Model Output Discussion - Snow Watch limited edition

[Penicuikblizzard]

6 minutes ago, Snowman. said:

It's the special edition!! It's in the title!

So I can post snow pictures going forward from Scotland and they won’t be deleted,,,,mmmm we will see

[StingJet]

17 minutes ago, damianslaw said:

Think the BBC is right on this occasion the snow has been further north than expected much of the day... we've been under persistant sleet/snow since 10am..

For sure mate .. I was trying to get my head around the northern extent of what the precip has achieved. The 18z Fax has the northern limit of the warm front approx. Liverpool, compared to the dop radar , precip has pumped well into Scotland


 

[Blizzardof82]

Just now, StingJet said:

For sure mate .. I was trying to get my head around the northern extent of what the precip has achieved. The 18z Fax has the northern limit of the warm front approx. Liverpool, compared to the dop radar , precip has pumped well into Scotland


 

Yes looks a lot further North looking at radar

[Snowman.]

10 minutes ago, Penicuikblizzard said:

So I can post snow pictures going forward from Scotland and they won’t be deleted,,,,mmmm we will see

There's an entire other thread. 

https://community.netweather.tv/topic/98486-model-output-discussion-models-models-and-more-models-inc-highlights/?do=getNewComment

Just let peeps enjoy this thread. The other thread is more traditonal model discussion.

Edited March 9, 2023 by Snowman.

[SilverWolf]

8 minutes ago, Blizzardof82 said:

Yes looks a lot further North looking at radar

It’s an interesting picture where it’s at… precip showing sleet/snow a long way north, but also a long way south west too.. 

[StingJet]

8 minutes ago, Blizzardof82 said:

Yes looks a lot further North looking at radar

Therefore what goes up must come back down , or in other words the precip that has made its way well up north will stall and start to head south again through the course of the night , as the LP across the south of England transitions east towards the north sea , and pulls in a northerly across the uk on its western flank 

[Woollymummy]

Any advice on likelihood of being unable to drive from Oxford to Buxton tomorrow due to snow? And if the roads are passable, which ones are best to aim for? Asking for a stressed friend....

[Halfamilefromnowhere]

22 minutes ago, Woollymummy said:

Any advice on likelihood of being unable to drive from Oxford to Buxton tomorrow due to snow? And if the roads are passable, which ones are best to aim for? Asking for a stressed friend....

Cut across to M1 then up before coming off Chesterfield or Matlock depending on conditions.  Minus 15.9C up here and around 22cm snow since Monday so should be tad milder down there

[cumbrian ice]

We're doing OK for snow in Cumbria for once 

[StingJet]

23 minutes ago, Woollymummy said:

Any advice on likelihood of being unable to drive from Oxford to Buxton tomorrow due to snow? And if the roads are passable, which ones are best to aim for? Asking for a stressed friend....

Hello Woollymummy .. a tough question that is , a lot depends on what happens overnight in terms of further snowfall for Derbyshire. I know Buxton well, but @Polar Maritime is quite local to the area and  hopefully can offer up some thoughts on the dilemma,  Thus far today PM has reported a lot of snow for his locale ,and more to come tonight 

[feb1991blizzard]

29 minutes ago, Woollymummy said:

Any advice on likelihood of being unable to drive from Oxford to Buxton tomorrow due to snow? And if the roads are passable, which ones are best to aim for? Asking for a stressed friend....

Don't touch the A53 under any circumstances.

[Blizzardof82]

[StingJet]

Yep I would agree with both Halfamilefromnowhere and Feb ...  Commuting back north weekly from Hemel Hempstead to either Stockport or Anglesey . I think I have covered pretty much all routes from the M1 to the west for the avoidance of M6 closures..  M1 > Chesterfield > Buxton is a probably one of the best options,  or the alternative   via Matlock > Bakewell (A6), closest route to Polar Maritime's location.
M1 (J23a/24)  A50 towards Stoke then North via Ashbourne A515 or Leek A53 (Feb1991's comment)  cover some high altitude moors (relatively speaking) and can be tricky. 

Edited March 9, 2023 by StingJet

[Woollymummy]

Thankyou all, annoying thing is it is for a gig which may eventually be cancelled after all if no one can make it  so going to be a financially annoying day as well as hazardous....
All the best to you folks out on the roads over the next few days, hope it is manageable and safe

Edited March 9, 2023 by Woollymummy

[StingJet]

26 minutes ago, Woollymummy said:

Thankyou all, annoying thing is it is for a gig which may eventually be cancelled after all if no one can make it  so going to financially annoying day as well as hazardous....
All the best to you folks out on the roads over the next few days, hope it is manageable and safe

A gig in Buxton  
Take care .. assess the situation in the morning and run with best advice from the motoring agencies RAC / AA on travel and of course the MetO warnings etc 
Edit: And Colin's link below .. good shout Colin !
If its bad overnight ...  heavy snow and strong to gale northerlies , snow drifting could be an issue over the high peaks routes ...  Buxton could be cut off ...  the Cat and Fiddle road from Macclesfield to Buxton (named after the pub on the route - A537)  usually gets closed when its bad for snow / ice  

hmm..





 

 

Edited March 9, 2023 by StingJet

[Colin_P]

A lot of the Peak District roads / passes are closed due to snow, have a look here... (link below)

Gritting activity and snow related road closures

APPS.DERBYSHIRE.GOV.UK

---

Find out if your road is on a gritting route and when it was last gritted.

 

[NorthernRab]

37 minutes ago, Halfamilefromnowhere said:

Cut across to M1 then up before coming off Chesterfield or Matlock depending on conditions.  Minus 15.9C up here and around 22cm snow since Monday so should be tad milder down there

Sunday/Monday are going to be very fun for you! 

[Snowman.]

GFS not far off an Easterly???

 

 

[StingJet]

26 minutes ago, Colin_P said:

A lot of the Peak District roads / passes are closed due to snow, have a look here... (link below)

Gritting activity and snow related road closures

APPS.DERBYSHIRE.GOV.UK

---

Find out if your road is on a gritting route and when it was last gritted.

 

Not many options left on the table Colin , and it may well be a whole lot worse tomorrow morning 

[stewfox]

 

Lovely day for the hot tub

[Polar Maritime]

Do not attempt to travel to the Peak District tomorrow it will be impossible to get anywhere once here over 250m ish, over a foot here already, and drifting heavy snow is to continue overnight.

Localy here this is life threatening weather.. if standed out in it..

Edited March 9, 2023 by Polar Maritime

[Don]

2 hours ago, StingJet said:

Therefore what goes up must come back down , or in other words the precip that has made its way well up north will stall and start to head south again through the course of the night , as the LP across the south of England transitions east towards the north sea , and pulls in a northerly across the uk on its western flank 

So, it should still affect North Wales then during the course of the night/early hours?

[Cheshire Freeze]

2 minutes ago, Don said:

So, it should still affect North Wales then during the course of the night/early hours?

You’re in a good position for later Don. I can see Shropshire getting 5-10cm in places.

[Don]

1 minute ago, CreweCold said:

You’re in a good position for later Don. I can see Shropshire getting 5-10cm in places.

Yes, I'm fairly close to the amber warning too.  I woke up to around 10cm this morning and although there was a thaw this afternoon, a fair amount of snow remains.  Would be great to get a nice top up later and hopefully you will see a decent fall too!  After missing out during the December cold spell, it's good to see! 

[chillyblast]

19 minutes ago, Polar Maritime said:

Do not attempt to travel to the Peak District tomorrow it will be impossible to get anywhere once here over 250m ish, over a foot here already, and drifting heavy snow is to continue overnight.

Localy here this is life threatening weather.. if standed out in it..

Hi @Polar Maritime

Thanks for the heads up here. I don't post much, but I do read a lot.

I am down south at the moment, with my house above Froghall in the Staffordshire Moorlands (at 270m on a 380m ridge). I'm assuming you are including that area in this warning as well? its about 3 miles south of the Peak District.