call it PIT i think. Only Sunday and Xmas day is still 6 days away of course. We have seen models underestimate blocking at this range so I'll remain hopeful for Yorkshire a few days longer ❄️

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted
30 minutes ago, Winter Cold said:

Still a bit too far out yet to call it PIT i think. Only Sunday and Xmas day is still 6 days away of course. We have seen models underestimate blocking at this range so I'll remain hopeful for Yorkshire a few days longer ❄️

If there wasn't general agreement I would agree. Even if they did back track you then got factor in the normal downgrading in the strength of the cold, Gut instinct and years of model watching tell me a newer trend has been spotted.

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Winter Cold Seasoned

Winter Cold

Posted
  • Location: Maltby, Rotherham - 150m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Cold! Winter :)
  • Location: Maltby, Rotherham - 150m ASL
Posted
10 minutes ago, The PIT said:

If there wasn't general agreement I would agree. Even if they did back track you then got factor in the normal downgrading in the strength of the cold, Gut instinct and years of model watching tell me a newer trend has been spotted.

Yes it could be. We always know how to clutch defeat from the jaws of victory in the UK don't we

I think there's still a chance for colder weather and maybe snow after Christmas too if it doesn't work out for Xmas day. What do you think? We can hope

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

We may have to take a two to three day cold snap beggars can't be choosers.

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alr1970 Rising Star

alr1970

Posted
  • Location: Chorlton (h) Cheadle Royal (o)
  • Location: Chorlton (h) Cheadle Royal (o)
Posted

Very moody at Langsett Reservoir in the fog today. It was surreal standing at the waters edge unable to see the surface because it was perfectly still and smooth, and the fog meant no reflection of the far hillside.

IMG_20211219_120025.thumb.jpg.80dd1a43dd3b0a83db5bab2bb36d6147.jpg

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SouthYorks Community Regular

SouthYorks

Posted
  • Location: Barnsley (100m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Very cold/sunny, Snow, Hot/Thunderstorms
  • Location: Barnsley (100m ASL)
Posted

Christmas week still looks up in the air at the moment.  From the 0z runs today GFS has switched back to a cold outlook, along with GEM, JMA and ICON, but UKMO and ECM have switched to mild!  You couldn’t make it up really!

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

GFS out on it's own as you say. Forecasters are going with a mild xmas with only a slight hope for northern Scotland. You may get better odds now for  white xmas and if you feel like betting choose Aberdeen rather than London.

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SouthYorks Community Regular

SouthYorks

Posted
  • Location: Barnsley (100m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Very cold/sunny, Snow, Hot/Thunderstorms
  • Location: Barnsley (100m ASL)
Posted

Interesting that Steve Murr on Twitter is going with the GFS over the Euros.  He normally favours the Euros and bins the GFS!  

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SouthYorks Community Regular

SouthYorks

Posted
  • Location: Barnsley (100m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Very cold/sunny, Snow, Hot/Thunderstorms
  • Location: Barnsley (100m ASL)
Posted (edited)

ECM Ops also confirmed as a mild outlier from Christmas day onwards.

 

 

Edited by SouthYorks
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winterof79 Veteran

winterof79

Posted
  • Location: Kirkburton, Huddersfield - 162.5mtrs asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Winter synoptics.Hot summers.
  • Location: Kirkburton, Huddersfield - 162.5mtrs asl.
Posted

Matron....

Screenshot_2021-12-20-08-07-03-78_40deb401b9ffe8e1df2f1cc5ba480b12.jpg

Screenshot_2021-12-20-08-06-52-80_40deb401b9ffe8e1df2f1cc5ba480b12.jpg

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SouthYorks Community Regular

SouthYorks

Posted
  • Location: Barnsley (100m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Very cold/sunny, Snow, Hot/Thunderstorms
  • Location: Barnsley (100m ASL)
Posted (edited)
8 minutes ago, winterof79 said:

Matron....

Screenshot_2021-12-20-08-07-03-78_40deb401b9ffe8e1df2f1cc5ba480b12.jpg

Screenshot_2021-12-20-08-06-52-80_40deb401b9ffe8e1df2f1cc5ba480b12.jpg

I’d take that!

Edited by SouthYorks
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SouthYorks Community Regular

SouthYorks

Posted
  • Location: Barnsley (100m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Very cold/sunny, Snow, Hot/Thunderstorms
  • Location: Barnsley (100m ASL)
Posted
3 minutes ago, Craigers said:

These are spreads for Northern England! I'd say we are still in a great chance

EB962610-F3C7-4078-8FEB-FCD8E389E35D.png.667060408dab1b85407f4bda1c287a0c.thumb.png.9f9c3a8ed55cfa184dd2e139660d7a8f.png

I’d also just spotted that tweet from Matt H.  The Easterly wind direction would indicate that the low approaching from the West is progged to take a Southerly track.  Goods news for us!

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swfc Veteran

swfc

Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield
Posted
4 minutes ago, The Future said:

Jim Dale going for Sheffield white christmas.

 

Not sure on the date of this but the latest thinking is northern Scotland only for any cold

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winterof79 Veteran

winterof79

Posted
  • Location: Kirkburton, Huddersfield - 162.5mtrs asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Winter synoptics.Hot summers.
  • Location: Kirkburton, Huddersfield - 162.5mtrs asl.
Posted

Coming back from Portugal bud ,to some seasonal weather.

As soon as i land ill be checking on GFS and UKMO.

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SouthYorks Community Regular

SouthYorks

Posted
  • Location: Barnsley (100m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Very cold/sunny, Snow, Hot/Thunderstorms
  • Location: Barnsley (100m ASL)
Posted (edited)

After a nice GFS 6z this morning the UKMO 12z now gets back onboard with the bowling ball low now split into 2 weaker lows and sliding under the block on Christmas Day, and just look at those 850’s for Boxing Day!  Much improved!
 

C58D2E16-6FC2-4F36-ACE2-34A3FAC47D54.gif

E63B52EB-1161-42C7-9690-722417DA6D42.gif

Edited by SouthYorks
Add 850’s
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Danns Contributor

Danns

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield, 120 ASL
  • Location: Sheffield, 120 ASL
Posted

Yep looks like an underplaying of heights, the ecm op was some way an outlier earlier. I’m starting to believe we might actually get a decent white Christmas. Still all to play for. 
 

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SouthYorks Community Regular

SouthYorks

Posted
  • Location: Barnsley (100m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Very cold/sunny, Snow, Hot/Thunderstorms
  • Location: Barnsley (100m ASL)
Posted

GFS 12z is also an improvement for cold but, because the front stalls and slides it never makes it to our region.  There is virtually no precipitation in Christmas Day and this is as far as it gets before sliding South East on Boxing Day.  
 

We might end up cold but find ourselves in a no mans land re snow falling, unless the low continues to move further south as we get nearer the day, in which case we may see snow coming in off an Easterly.

 

 

BA68E1D3-0D69-45CD-9980-C9CD4A4D30C8.gif

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