Midlands Regional Discussion Feb 2021 Onward

[Staffmoorlands]

Snow still here and well below freezing at -2c. 
 

2 days of snow on the ground is not too bad for Autumn especially as it looked likely to be a snow free autumn

 

[BarometerCat]

GFS 18z tomorrow 

Too far West for me. One to watch 

[Ali1977]

Looks much more extensive than forecast ️

[nobble]

Blimey ! This has upgraded a bit

[sheikhy]

4 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:

Looks much more extensive than forecast ️

Yup and looks more like last nights arpege and further east!!

[MattStoke]

Looks to be heading straight to Stoke!

I’m off hiking in North Wales this morning/early afternoon. Hope I don’t get stuck on the way back!

[sheikhy]

3 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Looks to be heading straight to Stoke!

I’m off hiking in North Wales this morning/early afternoon. Hope I don’t get stuck on the way back!

Stoke bullseye but it seems to be heading for much of the midlands lol!!

[tom_f123]

Another couple cms this afternoon maybe? 

[Benny123]

1 hour ago, Ali1977 said:

Looks much more extensive than forecast ️

Looks to be arriving slightly earlier than expected, too! Hopefully it doesn’t die a death before it arrives across the Midlands. 

[AltonMatthew]

The earlier it gets here shows how fast moving it can become. I dont think this will deliver much (Hope in wrong)

 

Can see it fizzling out, we are just outside Stoke and yet the forecast is for a light shower nothing more. 
 

Going be a track and watch excersize haha

[MattStoke]

Unlikely it’ll die out unless every model is wrong. It’s moving very slowly. Should reach the far north of the region around early/mid afternoon.

[Sparkiee storm]

Looking better for central/some eastern parts of the region later today, the west is a bit more marginal.

Arpege still has snow especially for more eastern areas of the region with a narrow part showing as rain for more Western parts.

 

Euro4 show pretty much the same.

By 9pm tonight, Arome gives a line of accumulation right through the central midlands and slightly towards the east of the region too.

Just as the above charts show, more western areas looking like sleet or rain away from higher ground due to rising DPs but more Central Eastern areas might do well.

Lets hope many of us can get a few CMs top up.

[MattStoke]

On 28/11/2021 at 09:28, Sparkiee storm said:

Looking better for central/some eastern parts of the region later today, the west is a bit more marginal.

Arpege still has snow especially for more eastern areas of the region with a narrow part showing as rain for more Western parts.

 

Euro4 show pretty much the same.

By 9pm tonight, Arome gives a line of accumulation right through the central midlands and slightly towards the east of the region too.

Just as the above charts show, more western areas looking like sleet or rain away from higher ground due to rising DPs but more Central Eastern areas might do well.

Lets hope many of us can get a few CMs top up.

Yeah. It might be rain/sleet for Shropshire. Looks like Staffordshire should just about be OK for snow!

[sheikhy]

6 minutes ago, Sparkiee storm said:

Looking better for central/some eastern parts of the region later today, the west is a bit more marginal.

Arpege still has snow especially for more eastern areas of the region with a narrow part showing as rain for more Western parts.

 

Euro4 show pretty much the same.

By 9pm tonight, Arome gives a line of accumulation right through the central midlands and slightly towards the east of the region too.

Just as the above charts show, more western areas looking like sleet or rain away from higher ground due to rising DPs but more Central Eastern areas might do well.

Lets hope many of us can get a few CMs top up.

Yup things further east this morning!!lers see...

[BarometerCat]

On 28/11/2021 at 09:36, sheikhy said:

Yup things further east this morning!!lers see...

It might go a bit further east, looking at radar it is hard to tell though..  Will be watching!  Met weather app says snow 4pm IMBY but that is not exactly reliable...

[Wingman Blue]

Morning all!  -3 here at dawn and a shedload of snow heading down from Scotland, stringing out as it passes the borders.

Expect a dumping just before 12, maybe lasting till 2-30?

The fire’s lit and there’s just time for those outside chores!

[conor123]

Missed all the excitement yesterday and today the same, forgot how everything always tracks east of here.

[Wingman Blue]

[MattStoke]

Started my walk in North Wales. Flakes of snow coming down. Bodes well for the Midlands further east!

[Selliso]

A fair amount of anaprop ahead of the main band, it seems. Low also appears to be a little further east than most models (perhaps 30-40 miles or so?), bringing the rain transition further east over north west england. The being said, moving past the radar gap seems to show ppn extends further west, now visible north of the North Wales coast - all to play for

Edited November 28, 2021 by Selliso

[Sparkiee storm]

Seems to be developing in the Irish sea, that should reach more Western parts, but whether it will be rain/sleet or snow there remains to be seen.

[sheikhy]

10 minutes ago, Sparkiee storm said:

Seems to be developing in the Irish sea, that should reach more Western parts, but whether it will be rain/sleet or snow there remains to be seen.

That sleet/rain well into north west england right now !

[Snowy L]

At this rate I'm worried about being too far west after worrying about being too far east yesterday.

[Sparkiee storm]

Some have reported nothing falling  even though the radar showed something recently though so the radar maybe be a little wrong @sheikhy

Edited November 28, 2021 by Sparkiee storm

[Dancerwithwings]

Latest 06z hi res models, It’s looking promising still for some of us seeing snowfall later today.

Two days in a row and in November WOW

11:21am ...temp 2.9c ...Dp -4.4c ...Humidity 58%