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Model output discussion - Into 2021

Paul

By Paul
in Forecast Model Discussion

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Paul
Message added by Paul,

Please stick to discussing the model output in this thread. For more general chat , please use the winter/cold weather/snow chat, banter, moans and ramps thread. 

For local cold/snow and weather related chat, please head over to the Regional Area.

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Purga Accomplished

Purga

Posted
  • Location: West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme cold & snow
  • Location: West Sussex
Posted

As per Monty Python 'and now for something completely different'!

image.thumb.png.9ba0cb6e456c0947d030eb9b19521f45.png

Let's plaster the UK in snow

image.thumb.png.39d7872fd22296ce63afefc8eecd639e.png

Channel Low anyone?

image.thumb.png.4b1a4db463d182ddbcdec73e14af5178.png

Enjoy whilst it lasts

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MATTWOLVES 3 Maestro

MATTWOLVES 3

Posted
  • Location: Sedgley 175metres above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Any kind of extremes. But the more snow the better.
  • Location: Sedgley 175metres above sea level
  • Popular Post
Posted

Saturday night fever....r,r,r,r staying alive... what better way to boogie than to see great snow graphics..ohhh GFS you are a tease...but I do love you.

A little heads up from Marco P..regarding the strat..GFS bringing major event forward to the 5th if January...W winds have fallen from 95mph to 35mph in 10 days...what's not to like.

18_60_preciptype.png

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18_135_preciptype.png

18_138_preciptype.png

Eqwm1dhXIAcB5TU.jpeg

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ICE COLD Maestro

ICE COLD

Posted
  • Location: Hertfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW AND FREEZING TEMPS
  • Location: Hertfordshire
Posted
Just now, Allseasons-si said:

I haven't got one big enough ha ha.

That’s what your misses said

great run this 

3D00FC3E-BCA7-4450-961E-286EC942975F.png

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Uncertainty Accomplished

Uncertainty

Posted
  • Location: North West
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but the prevailing wind!
  • Location: North West
Posted

image.thumb.png.20a0e8ca813a30c46889010c723bf10f.png

Hypothesis A: Pub run codswallop

Hypothesis B: See Hypothesis A

Except... There’s been a stonking SSW and the 18z *could* be picking the first real sign of a QTR.

ECM ens might look poor on the heights but the anomalies suggest the above is within the envelope...

image.thumb.png.45cf9c87f58f956730b2b49dc7c74e89.png
 

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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted

Christ on a bike!

This is more of what we want to see...Shame it's generally against the Euros and its own ensembles!

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Weegaz Community Regular

Weegaz

Posted
  • Location: Nutts Corner
  • Location: Nutts Corner
Posted

What’s not to be happy about with charts like this only a week away, can we count these down to T0, fun for everyone if this where to verify

7ACB57DC-EEEB-46B7-B794-434E48F086CC.png

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FDA3F5F7-F12B-492C-8446-7B0AF0A2338C.png

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Had Worse Maestro

Had Worse

Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
Posted
1 minute ago, Uncertainy said:

image.thumb.png.20a0e8ca813a30c46889010c723bf10f.png

Hypothesis A: Pub run codswallop

Hypothesis B: See Hypothesis A

Except... There’s been a stonking SSW and the 18z *could* be picking the first real sign of a QTR.

ECM ens might look poor on the heights but the anomalies suggest the above is within the envelope...

image.thumb.png.45cf9c87f58f956730b2b49dc7c74e89.png
 

Hypothermia C: See pub run

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Jackski4 Seasoned

Jackski4

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWWWWWWWW
  • Location: Runcorn
Posted

Chance that the 18Z is the first to take into account the SSW and the ECM and UKMO will follow on 00z runs???

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Rocheydub Seasoned

Rocheydub

Posted
  • Location: Santry, Dublin, Ireland. 50 metres ASL.
  • Location: Santry, Dublin, Ireland. 50 metres ASL.
  • Popular Post
Posted

In the immortal words of a certain poster here on Netweather.... "WTF"!

Astonishing and the best eye candy seen in many years, dare I say 2010.

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

Great commentary in here tonight,...i wonder why..

keep on giving gfs,..just don't let us down in the morning

gfsnh-0-258.thumb.png.1ac801288bb0e740d9e39fa91197a749.png

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Stu_London Rising Star

Stu_London

Posted
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells, Kent
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells, Kent
Posted
2 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

Christ on a bike!

This is more of what we want to see...Shame it's generally against the Euros and its own ensembles!

yes - every chance it is the just the pub run that has gone on one - but equally could be a pre-cursor to a new trend.

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BARRY Aficionado

BARRY

Posted
  • Location: frogmore south devon
  • Location: frogmore south devon
Posted
2 minutes ago, Weegaz said:

What’s not to be happy about with charts like this only a week away, can we count these down to T0, fun for everyone if this where to verify

7ACB57DC-EEEB-46B7-B794-434E48F086CC.png

0E280421-6D1F-48BD-B897-E752868A41F7.png

B0265D69-3C4C-4181-8130-520370CD9018.png

02806ACF-42A8-4061-8A38-1460B35CA874.png

FDA3F5F7-F12B-492C-8446-7B0AF0A2338C.png

Again no snow for us this is getting tedious

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danm Maestro

danm

Posted
  • Location: Home: Chingford, London (NE). Work: London (C)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: cold and snowy. Summer: hot and sunny
  • Location: Home: Chingford, London (NE). Work: London (C)
Posted

The good thing about that GFS run is there are upgrades much closer to the reliable timeframe. 

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ianmm94 Apprentice

ianmm94

Posted
  • Location: York, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Snow, Heat
  • Location: York, UK
Posted (edited)

Look at that cold pool heading straight for Northern Europe!

 gfsnh-1-270.thumb.png.9e06ab232fddb01f9c3b051ed6f1155a.png

gfseu-1-270.png

Edited by ianmm94
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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted
1 minute ago, Stu_London said:

yes - every chance it is the just the pub run that has gone on one - but equally could be a pre-cursor to a new trend.

I think I say this for almost everyone here, but I hope it's the latter!

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted
1 minute ago, BARRY said:

Again no snow for us this is getting tedious

As if it's gospel,...just enjoy the ride,we are in a good place at the moment Baz and all is looking good.

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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted
1 minute ago, ianmm94 said:

Look at that cold pool heading straight for Northern Europe! gfsnh-1-270.thumb.png.9e06ab232fddb01f9c3b051ed6f1155a.png

Yes that's the main prize and what we are playing for in terms of later Jan.

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Griff Veteran

Griff

Posted
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
Posted
3 minutes ago, radiohead said:

GFSP not as snowy as the 18Z OP but still produces a bit more snow than it's own 12Z

spacer.png

Yes, some differences... 

210

gfsnh-0-210 (4).png

gfsnh-1-210 (1).png

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