FetchCB

Last sentence seems to correlate with Met Office longer range forecast for early July

Some official met Office sites showing 21c at 8am rising 2.5 C in hour once the cloud had cleared. The non official ones nearby showing another couple of degrees higher than that at 9am Clearly cloud amounts going to have a significant say in the highest temp today Its there

When looking at the UKV cloud cover it appears that the scale used is inverse to what would normally be expected ie cloud cover is black and clear skies is white Normally this would imply clear skies but rainfall shows different

Last time I saw that temp at 9am was 2003. Worth bearing in mind we are approaching summer solstice so the sun really packing a punch

on a twitter spaces Met Office event earlier today apparently Chief Forecaster thinks it is unlikely

met office on twitter spaces atm https://twitter.com/i/spaces/1yNGaYnLkjQGj?s=20

85mph in that swathe although not sure ,given its size, that its a sting jet

92 mph in Isle of wight or it is slower than predicted

was he a met guy or a BBC weather presenter?

That's no excuse... I won't try unless I can be successful? Surely if putting the message out saves one person from injury it's worth it. I worked for an organisation where my job involved assessment of risk of our data feeds one of which was from the carribean. Weather warnings there are seen as a process and always be prepared to move to the next level. Transferred to the UK. If you have a yellow be prepared for it to go to Amber and understand what that entails. If Amber be prepared for Red and what that entails.

Thing is it is advertised widely by the Met Office if you follow any of their Social Media and their website has a very good explanation of the matrix. The issue is that people don't take the responsibility for themselves to read it. This is why we have dumbed down TV forecasts because of the need for things to be simple to be understood. What I do feel that needs to be addressed is local information dissemination. Our local council has only put up where to report damage, nothing on mitigation of damage in the first place. The local newspaper has dropped its story altogether.

Although the local fire brigade tells us to tie things down

Local council have no plans to change services tomorrow. Local fire brigade saying tie things down in the garden Guess wheelie bins(and their contents) are immune to the wind then

Weather bouy off coast of Ireland has recorded a drop in air pressure of 23mb in 8 hours

The first obs of a pressure drop was st 11am

Not forgetting the huge civil contingency planning effects it has given the population size. This includes diversion of resources from front line services including NHS, police fire brigade and local authorities. The Civil Contingency Act places responsibility on those services to be ready to respond both during and after if a red warning is issued

Interesting viewing for the morning I think. Webcam list for Cornwall including Porthlevan Live Roving Webcam from St. Ives Cornwall UK at the Pednolver Apartments WWW.CAMSECURE.CO.UK Roving live webcam showing St. Ives Harbour and town courtesy of Pednolver Apartments

Since 12 noon a bouy west of ireland has been recording a pressure drop of 4mb per hour Pap Observations WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK Pap 7 day weather forecast including weather warnings, temperature, rain, wind, visibility, humidity and UV

UKV takes hourly observations as part of its 4D-VAR Data assimilation.

Just to add given the pressure drop it will be I suspect the first real data of the storm itself being fed into UKV. If the initialization data from 9z run is different then there may be a change to the 12z run

Signs of the low forming ? recorded pressure dropping in observation bouy west of ireland NDBC - Station 62442 Recent Data WWW.NDBC.NOAA.GOV National Data Buoy Center - Recent observations from buoy 62442 (49.000N 16.500W) - Pap.

Funny enough we were camping in Polzeath as well at the Valley Campsite... Kept getting woken up by the flare for Padstow lifeboat.

Timing could be a major factor. To the west t will be rush hour when the worst of the winds hit whereas in the east it will be late morning. Less people on the road

If I remember correctly that was one of the factors in the number of trees uprooted in 1987..alog with them still being in full leaf of course

I was 22 at the time living in Twickenham with a bedroom window that faced South West. You could hear the glass window straining and flexing in the gusts. Thing is it wasn't like a normal gust of wind that lasts a second or two it was a sustained gust lasting 10 seconds or more, the worst thing was you could hear them coming like train. Then the following morning ..the eerie silence