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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024

Catacol

By Catacol
in Forecast Model Discussion

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Paul
Message added by Paul,

This thread is for model related chat and discussion only.
Please head over to the Winter chat thread if your post isn't about the models. If you'd like localised weather chat, make sure you've joined your regional group. Or if you just want to moan about the weather or models, or would like to ramp up whatever may be on the way - there is now a dedicated ramp and moans thread.

Please use the insightful reaction on posts you think should be copied to the model highlights thread.

As ever, please keep to the community guidelines, the guiding principles of which are:
Be kind -- Stay on topic -- Share your knowledge -- Be polite -- Be honest -- Be tolerant -- Be family-friendly

Recommended Posts

joggs Experienced

joggs

Posted
  • Location: bingley,west yorks. 100 asl
  • Location: bingley,west yorks. 100 asl
Posted
4 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:

Primed at T180

IMG_2442.png

Yes,you would think.

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seabreeze86 Accomplished

seabreeze86

Posted
  • Location: redcar,cleveland
  • Weather Preferences: Winter cold,snow and frost. Summer hot and thundery
  • Location: redcar,cleveland
Posted

Welcome back GFS we snow lovers missed you 

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Gregulator Explorer

Gregulator

Posted
  • Location: Gosport, Hampshire, Uk
  • Weather Preferences: Winter spring autumn
  • Location: Gosport, Hampshire, Uk
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Posted
Just now, pinball wizard said:

Totally agree, the absence of discussion regarding this weeks storms and subsequent flooding really has made a mockery of this being a 'model discussion thread'. It's been solely focussed on the hunt for snow and more akin to a how and when will it snow thread.

I think we are all fed up with the relentless rain and wind so are all chasing some different winter weather and when such synoptic show up it does become all we fixate on

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Ice Day Veteran

Ice Day

Posted
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes, Thunderstorms and blizzards please!
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
Posted

On a day of 'downgrades' and 'wobbles', are we about to finish proceedings with a 'stonker'? Based on the 216, I think so....

image.thumb.png.e567c547b0291731cf4bcabdc3c62cd8.png image.thumb.png.c9ca2f12eac81ff1ef7370d4d770cada.png

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January Snowstorm Accomplished

January Snowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Cork City(Southern Ireland)
  • Location: Cork City(Southern Ireland)
  • Popular Post
Posted

The 18z is the best run of the week!! Major upgrade here folks, both in next week's Easterly and more so next weekend!

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seabreeze86 Accomplished

seabreeze86

Posted
  • Location: redcar,cleveland
  • Weather Preferences: Winter cold,snow and frost. Summer hot and thundery
  • Location: redcar,cleveland
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Posted

Polar low approaching Scotland 

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Metwatch Maestro

Metwatch

Posted
  • Location: Coventry, 96m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter, thunderstorms, warmth, sun any time!
  • Location: Coventry, 96m asl
Posted

Polar low (warm core system within cold airmass) heading into Scotland would be one heck of a snowmaker. Very robust and strong heights over Greenland, no signs of any Iberian heights either!

GFSOPEU18_222_1.png

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ScottSnow Aficionado

ScottSnow

Posted
  • Location: Gateshead, Tyne and Wear - 320ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy weather in winter. Dry and warm in summer.
  • Location: Gateshead, Tyne and Wear - 320ft ASL
Posted

It’s like the GFS is playing with us.

222hrs and polar low incoming to Scotland.

 

 

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January Snowstorm Accomplished

January Snowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Cork City(Southern Ireland)
  • Location: Cork City(Southern Ireland)
Posted

I've a feeling the models over corrected earlier, a thing they can do!! Why do I feel tomorrow is going to be a day of incredible charts!!

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Ali1977 Maestro

Ali1977

Posted
  • Location: North East Cotswolds, 232m, 761feet ASL
  • Location: North East Cotswolds, 232m, 761feet ASL
Posted
1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

He he he

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well yes..

Day 9, let’s hope for full ens support 👌

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feb1991blizzard Maestro

feb1991blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
Posted
4 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Surely the freeze is coming on this run?!!!!!

Well it could be some blizzard coming up in a minute, don't like it when cold air is only crawling down from North at a snails pace usually, but this run the channel low is clearing East, watch that polar low coming down from the North.

image.thumb.png.3fce824c331509bbac6996ccd9d5f944.png

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seabreeze86 Accomplished

seabreeze86

Posted
  • Location: redcar,cleveland
  • Weather Preferences: Winter cold,snow and frost. Summer hot and thundery
  • Location: redcar,cleveland
Posted

Seriously I know it will probably disappear in the morning but what a run this is 

 

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Mark wheeler Maestro

Mark wheeler

Posted
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Hot and Sunny but not opressive
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
Posted
3 minutes ago, January Snowstorm said:

The 18z is the best run of the week!! Major upgrade here folks, both in next week's Easterly and more so next weekend!

Yes compared to the 12z run this run is so much better , it really does seem the better the initial Easterly the better later on . Even a bit of battle ground snow showing in far south if england on this run .

9DD3D7B4-FC5D-48E7-9547-97817C2E402C.png

D9D44EE4-572E-45DF-94F1-55E08E9EE6F2.png

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wightwootton Contributor

wightwootton

Posted
  • Location: Isle of Wight
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Snow!!
  • Location: Isle of Wight
Posted (edited)
2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

He he he

image.thumb.png.46c9b887cd677707459669a3e6c6d7ec.png

well yes..

With that system tracking along the English Channel , that could be really interesting !!!

Edited by wightwootton
description
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