Ireland Regional Weather Discussion

[Snowdrift18]

8 minutes ago, BIG LAD said:

Welcome to the group snowdrift. 

Thanks,  just hoping that Rochey's "Snow shield" suffers epic failure ( been very effective for east cost since 2018!)  and this time next week we are in the midst or just on the cusp of Seasonal snow spell . 

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

1 minute ago, Ever Hopeful said:

Lurking with intent and feeling the living-at-sea-level fear. 

Aye think we are all managing our expectations, but surely we are all due a decent dumping of the white stuff!

[Ever Hopeful]

2 minutes ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:

Aye think we are all managing our expectations, but surely we are all due a decent dumping of the white stuff!

The famous year where it showed for 3 days in March we had six feet high snowdrifts a ten minute drive up the hill, and 3 days of sleet here. My poor kids watched out the window in despair 

[The Weather Watcher]

Have been watching the models for a week now ever since I seen the meandering high forecast and the non-ssw event of last week. 

I'm very inclined to say if meto are seeing ecm and ukmo as the most likely scenario, it's game on.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Just now, Ever Hopeful said:

The famous year where it showed for 3 days in March we had six feet high snowdrifts a ten minute drive up the hill, and 3 days of sleet here. My poor kids watched out the window in despair 

That event pained me as we got f all in the west, caused me much jealousy

Just now, The Weather Watcher said:

Have been watching the models for a week now ever since I seen the meandering high forecast and the non-ssw event of last week. 

I'm very inclined to say if meto are seeing ecm and ukmo as the most likely scenario, it's game on.

Good to see you back Watcher, hope you are keeping well

[Rocheydub]

Welcome @Snowdrift18

I of course, am in full alignment with you! Damned east coast snow shield!

[mountain shadow]

Good to see it getting busier in here now that snow is on the way.

Let's hope for a better NNW to N Northerly with frequent snow showers to kick things off early next week.

[booferking]

8 hours ago, mountain shadow said:

Good to see it getting busier in here now that snow is on the way.

Let's hope for a better NNW to N Northerly with frequent snow showers to kick things off early next week.

That northerly is being shortened run by run the gfs was on to something collapsing that Greenland high early now watch the lows slide and mess us.

[mountain shadow]

18 minutes ago, booferking said:

That northerly is being shortened run by run the gfs was on to something collapsing that Greenland high early now watch the lows slide and mess us.

Aye, not liking the way things are going for us over here.

The Northerly looks dry at the moment and when the Atlantic comes in, we're too far North.

Still plenty time for change though.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

stained glass window not the news I wanted to be reading in here this morning, hopefully it's just model uncertainty and things will upgrade again, or is that wishful thinking?

[mountain shadow]

Just watched the BBC NI weather and he showed this for the next 7 days.

One assumes this is some kind of joke.

 

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

10 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

Just watched the BBC NI weather and he showed this for the next 7 days.

One assumes this is some kind of joke.

 

Is that for Belfast? My app is showing very little for here snow wise as well

[mountain shadow]

1 minute ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:

Is that for Belfast? My app is showing very little for here snow wise as well

I think it's just a generic all NI thing. He didn't specify a place 

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

12 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

I think it's just a generic all NI thing. He didn't specify a place 

Yeah thats pretty crap then, starting to feel underwhelmed about next week, hopefully way of the mark on this.

[Bricriu]

1 hour ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:

Yeah thats pretty crap then, starting to feel underwhelmed about next week, hopefully way of the mark on this.

What about the ukmo fax chart. That's has us back in the game big time if it's right

Edited January 10 by Bricriu

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

8 minutes ago, Bricriu said:

What about the ukmo fax chart. That's has us back in the game big time if it's right

Hope so Bricriu, I am sick of seeing jam tomorrow charts! But that chart is beautiful!

Said fax chart taken from the MT incase anyone is wondering 

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Am I right in thinking things have improved upon in the models from this mornings negativity?

[Northwest NI]

3 hours ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:

Hope so Bricriu, I am sick of seeing jam tomorrow charts! But that chart is beautiful!

Said fax chart taken from the MT incase anyone is wondering 

If a 1046 high in that position doesn’t do it for us , i’ll be amazed. It’s a perfect “funnel” of arctic air heading straight for us.

[Ever Hopeful]

1 hour ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:

Am I right in thinking things have improved upon in the models from this mornings negativity?

Definitely seems to be a swing back round to snow mid week at the mo. Still a way out though 

[Rocheydub]

Still think you guys up in the northern half will see some on Monday and Tuesday. And if you believe the output from this morning, it's only the appetiser!

[mountain shadow]

1 hour ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:

Am I right in thinking things have improved upon in the models from this mornings negativity?

I'm still not convinced yet, still looks very dry.

 

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

24 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

I'm still not convinced yet, still looks very dry.

 

Yeah if the meto 10 dayer is to be believed it looks a dry handling up around us.

[mountain shadow]

12z GFS has no decent snow until a week Friday and even then it turns quickly to rain.

Thankfully the UKMO and GEM look much better synoptically. 

[Northwest NI]

Isn’t it the little features that turn up at short notice in a Northern flow that we are looking for though? Getting the country cold is just the first step. See Sunday -> going forward. All the professionals are reticent about predicting snow until it’s pretty obvious it’s going to happen. Just my opinion.

[Northwest NI]

Hoping for this kind of outcome at some stage over next few weeks….