Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

Model Output Discussion - Snow Watch limited edition

Paul

By Paul
in Forecast Model Discussion

 Share
Paul
Message added by Paul,

This snow watch thread is an extension of the usual model discussion for those who want to chat about the snow chances over the coming days. For more general model discussion, please use the Models, models and more models thread, which also includes the model highlights.

As usual, for more general weather chat, moans and ramps, please head over to the Spring chat thread.

Be kind -- Stay on topic -- Share your knowledge -- Be polite -- Be honest -- Be tolerant -- Be family-friendly

Recommended Posts

Recommended

Posted by Paul,

Right then - here we go with a limited 'Snow Watch' edition of the Model Discussion thread. If you want to track the models / radar etc with a view on what the snow chances are wherever you may be in the country, this is the thread.  We realise this isn't for everyone though, which is why we also have the models, models and more models thread available too - which will be reserved for more general model discussion outside of the realms of 'is it going to snow in x, y or z'. The models

Thread info - please read

Recommended by Paul

  • Thanks
  • Like

8 reactions

Go to this post
Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted
1 minute ago, Don said:

Yes, I'm fairly close to the amber warning too.  I woke up to around 10cm this morning and although there was a thaw this afternoon, a fair amount of snow remains.  Would be great to get a nice top up later and hopefully you will see a decent fall too!  After missing out during the December cold spell, it's good to see! 

Between 3-8am is the last chance so see a covering here 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
lassie23 Maestro

lassie23

Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
Posted
7 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

Between 3-8am is the last chance so see a covering here 

Going to be mild next week

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
*Stormforce~beka* Maestro

*Stormforce~beka*

Posted
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!
Posted
9 minutes ago, Don said:

Yes, I'm fairly close to the amber warning too.  I woke up to around 10cm this morning and although there was a thaw this afternoon, a fair amount of snow remains.  Would be great to get a nice top up later and hopefully you will see a decent fall too!  After missing out during the December cold spell, it's good to see! 

Lucky buga!

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
damianslaw Maestro

damianslaw

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted
1 hour ago, cumbrian ice said:

We're doing OK for snow in Cumbria for once 👍

Yes we've been a prime spot for precipitation, just a shame away from high ground it has resulted in very little cover... it could have been a much more memorable event, still the overnight period to go, but what could have been a foot of snow will probably end up a couple cms at best.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Popular Post
MATTWOLVES 3 Maestro

MATTWOLVES 3

Posted
  • Location: Sedgley 175metres above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Any kind of extremes. But the more snow the better.
  • Location: Sedgley 175metres above sea level
  • Popular Post
Posted (edited)
9 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

Going to be mild next week

That's not necessarily true. Looks like a rinse and repeat around midweek. The broader scale picture suggests cold air is never far away from the North,and we could continue to see Southward pushes at times..Theres a chance we could still be forcing Low pressure systems to the South of us..and on that boundary will be the risk of snow also.

Could contain: Chart, Animal, Fish, Sea Life, Shark, Line Chart

Could contain: Chart, Line Chart

Could contain: Chart, Line Chart

Could contain: Chart, Plot

Edited by MATTWOLVES 3
  • Like 11
  • Thanks 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
lassie23 Maestro

lassie23

Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
Posted
5 minutes ago, MATTWOLVES 3 said:

That's not necessarily true. Looks like a rinse and repeat around midweek. The broader scale picture suggests cold air is never far away from the North,and we could continue to see Southward pushes at times..Theres a chance we could still be forcing Low pressure systems to the South of us..and on that boundary will be the risk of snow also.

Could contain: Chart, Animal, Fish, Sea Life, Shark, Line Chart

Could contain: Chart, Line Chart

Could contain: Chart, Line Chart

Could contain: Chart, Plot

That is good to hear, don't fancy 10c and rain that is the default UK weather, and frankly boring as hell.👍

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Popular Post
Polar Maritime Maestro

Polar Maritime

Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Popular Post
Posted (edited)
26 minutes ago, chillyblast said:

Hi @Polar Maritime

Thanks for the heads up here. I don't post much, but I do read a lot.

I am down south at the moment, with my house above Froghall in the Staffordshire Moorlands (at 270m on a 380m ridge). I'm assuming you are including that area in this warning as well? its about 3 miles south of the Peak District.

Just walked up lane, here at my location and hours more of blizzards.

Could contain: Nature, Outdoors, Blizzard, Snow, Storm, WinterCould contain: Nature, Outdoors, Weather, Winter, Ice, Snow, Blizzard, StormCould contain: Nature, Outdoors, Blizzard, Snow, Storm, Winter

Edited by Polar Maritime
  • Like 16
  • Thanks 1
  • Insightful 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Fourty Point Three Degrees Seasoned

Fourty Point Three Degrees

Posted
  • Location: manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Summer
  • Location: manchester
Posted
1 minute ago, lassie23 said:

That is good to hear, don't fancy 10c and rain that is the default UK weather, and frankly boring as hell.👍

It is standard weather form for this time of year. Nothing boring about a few days of wet and mild in spring,   At least we're not stuck in a terrible wet and miserable pattern that isn't moving. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
chillyblast Contributor

chillyblast

Posted
  • Location: Staffordshire Moorlands - 271m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder / lightning, Freezing rain, snow, ice and blizzards!
  • Location: Staffordshire Moorlands - 271m ASL
Posted
1 minute ago, Polar Maritime said:

Just walked up lane, 

Could contain: Nature, Outdoors, Blizzard, Snow, Storm, WinterCould contain: Nature, Outdoors, Weather, Winter, Ice, Snow, Blizzard, StormCould contain: Nature, Outdoors, Blizzard, Snow, Storm, Winter

Oh wow! Ive got no chance then. Typical we get a nice amount when I'm not there to see it! thanks for the photos.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites
RabbitEars Enthusiast

RabbitEars

Posted
  • Location: Douglas Isle of Man
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summer days with calm seas to swim in, cold frosty snowy winters
  • Location: Douglas Isle of Man
Posted

Model question... please...

Background...I'm in the Isle of Man and since 6pm (after the radar saying it was snow/sleet all day when actually it was rain) we are now getting pasted, started as wet snow but its been sticking for hours now. We have an Amber warning in place until 8am. Power has been out in two locations, buses can't serve some areas, roads closed.

when is the pivot of the system likely to happen and what happens if the cold northerly flow interacts with the precipitation? In a nutshell, when is it going to get worse or will it stay the same?

Thanks!

Could contain: Nature, Outdoors, Weather, Ice, Frost, Snow

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
BlackburnChris Enthusiast

BlackburnChris

Posted
  • Location: Darwen (Near Blackburn) 210m ASL
  • Location: Darwen (Near Blackburn) 210m ASL
Posted

The Milder air reached its northern extent and retreated , its sticking in blackburn now and most of NW judging by my taxi ride home ... 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Polar Maritime Maestro

Polar Maritime

Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
Posted

Life threatening conditions here, if out stranded, many cars stuck and will be overnight  Main roads like A515 impassable never mind the local lanes where I live which are completely blocked by drifting snow and near zero visibility.

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 2
  • Insightful 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Colin_P Rookie

Colin_P

Posted
  • Location: Chesterfield'ish 412ft/126m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: You can always put a jumper on.
  • Location: Chesterfield'ish 412ft/126m ASL
Posted
Just now, Polar Maritime said:

Life threatening conditions here, if out stranded, many cars stuck and will be overnight  Main roads like A515 impassable never mind the local lanes where I live which are completely blocked by drifting snow and near zero visibility.

It is coming down quite hard here near Chesterfield, must be mayhem up in the proper hills!

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Polar Maritime Maestro

Polar Maritime

Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
Posted
Just now, Colin_P said:

It is coming down quite hard here near Chesterfield, must be mayhem up in the proper hills!

It really is.

  • Insightful 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
chillyblast Contributor

chillyblast

Posted
  • Location: Staffordshire Moorlands - 271m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder / lightning, Freezing rain, snow, ice and blizzards!
  • Location: Staffordshire Moorlands - 271m ASL
Posted

I'll try texting my neighbour tomorrow, see if they can send me some pics too.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Polar Maritime Maestro

Polar Maritime

Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, BlackburnChris said:

have u got any pics ? sounds good up your way 

 

Look at my profile, it's good but not for those that know better..

Edited by Polar Maritime
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Mark wheeler Maestro

Mark wheeler

Posted
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Hot and Sunny but not opressive
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
Posted (edited)
8 minutes ago, Polar Maritime said:

Look at my profile, it's good but not for those that know better..

Omg just checked Your profile and Scottish skier has won more most liked days . Surely this is a mistake 😉. Enjoy the snow but also sounds like you have a job on your hands once this clears up for you . All the best Mark.

Edited by Mark wheeler
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
chillyblast Contributor

chillyblast

Posted
  • Location: Staffordshire Moorlands - 271m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder / lightning, Freezing rain, snow, ice and blizzards!
  • Location: Staffordshire Moorlands - 271m ASL
Posted

Looks bad up in the Yorkshire Dales too (10mins ago):

 

 

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
TheOgre Aficionado

TheOgre

Posted
  • Location: South Derbyshire
  • Location: South Derbyshire
Posted

We’re still getting a wintry mix at the moment in South Derbyshire so not quite the blizzards up the Peak District. Did really well Wed night - Thu lunchtime however and the afternoon/evening rain didn’t wash it away!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
RabbitEars Enthusiast

RabbitEars

Posted
  • Location: Douglas Isle of Man
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summer days with calm seas to swim in, cold frosty snowy winters
  • Location: Douglas Isle of Man
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, RabbitEars said:

Model question... please...

Background...I'm in the Isle of Man and since 6pm (after the radar saying it was snow/sleet all day when actually it was rain) we are now getting pasted, started as wet snow but its been sticking for hours now. We have an Amber warning in place until 8am. Power has been out in two locations, buses can't serve some areas, roads closed.

when is the pivot of the system likely to happen and what happens if the cold northerly flow interacts with the precipitation? In a nutshell, when is it going to get worse or will it stay the same?

Thanks!

Could contain: Nature, Outdoors, Weather, Ice, Frost, Snow

120am. Snow much larger flakes now. Everywhere white. Good depth. Have had to bring in rabbits as enclosure is in danger of collapsing under the weight of ice and then snow.

Scrap the previous question... as it's already pivoting... the snow fall is answering the question. 

Could contain: Nature, Outdoors, Weather, Snow, Winter

Edited by RabbitEars
To scrap the need for an answer! Although I would like to learn from this experience!
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Woodboss Enthusiast

Woodboss

Posted
  • Location: Hassocks,West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and severe weather events.
  • Location: Hassocks,West Sussex
Posted
44 minutes ago, chillyblast said:

Looks bad up in the Yorkshire Dales too (10mins ago):

 

 

Jesus Christ that looks absolutely savage! Some pretty fierce winds accompanying that lot too!!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Popular Post
Polar Maritime Maestro

Polar Maritime

Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Popular Post
Posted

Dangerous Blizzards here and whitout conditions. Very deep snow cover localy, completely cut off at my location.. 

  • Like 9
  • Thanks 1
  • Insightful 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share
Go to topic listing
×
×
  • Create New...